Atletico Madrid v Malaga result
Team pages: Atletico Madrid · Malaga
The model’s pre-match pick
Atletico Madrid 2–0 Malaga — Atletico Madrid won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
What xG said
xG said Atletico Madrid: 1.37 to 0.23 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the 55th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Atletico Madrid beat Malaga 2–0 at Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano in La Liga on Wednesday 19 August.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Atletico Madrid: Lee Kang-In (70’, assisted by Dávid Hancko) and Alex Baena (85’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lee Kang-In’s goal on 70 minutes.
Discipline
Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain showed five yellow cards — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Atletico Madrid: Dávid Hancko (15’) and Jorge Dominguez (37’); Malaga: Puga (45+4’), Juan Cruz (80’) and Ramón Enríquez (88’).
What it changes
Atletico Madrid are third after this result (one league match played).
Malaga are 18th after this result (one league match played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lee Kang-In (Atletico Madrid) 6.6, Dávid Hancko (Atletico Madrid) 6.5 and David Larrubia (Malaga) 5.0 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).
Next up
Atletico Madrid next host Barcelona on 8 November 2026.
Malaga next travel to Osasuna on 22 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Atletico Madrid: Atletico Madrid v Barcelona, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Malaga: Osasuna v Malaga, Sunday 22 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Atletico Madrid 2–0 Malaga · La Liga
- Venue: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano · Madrid
- Referee: Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Atletico Madrid 2 · draws 0 · Malaga 0 · 1 goals/game
- Recent form: Atletico Madrid 2W 0D 3L · Malaga 3W 2D 0L
Atletico Madrid 2–0 Malaga (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 June 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Atletico Madrid for / against | Line | Malaga for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.25 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.13 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.75 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.88 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.75 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.25 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.5 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain — 4.86 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 24.57 fouls over 7 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Atletico Madrid | Malaga | |
|---|---|---|
| 53% | Possession | 47% |
| 0.92 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.15 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 520 | Passes | 467 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 85% |
Atletico Madrid Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Oblak | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Robin Le Normand | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Dávid Hancko | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Y | 8.6 |
| Dani MartÃnez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Pablo Barrios | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Ademola Lookman | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Koke | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Carlos Martín | 57 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | 57 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Arnau Ortiz | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Jorge Dominguez | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.7 |
| Marcos Llorente sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Alex Baena sub | 33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Lee Kang-In sub | 33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Giuliano Simeone sub | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Morten Hjulmand sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
Malaga Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Herrero | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Ángel Recio | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Rafita | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| David Larrubia | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Izan Merino | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Chupe | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Einar Galilea | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Dani Lorenzo | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Puga | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| Joaquín Muñoz | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Carlos Dotor | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Rafa Rodríguez sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Juan Cruz sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.5 |
| José Salinas sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Ramón Enríquez sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| Eneko Jauregi sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Atletico Madrid v Malaga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2018-02-10 Malaga 0–1 Atletico Madrid
- 2017-09-16 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Malaga
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Atletico Madrid 1.37 xG from 15 shots, Malaga 0.23 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 15 | 2 | 1.37 |
| Malaga | 5 | 0 | 0.23 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, xG was level: Atletico Madrid 0.16, Malaga 0.18. At full time, Atletico Madrid led on xG, 1.37 to 0.23. The widest gap was 1.16 xG to Atletico Madrid, in the 84th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Atletico Madrid v Malaga?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico Madrid v Malaga was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Unibet).
- What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Madrid and Malaga?
- In their last 2 meetings, Atletico Madrid won 2, Malaga won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Atletico Madrid and Malaga?
- Recent form — Atletico Madrid 2W 0D 3L; Malaga 3W 2D 0L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.