This Matchweek

Atletico MadridOsasuna

Atletico Madrid v Osasuna result

Full-time · Atletico Madrid 4–0 Osasuna

La Liga · · Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atletico Madrid · Osasuna · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Atletico Madrid 4–0 Osasuna — Atletico Madrid won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.18 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5233 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Atletico Madrid: 5.67 to 0.72 in expected goals, from 27 shots to 3, ahead on xG from the ninth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Atletico Madrid beat Osasuna 4–0 at Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano in La Liga on Wednesday 16 September.

The goals

Atletico Madrid led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Atletico Madrid: Jonathan David (24’), Lee Kang-In (54’, assisted by Jonathan David), Robin Le Normand (63’) and Alex Baena (82’, assisted by Johnny Cardoso).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jonathan David’s goal on 24 minutes.

Discipline

F. Maeso showed three yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Atletico Madrid: Ademola Lookman (50’); Osasuna: Rubén García (86’) and Abel Bretones (90+3’).

What it changes

Atletico Madrid move up from fourth to third (six league matches played). Atletico Madrid have scored 14 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Atletico Madrid have conceded six goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Osasuna move down from 11th to 13th (six league matches played). Osasuna have scored five goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Osasuna have conceded 12 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Osasuna have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lee Kang-In (Atletico Madrid) 9.6, Jonathan David (Atletico Madrid) 9.2 and Alex Baena (Atletico Madrid) 8.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Atletico Madrid or Osasuna (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (4074 of 5233).

Next up

Atletico Madrid next travel to Getafe on 22 November 2026.

Osasuna next host Malaga on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Atletico Madrid: Getafe v Atletico Madrid, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Osasuna: Osasuna v Malaga, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Atletico Madrid 4–0 Osasuna · La Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano · Madrid
  • Referee: F. Maeso
  • Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Atletico Madrid 4 · draws 0 · Osasuna 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Atletico Madrid 2W 1D 2L · Osasuna 2W 1D 2L

Atletico Madrid 4–0 Osasuna (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 210 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.88 / 4.75
Corners
against 5 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.63
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.81 yellows
Referee · F. Maeso
25.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 16 matches
210
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAtletico Madrid for / againstLineOsasuna for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
13.88 for · 7.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
13.75 for · 14.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: F. Maeso — 3.81 yellow cards a game, 0.19 red cards, 25.5 fouls over 16 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid Goalkeeper

Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jan Oblak690540 min162.7 /9081.3 /9000 /90
Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jan Oblak n 890
3.45/5

Atletico Madrid Defensive

Atletico Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dávid Hancko690540 min50.8 /9081.3 /9050.8 /90233.8 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
Marc Pubill585426 min91.9 /9020.4 /9020.4 /90214.4 /9081.7 /9020.4 /90
Álex Grimaldo578391 min122.8 /9030.7 /9020.5 /90235.3 /9030.7 /9000 /90
Cristian Romero366198 min62.7 /9010.5 /9020.9 /90146.4 /9000 /9000 /90
Robin Le Normand283166 min31.6 /9042.2 /9000 /9084.3 /9021.1 /9000 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
0.11/0
0.42/1
—
Jan Oblak n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Giuliano Simeone n 867.8
0.52/1
0.84/1
—
Ademola Lookman n 865.5
1.56/3
1.25/1
—
Marcos Llorente n 868
1.56/3
0.31/1
Abel Bretones
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Atletico Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
0.73/1
Giuliano Simeone n 867.8
2.86/4
Ademola Lookman n 865.5
15/1
Marcos Llorente n 868
3.17/4
Alex Baena n 861.6
0.52/1
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Atletico Madrid Attacking

Atletico Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ademola Lookman667400 min10.2 /9000 /9040.9 /9030.7 /9051.1 /9030.7 /90
Alex Baena662371 min30.7 /9010.2 /9092.2 /9041 /90112.7 /9010.2 /90
Lee Kang-In658349 min10.3 /9010.3 /9071.8 /9010.3 /9071.8 /9092.3 /90
Julián Alvarez348145 min00 /9010.6 /9042.5 /9042.5 /9031.9 /9063.7 /90
Arnau Ortiz338113 min00 /9000 /9021.6 /9000 /9043.2 /9010.8 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
0.74/1
00/0
Jan Oblak n 890
00/0
00/0
Giuliano Simeone n 867.8
1.24/3
0.53/0
Ademola Lookman n 865.5
14/2
0.73/1
Marcos Llorente n 868
0.52/1
0.52/1
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Atletico Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dávid Hancko n 884.4
00/0
0.32/0
Jan Oblak n 890
00/0
00/0
Giuliano Simeone n 867.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
Ademola Lookman n 865.5
0.32/0
00/0
Marcos Llorente n 868
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Osasuna

Osasuna Goalkeeper

Osasuna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Sergio Herrera590450 min61.2 /9081.6 /9000 /90
Osasuna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sergio Herrera n 884.4
1.53/0

Osasuna Defensive

Osasuna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Catena590450 min71.4 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90265.2 /9040.8 /9000 /90
Abel Bretones581405 min122.7 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90214.7 /9081.8 /9010.2 /90
Íñigo Arguibide581405 min71.6 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90184 /9051.1 /9000 /90
Jorge Herrando362187 min10.5 /9031.4 /9000 /9083.9 /9031.4 /9010.5 /90
R. Yeboah260120 min21.5 /9021.5 /9000 /9064.5 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
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Osasuna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Catena n 890
0.84/2
0.41/1
—
Sergio Herrera n 884.4
0.32/0
0.43/0
—
Abel Bretones n 874
1.46/3
0.64/0
Marcos Llorente
Moncayola n 879.3
15/2
0.11/0
—
Íñigo Arguibide n 870.5
0.84/1
0.63/1
—
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Osasuna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Catena n 890
1.44/4
Moncayola n 879.3
2.38/6
Abel Bretones n 874
2.16/4
Íñigo Arguibide n 870.5
1.66/3
Iker Muñoz n 868.9
0.32/0
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Osasuna Attacking

Osasuna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Budimir576382 min40.9 /9000 /90143.3 /90102.4 /9010.2 /9040.9 /90
Raúl García556280 min00 /9010.3 /9061.9 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90
Jonathan Dubasin441163 min00 /9000 /9042.2 /9021.1 /9031.7 /9010.6 /90
Raul Moro32678 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9022.3 /9055.8 /90
Moncayola581405 min00 /9000 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
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Osasuna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Catena n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Sergio Herrera n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Abel Bretones n 874
0.32/0
00/0
Íñigo Arguibide n 870.5
0.21/0
00/0
Moncayola n 879.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Osasuna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Catena n 890
00/0
00/0
Sergio Herrera n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Abel Bretones n 874
00/0
0.21/0
Moncayola n 879.3
00/0
00/0
Íñigo Arguibide n 870.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Atletico MadridOsasuna
68%Possession32%
3.99Expected goals (xG)0.48
27Shots3
11Shots on target1
8Shots off target1
8Blocked shots1
19Shots inside the box3
8Corners0
1Offsides1
7Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves7
657Passes313
88%Pass accuracy74%

Atletico Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Marcos Llorente9000001407.7
Robin Le Normand9010110108.2
Lee Kang-In9010443209.2
Koke9000001507.3
Alex Baena9010424108.7
Jan Oblak9000000007.3
Álex Grimaldo8500103208
Johnny Cardoso8501001308.2
Cristian Romero6800210307.7
Ademola Lookman68002051Y6.6
Jonathan David6811434007.9
Marc Pubill sub2200100006.9
Giuliano Simeone sub2200000006.3
Arnau Ortiz sub2200000006.5
Dávid Hancko sub900000006.6
Morten Hjulmand sub900000006.6

Osasuna Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Yeboah9000000406.5
F. Boyomo9000001106.9
Abel Bretones90000000Y5
Lucas Torró9000000106.2
Aitor Fernández9000000007.9
U. Santos9000100006
Asier Osambela7400000806.3
Íñigo Arguibide7100000105.6
Raúl García6000110006.2
Jonathan Dubasin5900000006.2
Raul Moro5900001006.2
Rubén García sub31000012Y6.2
Kike Barja sub3100000106.2
A. Budimir sub3000000006.6
Moncayola sub1900000106.6
R. Del Castillo sub1600000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Atletico Madrid v Osasuna — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Atletico MadridDWLLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
OsasunaDWWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Atletico Madrid 4 · 0 draws · Osasuna 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-05-12 Osasuna 1–2 Atletico Madrid
  • 2025-10-18 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Osasuna
  • 2025-05-15 Osasuna 2–0 Atletico Madrid
  • 2025-01-12 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Osasuna
  • 2024-05-19 Atletico Madrid 1–4 Osasuna
  • 2023-09-28 Osasuna 0–2 Atletico Madrid
League standing · 2026/27
Atletico Madrid#3 pos28 pts12 pl+13 GD
Osasuna#16 pos12 pts12 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Atletico Madrid scored1.92
Osasuna scored1
Atletico Madrid conceded0.83
Osasuna conceded1.92

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Atletico Madrid 5.67 xG from 27 shots, Osasuna 0.72 from 3. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Jonathan Christian David 41' · 0.63 xGAdemola Lookman 9' · 0.58 xGRaul García 12' · 0.57 xGLee Kang-In 35' · 0.52 xGJonathan Christian David 33' · 0.48 xGAdemola Lookman 36' · 0.41 xGJonathan Christian David 23' · 0.39 xGÁlex Grimaldo 19' · 0.37 xGLee Kang-In 11' · 0.12 xGÁlex Baena 19' · 0.11 xGAdemola Lookman 51' · 0.09 xGUnai Santos 83' · 0.07 xGJonathan Christian David 29' · 0.07 xGRaul Moro 43' · 0.07 xGJonathan Christian David 30' · 0.06 xGCristian Romero 16' · 0.06 xGÁlex Baena 36' · 0.05 xGLee Kang-In 41' · 0.04 xGJohnny Cardoso 77' · 0.04 xGLee Kang-In 72' · 0.03 xGÁlex Baena 45' · 0.03 xGLee Kang-In 27' · 0.02 xGMarc Pubill 74' · 0.02 xGCristian Romero 61' · 0.02 xGÁlex Baena 74' · 0.02 xGÁlex Grimaldo 80' · 0.02 xGJonathan Christian David 23' · 0.63 xG · goalÁlex Baena 81' · 0.47 xG · goalLee Kang-In 53' · 0.32 xG · goalRobin Le Normand 62' · 0.05 xG · goal
Atletico Madrid (attacking right)Osasuna (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Atletico Madrid2745.67
Osasuna300.72

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Atletico Madrid led on xG, 4.59 to 0.64. At full time, Atletico Madrid led on xG, 5.67 to 0.72. The widest gap was 5.03 xG to Atletico Madrid, in the 81st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
5.72.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Atletico Madrid 23 minGoal - Atletico Madrid 53 minGoal - Atletico Madrid 62 minGoal - Atletico Madrid 81 min
Atletico Madrid 5.67 xGOsasuna 0.72 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Atletico Madrid v Osasuna?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico Madrid v Osasuna was Home or Away (best price 1.18 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Madrid and Osasuna?
In their last 6 meetings, Atletico Madrid won 4, Osasuna won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atletico Madrid and Osasuna?
Recent form — Atletico Madrid 2W 1D 2L; Osasuna 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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