Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad prediction

La Liga · Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT · Metropolitano Stadium

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 13:21 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atletico Madrid · Real Sociedad · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad, La Liga on Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Atletico Madrid host Real Sociedad in La Liga on Sunday 17 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. Real Sociedad are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Atletico Madrid have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Real Sociedad have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Real Sociedad, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of Atletico Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Atletico Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Atletico Madrid have five wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.67 points per game, scoring 2.17 and conceding 0.50. Atletico Madrid have scored 22 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Atletico Madrid have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

11 of Real Sociedad’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Real Sociedad’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Real Sociedad have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.63. Real Sociedad have scored 19 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Real Sociedad have conceded 18 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs.

Atletico Madrid (first) and Real Sociedad (fifth) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atletico Madrid the stronger side, 171 rating points above Real Sociedad (Atletico Madrid 1794, Real Sociedad 1623, after at least 352 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 13 September 2026, finished Real Sociedad 0–3 Atletico Madrid.

Team news

Predicted Atletico Madrid XI (4-4-2): J. Oblak, Á. Grimaldo, D. Hancko, M. Llorente, M. Pubill, A. Baena, G. Simeone, M. Hjulmand, P. Barrios, J. Alvarez, L. Kang-In — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Álex Grimaldo (4.8 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and two assists) and Giuliano Simeone (4.1 per match over 14 appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Atletico Madrid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atletico Madrid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Álex Grimaldo averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 1196 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Giuliano Simeone averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1455 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Real Sociedad XI (4-4-2): Á. Remiro, J. Martín, S. Gómez, M. Sarr, Zubeldia, J. Gorrotxategi, G. Guedes, C. Soler, B. Turrientes, M. Oyarzabal, O. Óskarsson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Unai Marrero (4.1 per match over four appearances) and Sergio Gómez (3.7 per match over 13 appearances, three goals) have been Real Sociedad’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Sociedad (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Unai Marrero averages 3.8 saves per 90 over 360 minutes. Sergio Gómez averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 1105 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT · La Liga · Metropolitano Stadium
Head-to-head (last 6): Atletico Madrid 3 · draws 3 · Real Sociedad 0 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Atletico Madrid 4W 1D 0L · Real Sociedad 4W 1D 0L

Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 2.63

Goals

against 0.38 / 1.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.63 / 5.38

Corners

against 3.5 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.25 / 4.88

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.75 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Atletico Madrid for / against	Line	Real Sociedad for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17.13 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.63 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.25 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.63 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.88 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid Goalkeeper

Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Jan Oblak	14	901260 min	402.9 /90	100.7 /90	00 /90

Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Jan Oblak n 8	90	3 7/4

Atletico Madrid Defensive

Atletico Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Marcos Llorente	14	741040 min	302.6 /90	141.2 /90	60.5 /90	504.3 /90	141.2 /90	10.1 /90
Dávid Hancko	13	851108 min	141.1 /90	100.8 /90	100.8 /90	423.4 /90	20.2 /90	10.1 /90
Álex Grimaldo	13	821061 min	232 /90	90.8 /90	20.2 /90	463.9 /90	80.7 /90	00 /90
Marc Pubill	12	74883 min	161.6 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90	454.6 /90	121.2 /90	40.4 /90
Cristian Romero	8	75602 min	121.8 /90	81.2 /90	20.3 /90	385.7 /90	50.7 /90	20.3 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jan Oblak n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Marcos Llorente n 8	83.1	0.9 5/2	0.3 2/0	—
Giuliano Simeone n 8	73.1	1.8 7/3	2.5 7/5	—
Alex Baena n 8	67	1.7 5/3	1.3 6/2	—
Dávid Hancko n 8	82.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0	—
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Atletico Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Marcos Llorente n 8	83.1	2.6 8/5
Giuliano Simeone n 8	73.1	1.8 6/3
Alex Baena n 8	67	0.8 5/0
Dávid Hancko n 8	82.3	1.4 5/3
Álex Grimaldo n 8	83.8	1.5 6/3
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Atletico Madrid Attacking

Atletico Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Lee Kang-In	13	63818 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	182 /90	70.8 /90	182 /90	182 /90
Ademola Lookman	13	53690 min	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	91.2 /90	40.5 /90	141.8 /90	40.5 /90
Julián Alvarez	10	57569 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	213.3 /90	111.7 /90	121.9 /90	203.2 /90
Jonathan David	9	45409 min	30.7 /90	20.4 /90	132.9 /90	102.2 /90	102.2 /90	10.2 /90
Arnau Ortiz	4	34135 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90	42.7 /90	21.3 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jan Oblak n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Marcos Llorente n 8	83.1	0.5 3/1	0.5 3/1
Giuliano Simeone n 8	73.1	0.9 4/2	0.3 2/0
Alex Baena n 8	67	2 7/3	1.2 6/1
Dávid Hancko n 8	82.3	1.2 6/2	0.3 2/0
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Atletico Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jan Oblak n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Marcos Llorente n 8	83.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Giuliano Simeone n 8	73.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Alex Baena n 8	67	0.3 2/0	0.5 3/0
Dávid Hancko n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad Goalkeeper

Real Sociedad — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Álex Remiro	9	90810 min	343.8 /90	161.8 /90	00 /90
Unai Marrero	4	90360 min	153.8 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90

Real Sociedad — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Álex Remiro n 8	90	3.5 7/4
Unai Marrero n 8	90	3.9 6/4

Real Sociedad Defensive

Real Sociedad — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Sergio Gómez	13	821060 min	221.9 /90	121 /90	40.3 /90	413.5 /90	30.3 /90	10.1 /90
Jon Martín	11	90990 min	252.3 /90	141.3 /90	90.8 /90	746.7 /90	121.1 /90	20.2 /90
Zubeldia	9	69623 min	172.5 /90	81.2 /90	10.1 /90	314.5 /90	71 /90	20.3 /90
M. Sarr	8	80643 min	121.7 /90	101.4 /90	40.6 /90	263.6 /90	91.3 /90	30.4 /90
J. Aramburu	8	78625 min	233.3 /90	162.3 /90	20.3 /90	557.9 /90	253.6 /90	30.4 /90
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Real Sociedad — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Sergio Gómez n 8	78.5	0 0/0	0.6 3/1	—
Mikel Oyarzabal n 8	71.8	0.9 4/2	1.4 7/2	—
L. Sučić n 8	72.1	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0	—
Jon Martín n 8	90	1.4 5/3	1 5/2	—
Y. Herrera n 8	59.4	2.8 6/5	1.5 6/2	—
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Real Sociedad — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Sergio Gómez n 8	78.5	1.9 6/4
Mikel Oyarzabal n 8	71.8	0.9 5/1
L. Sučić n 8	72.1	0.9 2/2
Jon Martín n 8	90	2.1 6/6
Y. Herrera n 8	59.4	3.4 6/4
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Real Sociedad Attacking

Real Sociedad — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Mikel Oyarzabal	13	70912 min	20.2 /90	50.5 /90	181.8 /90	90.9 /90	151.5 /90	80.8 /90
O. Óskarsson	9	66593 min	40.6 /90	00 /90	203 /90	101.5 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90
Alex Garcia	4	25101 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	10.9 /90	21.8 /90	10.9 /90
L. Sučić	12	72861 min	50.5 /90	00 /90	171.8 /90	90.9 /90	121.3 /90	101 /90
Y. Herrera	11	58641 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	71 /90	20.3 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90
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Real Sociedad — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Sergio Gómez n 8	78.5	0.6 3/1	0.6 3/1
Mikel Oyarzabal n 8	71.8	2 7/3	0.8 3/1
L. Sučić n 8	72.1	1.9 7/3	1.1 5/2
Jon Martín n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0
Y. Herrera n 8	59.4	1.3 4/2	0.4 2/0
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Real Sociedad — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Sergio Gómez n 8	78.5	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
Mikel Oyarzabal n 8	71.8	0.3 1/1	0.5 1/1
L. Sučić n 8	72.1	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
Jon Martín n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Y. Herrera n 8	59.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Atletico MadridWWDWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.2 conceded per game

Real SociedadWDWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Atletico Madrid 3 · 3 draws · Real Sociedad 0 · 3.33 goals/game

2026-09-13 Real Sociedad 0–3 Atletico Madrid
2026-04-18 Atletico Madrid 2–2 Real Sociedad
2026-03-07 Atletico Madrid 3–2 Real Sociedad
2026-01-04 Real Sociedad 1–1 Atletico Madrid
2025-05-10 Atletico Madrid 4–0 Real Sociedad
2024-10-06 Real Sociedad 1–1 Atletico Madrid

League standing · 2026/27

Atletico Madrid#1 pos28 pts11 pl+14 GD

Real Sociedad#5 pos19 pts10 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Atletico Madrid scored2

Real Sociedad scored1.9

Atletico Madrid conceded0.73

Real Sociedad conceded1.8

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad?: In their last 6 meetings, Atletico Madrid won 3, Real Sociedad won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad?: Recent form — Atletico Madrid 4W 1D 0L; Real Sociedad 4W 1D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 13:21 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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