This Matchweek

BarcelonaRayo Vallecano

Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano result

Full-time · Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano

La Liga · · Camp Nou

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Barcelona · Rayo Vallecano · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano — Barcelona won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.11 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 274 landed (95% range 73.2–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Barcelona: 3.02 to 1.08 in expected goals, from 26 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the third minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Barcelona have scored 46 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

Barcelona beat Rayo Vallecano 5–2 at Camp Nou in La Liga on Monday 31 August.

The goals

Barcelona led 2–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Rayo Vallecano: Sergio Camello (12’, assisted by Álvaro García; 59’, assisted by Unai López) and an own goal by Florian Lejeune (51’); Barcelona: Raphinha (19’, assisted by X. Espart; 71’, assisted by Anthony Gordon) and Lamine Yamal (21’, assisted by Marc Bernal; 90’, assisted by Karim-David Adeyemi).

Discipline

Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain showed one yellow card — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rayo Vallecano: Adrià Pedrosa (90’).

What it changes

Barcelona stay first after this result (three league matches played). Barcelona have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

Rayo Vallecano move down from ninth to 18th (three league matches played). Rayo Vallecano have scored 15 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Rayo Vallecano have conceded 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Barcelona have won their last three matches in all competitions. Rayo Vallecano are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Barcelona have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) 16.6, Raphinha (Barcelona) 12.2 and Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano) 9.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Barcelona are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Rayo Vallecano, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Barcelona to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78.5% of the time in the last 90 days (215 of 274).

Next up

Barcelona next travel to Atletico Madrid on 8 November 2026.

Rayo Vallecano next travel to Real Sociedad on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Barcelona: Atletico Madrid v Barcelona, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Rayo Vallecano: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga
  • Venue: Camp Nou · Barcelona
  • Referee: Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Barcelona 4 · draws 2 · Rayo Vallecano 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Barcelona 3W 0D 2L · Rayo Vallecano 2W 1D 2L

Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.75 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 4.25
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.25
Corners
against 5.25 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 2.25 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.63
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.89 yellows
Referee · Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain
22.11 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBarcelona for / againstLineRayo Vallecano for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
4.25our book
1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 8.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 12.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
15.25 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain — 3.89 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 22.11 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Barcelona

Barcelona Goalkeeper

Barcelona — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Joan García290180 min21 /9000 /9000 /90
Barcelona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joan García n 890
1.84/3

Barcelona Defensive

Barcelona — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gerard Martín290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9000 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
X. Espart290180 min73.5 /9042 /9000 /90126 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
Eric García285170 min84.2 /9031.6 /9000 /90126.4 /9010.5 /9000 /90
A. Christensen19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /9033 /9033 /9000 /90
Pau Cubarsí Paredes19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
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Barcelona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fermín n 874.8
2.38/4
0.95/1
—
X. Espart n 661.2
13/1
12/1
P. Ciss
Gerard Martín n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
—
Joan García n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Eric García n 879.5
0.74/1
0.32/0
—
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Barcelona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
X. Espart n 661.2
3.26/3
Fermín n 874.8
26/4
Gerard Martín n 890
1.36/2
Eric García n 879.5
2.58/6
Lamine Yamal n 880.1
0.85/1
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Barcelona Attacking

Barcelona — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Lamine Yamal278155 min00 /9000 /9063.5 /9031.7 /9063.5 /9042.3 /90
Raphinha272143 min31.9 /9010.6 /9053.1 /9042.5 /9063.8 /9031.9 /90
A. Gordon253105 min00 /9021.7 /9021.7 /9010.9 /9032.6 /9032.6 /90
Fermín290180 min31.5 /9000 /9052.5 /9052.5 /9010.5 /9021 /90
Marc Bernal272143 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
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Barcelona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Fermín n 874.8
2.48/5
1.77/3
X. Espart n 661.2
0.52/0
0.21/0
Gerard Martín n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
Joan García n 890
00/0
00/0
Eric García n 879.5
0.31/1
00/0
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Barcelona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fermín n 874.8
0.63/1
0.21/0
X. Espart n 661.2
00/0
0.21/0
Gerard Martín n 890
00/0
00/0
Joan García n 890
00/0
00/0
Eric García n 879.5
00/0
00/0
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Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano Goalkeeper

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Batalla275150 min31.8 /9021.2 /9000 /90
Dani Cárdenas13030 min13 /9013 /9000 /90
Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Batalla n 886.3
2.37/3
Dani Cárdenas n 882.5
4.55/5

Rayo Vallecano Defensive

Rayo Vallecano — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Rațiu290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9094.5 /9000 /9000 /90
F. Lejeune290180 min63 /9042 /9000 /90168 /9021 /9000 /90
I. Balliu19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9011 /9000 /90
J. Vertrouwd19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
Pelayo Fernández15555 min11.6 /9011.6 /9000 /9034.9 /9046.5 /9000 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jorge de Frutos n 870.1
1.35/3
1.46/3
—
P. Ciss n 874.9
0.94/1
1.26/1
X. Espart
F. Lejeune n 890
0.65/0
0.54/0
—
A. Rațiu n 872.4
0.63/1
0.53/0
—
Unai López n 866.4
2.47/5
0.53/0
—
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Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 890
2.68/6
A. Rațiu n 872.4
2.65/5
Jorge de Frutos n 870.1
1.86/3
P. Ciss n 874.9
1.46/3
Unai López n 866.4
1.55/3
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Rayo Vallecano Attacking

Rayo Vallecano — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Sergio Camello258116 min10.8 /9000 /9032.3 /9021.6 /9000 /9000 /90
Alemão12525 min00 /9000 /9013.6 /9013.6 /9000 /9000 /90
Jorge de Frutos290180 min00 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /9010.5 /9042 /90
Unai López284168 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9052.7 /9031.6 /90
R. Nteka269138 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9000 /9000 /9010.7 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 890
1.46/5
0.85/1
Jorge de Frutos n 870.1
1.44/3
0.31/1
P. Ciss n 874.9
0.53/0
0.32/0
A. Rațiu n 872.4
0.32/0
00/0
Unai López n 866.4
0.53/0
0.32/0
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Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Ciss n 874.9
00/0
0.21/0
A. Rațiu n 872.4
00/0
0.21/0
Jorge de Frutos n 870.1
00/0
0.21/0
F. Lejeune n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Unai López n 866.4
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BarcelonaRayo Vallecano
69%Possession31%
3.04Expected goals (xG)1.21
26Shots11
9Shots on target5
10Shots off target4
7Blocked shots2
17Shots inside the box7
9Corners5
3Offsides4
4Fouls11
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves5
648Passes286
90%Pass accuracy74%

Barcelona Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Joan García9000000007.2
J. Koundé9000001006.2
Pau Cubarsí Paredes9000100207.2
A. Christensen9000100206.9
X. Espart9001102106.6
Lamine Yamal90204271010
Raphinha8620333109.3
Pedri7700102006.6
A. Gordon7701321007.5
Marc Bernal6401212407.7
Dani Olmo6400102107.2
Rodri sub2600000206.9
Fermín sub2600001107.3
João Cancelo sub1300100006.7
K. Adeyemi sub1301111006.9
H. Abdelkarim sub900000006.7

Rayo Vallecano Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Dani Cárdenas9000000006.5
I. Balliu9000000105.6
F. Lejeune9000300405.9
P. Ciss9000000105.9
Óscar Valentín9000000406.7
Álvaro García9001001006.2
Unai López7501001306.6
Sergio Camello7520221108
G. Bouare5700110106.5
Jorge de Frutos5700000206.2
J. Vertrouwd3200000206.3
Adrià Pedrosa sub58000022Y6.5
Pedro Díaz sub3300003106.5
Fran Pérez sub3300100006.7
R. Nteka sub1500110106.2
Alemão sub1500110006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BarcelonaLWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Rayo VallecanoWWLLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Barcelona 4 · 2 draws · Rayo Vallecano 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-03-22 Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2025-08-31 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Barcelona
  • 2025-02-17 Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2024-08-27 Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Barcelona
  • 2024-05-19 Barcelona 3–0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2023-11-25 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Barcelona
League standing · 2026/27
Barcelona#1 pos30 pts11 pl+34 GD
Rayo Vallecano#12 pos12 pts10 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Barcelona scored4.18
Rayo Vallecano scored1.5
Barcelona conceded1.09
Rayo Vallecano conceded2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Barcelona 3.02 xG from 26 shots, Rayo Vallecano 1.08 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Sergio Camello 60' · 0.59 xGRaphinha 13' · 0.48 xGFermín López 68' · 0.42 xGAndreas Christensen 14' · 0.14 xGAnthony Gordon 68' · 0.13 xGKarim Adeyemi 78' · 0.12 xGPau Cubarsí 6' · 0.10 xGLamine Yamal 15' · 0.10 xGAnthony Gordon 45' · 0.10 xGRandy Nteka 81' · 0.09 xGLamine Yamal 64' · 0.08 xGDani Olmo 15' · 0.07 xGRaphinha 6' · 0.06 xGSergio Camello 61' · 0.05 xGPedri 3' · 0.05 xGAlemão 91' · 0.04 xGFlorian Lejeune 92' · 0.04 xGPedri 27' · 0.04 xGLamine Yamal 9' · 0.04 xGAnthony Gordon 35' · 0.04 xGXavi Espart 64' · 0.04 xGLamine Yamal 47' · 0.03 xGAnthony Gordon 42' · 0.03 xGFran Pérez 60' · 0.03 xGMarc Bernal 39' · 0.03 xGMarc Bernal 16' · 0.03 xGGnangoro 36' · 0.02 xGJoão Cancelo 84' · 0.02 xGDani Olmo 14' · 0.02 xGFlorian Lejeune 80' · 0.01 xGFlorian Lejeune 34' · 0.01 xGFlorian Lejeune 50' · 0.00 xGRaphinha 18' · 0.43 xG · goalRaphinha 70' · 0.34 xG · goalSergio Camello 11' · 0.14 xG · goalLamine Yamal 89' · 0.07 xG · goalSergio Camello 58' · 0.06 xG · goalLamine Yamal 20' · 0.04 xG · goal
Barcelona (attacking right)Rayo Vallecano (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Barcelona2643.02
Rayo Vallecano1221.08

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Barcelona led on xG, 1.77 to 0.17. At full time, Barcelona led on xG, 3.02 to 1.08. The widest gap was 2.04 xG to Barcelona, in the 78th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.01.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Rayo Vallecano 11 minGoal - Barcelona 18 minGoal - Barcelona 20 minGoal - Rayo Vallecano 58 minGoal - Barcelona 70 minGoal - Barcelona 89 min
Barcelona 3.02 xGRayo Vallecano 1.08 xGdots = goals · 38 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano was Home win (best price 1.11 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano?
In their last 6 meetings, Barcelona won 4, Rayo Vallecano won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano?
Recent form — Barcelona 3W 0D 2L; Rayo Vallecano 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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