BarcelonaReal Madrid

Barcelona v Real Madrid result

Full-time · Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid

La Liga · · Camp Nou

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Barcelona · Real Madrid · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid — Barcelona won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 926 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Barcelona: 1.72 to 0.56 in expected goals, from 10 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 17th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Barcelona beat Real Madrid 2–0 at Camp Nou in La Liga on Sunday 10 May. Barcelona have won their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Barcelona led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Barcelona: Marcus Rashford (9’) and Ferran Torres (18’, assisted by Dani Olmo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Marcus Rashford’s goal on 9 minutes.

Discipline

A. Hernandez showed six yellow cards — against 6.3 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Barcelona: Dani Olmo (52’) and Raphinha (81’); Real Madrid: Eduardo Camavinga (40’), Raúl Asencio (52’), Jude Bellingham (55’) and Trent Alexander-Arnold (81’).

What it changes

Barcelona stay first after this result (35 league matches played).

Real Madrid stay second after this result (35 league matches played).

Barcelona’s two-goal margin was the biggest of round 35, across 10 matches. Barcelona have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ferran Torres (Barcelona) 5.0, Marcus Rashford (Barcelona) 4.9 and Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid) 4.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Barcelona next host Villarreal on 22 November 2026.

Real Madrid next host Celta Vigo on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Barcelona: Barcelona v Villarreal, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Real Madrid: Real Madrid v Celta Vigo, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid · La Liga
  • Venue: Camp Nou · Barcelona
  • Referee: A. Hernandez
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Barcelona 5 · draws 0 · Real Madrid 1 · 5.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Barcelona 5W 0D 0L · Real Madrid 2W 2D 1L

Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6 / 6.13
Corners
against 3.75 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 7.5
Shots on target
against 2.88 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.75
Cards
against 3.13 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.33 yellows
Referee · A. Hernandez
25.78 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBarcelona for / againstLineReal Madrid for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.5our book
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
15.75 for · 7.88 against n 8
19.5standard
17.13 for · 15.63 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 2.88 against n 8
8.5standard
7.5 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.75 for · 13.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 13.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: A. Hernandez — 6.33 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 25.78 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Barcelona

Barcelona Goalkeeper

Barcelona — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Joan García43903869 min1122.6 /90411 /9000 /90
W. Szczęsny990810 min262.9 /90171.9 /9010.1 /90
Barcelona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joan García n 890
2.35/4
W. Szczęsny n 890
3.15/4

Barcelona Defensive

Barcelona — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Pau Cubarsí Paredes45853832 min561.3 /90421 /90180.4 /901603.8 /90350.8 /9040.1 /90
Eric García45823712 min892.2 /90601.5 /90110.3 /901924.7 /90511.2 /9070.2 /90
J. Koundé41813306 min762.1 /90421.1 /90200.5 /901875.1 /90270.7 /9060.2 /90
Gerard Martín39752916 min511.6 /90391.2 /90130.4 /901334.1 /90190.6 /9080.2 /90
Alejandro Balde36722576 min451.6 /9050.2 /90120.4 /901284.5 /90200.7 /9030.1 /90
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Barcelona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fermín n 865
2.87/4
16/0
Vinícius Júnior
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 884.3
0.86/0
0.32/0
—
Eric García n 877.6
1.35/3
1.25/2
—
Lamine Yamal n 874.9
0.95/1
37/5
—
M. Rashford n 836.9
1.24/0
0.92/1
Vinícius Júnior
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Barcelona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Fermín n 865
3.37/6
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 884.3
1.25/2
Eric García n 877.6
2.57/5
Lamine Yamal n 874.9
1.25/2
M. Rashford n 836.9
00/0
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Barcelona Attacking

Barcelona — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Rashford45532384 min130.5 /90110.4 /90772.9 /90441.7 /90622.3 /90381.4 /90
Ferran Torres42592481 min200.7 /9020.1 /90742.7 /90461.7 /90301.1 /90120.4 /90
R. Lewandowski40552186 min170.7 /9020.1 /90672.8 /90421.7 /90210.9 /90100.4 /90
R. Bardghji1744754 min20.2 /9040.5 /90192.3 /90131.6 /90161.9 /90232.7 /90
Toni Fernández14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012 /9000 /90
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Barcelona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Fermín n 865
2.88/4
15/1
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 884.3
00/0
00/0
Eric García n 877.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
Lamine Yamal n 874.9
2.97/6
1.45/3
M. Rashford n 836.9
46/3
2.74/3
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Barcelona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fermín n 865
0.21/0
0.21/0
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 884.3
00/0
00/0
Eric García n 877.6
00/0
00/0
Lamine Yamal n 874.9
0.64/0
0.52/1
M. Rashford n 836.9
0.93/0
0.31/0
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Real Madrid

Real Madrid Goalkeeper

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Thibaut Courtois47894185 min1423.1 /90461 /9000 /90
A. Lunin12871042 min383.3 /90211.8 /9000 /90
Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
2.96/5
A. Lunin n 890
3.16/6

Real Madrid Defensive

Real Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dean Huijsen42803366 min571.5 /90350.9 /90250.7 /901724.6 /90340.9 /9090.2 /90
Álvaro Fernández36893217 min702 /90481.3 /90160.4 /901815.1 /90401.1 /9090.3 /90
Raúl Asencio33722360 min230.9 /90150.6 /90180.7 /90853.2 /90251 /9080.3 /90
A. Rüdiger28842348 min150.6 /90100.4 /90150.6 /90552.1 /90180.7 /9020.1 /90
Trent Alexander-Arnold26761969 min351.6 /90221 /9060.3 /90522.4 /90130.6 /9040.2 /90
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Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Vinícius Júnior n 881.5
1.25/3
3.67/7
M. Rashford
F. Valverde n 888.4
0.65/0
0.32/0
—
A. Güler n 862
0.94/1
1.66/2
—
A. Tchouaméni n 881.9
1.47/3
0.84/2
—
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
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Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 881.5
0.42/1
F. Valverde n 888.4
1.57/3
A. Güler n 862
2.77/4
A. Tchouaméni n 881.9
2.27/6
Kylian Mbappé n 872.3
0.64/0
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Real Madrid Attacking

Real Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Vinícius Júnior56804454 min220.4 /90110.2 /901322.7 /90741.5 /901002 /901322.7 /90
Kylian Mbappé43823540 min421.1 /9050.1 /901533.9 /90982.5 /90992.5 /90982.5 /90
Gonzalo García27591602 min100.6 /9030.2 /90301.7 /90201.1 /90150.8 /9050.3 /90
Rodrygo22511125 min30.2 /9050.4 /90312.5 /90191.5 /90302.4 /90312.5 /90
Franco Mastantuono21581226 min30.2 /9000 /90322.3 /90120.9 /90151.1 /90241.8 /90
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Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 881.5
3.68/7
2.26/6
F. Valverde n 888.4
1.57/3
1.36/3
A. Güler n 862
1.34/3
0.94/1
A. Tchouaméni n 881.9
1.16/2
0.42/1
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 881.5
0.84/2
0.11/0
F. Valverde n 888.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Güler n 862
0.52/1
0.21/0
A. Tchouaméni n 881.9
00/0
0.11/0
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BarcelonaReal Madrid
57%Possession43%
1.01Expected goals (xG)0.85
10Shots8
7Shots on target1
2Shots off target6
1Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box7
4Corners8
2Offsides1
18Fouls9
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Saves5
529Passes394
92%Pass accuracy87%

Barcelona Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Joan García9000000107.3
Eric García9000000106.9
Pau Cubarsí Paredes9000000207.3
Gerard Martín9000000107.2
João Cancelo9000001107
Pedri9000001007.2
Fermín8800110006.7
Gavi7700000306.7
Ferran Torres7710221007.3
Dani Olmo64011010Y6.9
M. Rashford6410220007.3
F. de Jong sub2600003207.3
Raphinha sub26002102Y6.9
Marc Bernal sub1300000006.6
R. Lewandowski sub1300111006.3
Alejandro Balde sub20000000–

Real Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Thibaut Courtois9000000006.9
Trent Alexander-Arnold90000043Y7
Raúl Asencio90000010Y6.3
A. Rüdiger9000000106.5
Fran García9000100006.2
A. Tchouaméni9000200106.6
J. Bellingham90000001Y6.3
Vinícius Júnior9000111006
Brahim Díaz7900001007
Gonzalo García7900200006.3
Eduardo Camavinga70000013Y7.3
Thiago Pitarch sub2000000106.6
César Palacios sub1100100006.5
Franco Mastantuono sub1100000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Barcelona v Real Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BarcelonaWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Real MadridDLWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Barcelona 5 · 0 draws · Real Madrid 1 · 5.17 goals/game
  • 2026-01-11 Barcelona 3–2 Real Madrid
  • 2025-10-26 Real Madrid 2–1 Barcelona
  • 2025-05-11 Barcelona 4–3 Real Madrid
  • 2025-04-26 Barcelona 3–2 Real Madrid
  • 2025-01-12 Real Madrid 2–5 Barcelona
  • 2024-10-26 Real Madrid 0–4 Barcelona
League standing · 2025/26
Barcelona#1 pos94 pts38 pl+59 GD
Real Madrid#2 pos86 pts38 pl+42 GD
Goals per game
Barcelona scored2.5
Real Madrid scored2.03
Barcelona conceded0.95
Real Madrid conceded0.92

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Barcelona 1.72 xG from 10 shots, Real Madrid 0.56 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Ferrán Torres 55' · 0.42 xGGonzalo García 21' · 0.26 xGMarcus Rashford 37' · 0.17 xGRobert Lewandowski 83' · 0.13 xGRaphinha 67' · 0.13 xGRaphinha 81' · 0.12 xGFermín López 47' · 0.08 xGFermín López 67' · 0.08 xGDani Olmo 38' · 0.07 xGFran García 43' · 0.06 xGGonzalo García 11' · 0.06 xGVinícius Júnior 1' · 0.05 xGAurelien Tchouameni 73' · 0.04 xGCésar Palacios 85' · 0.04 xGAurelien Tchouameni 12' · 0.03 xGAurelien Tchouameni 32' · 0.02 xGFerrán Torres 17' · 0.43 xG · goalMarcus Rashford 8' · 0.09 xG · goal
Barcelona (attacking right)Real Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Barcelona1021.72
Real Madrid800.56

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Barcelona 0.76, Real Madrid 0.48. At full time, Barcelona led on xG, 1.72 to 0.56. The widest gap was 1.20 xG to Barcelona, in the 83rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.70.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Barcelona 8 minGoal - Barcelona 17 min
Barcelona 1.72 xGReal Madrid 0.56 xGdots = goals · 18 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Barcelona v Real Madrid?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Barcelona v Real Madrid was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Barcelona and Real Madrid?
In their last 6 meetings, Barcelona won 5, Real Madrid won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Barcelona and Real Madrid?
Recent form — Barcelona 5W 0D 0L; Real Madrid 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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