Celta VigoAlaves

Celta Vigo v Alaves result

Full-time · Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves

La Liga · · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Celta Vigo · Alaves · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves — Celta Vigo won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,997 of 2,670 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Alaves: 1.18 to 0.76 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the 32nd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Celta Vigo beat Alaves 2–1 at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos in La Liga on Sunday 18 October.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Celta Vigo: Ferran Jutglà (53’, assisted by Javi Rodríguez) and Javi Rodríguez (71’, assisted by Iago Aspas); Alaves: Hugo Novoa (87’, assisted by M. Díaz).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ferran Jutglà’s goal on 53 minutes.

Discipline

José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain showed two yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Celta Vigo: S. Cáceres (15’); Alaves: Toni Martínez (45’).

What it changes

Celta Vigo move up from ninth to eighth (nine league matches played). Celta Vigo have scored 10 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Celta Vigo have conceded seven goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs.

Alaves move down from sixth to seventh (nine league matches played). Alaves have scored 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Alaves have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Alaves are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Javi Rodríguez (Celta Vigo) 9.0, Ferran Jutglà (Celta Vigo) 6.6 and Hugo Novoa (Alaves) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Celta Vigo or Alaves (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Celta Vigo next host Levante on 8 November 2026.

Alaves next travel to Anaitasuna on 10 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Celta Vigo: Celta Vigo v Levante, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Alaves: Anaitasuna v Alaves, Tuesday 10 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Abanca-Balaídos · Vigo
  • Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Celta Vigo 2 · draws 2 · Alaves 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Celta Vigo 1W 2D 2L · Alaves 1W 1D 3L

Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.88 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.75 / 3.75
Corners
against 5.5 / 5.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.44 yellows
Referee · José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
25.22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCelta Vigo for / againstLineAlaves for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.25our book
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 14 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 13.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
13.25 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain — 3.44 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 25.22 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo Goalkeeper

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. Radu1090900 min303 /9060.6 /9000 /90
Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Radu n 890
3.26/5

Celta Vigo Defensive

Celta Vigo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Yoel Lago985765 min121.4 /90151.8 /9080.9 /90283.3 /90182.1 /9040.5 /90
Marcos Alonso885681 min141.9 /90131.7 /9030.4 /90304 /9091.2 /9020.3 /90
Álvaro Núñez586431 min71.5 /9051 /9010.2 /90132.7 /9051 /9000 /90
Javi Rodríguez581405 min81.8 /9051.1 /9000 /90132.9 /9020.4 /9000 /90
C. Starfelt477308 min82.3 /9041.2 /9000 /90154.4 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
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Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Radu n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Sergio Carreira n 867.5
0.84/1
0.73/1
Pablo Ibáñez
Yoel Lago n 884.4
2.17/5
1.36/3
A. Rebbach
Javi Rueda n 865.5
1.55/2
1.24/3
—
W. Swedberg n 849
2.36/3
2.34/3
—
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Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sergio Carreira n 867.5
0.73/1
Yoel Lago n 884.4
1.56/3
Javi Rueda n 865.5
1.25/2
W. Swedberg n 849
2.35/3
Marcos Alonso n 885.1
1.97/6
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Celta Vigo Attacking

Celta Vigo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Swedberg947425 min00 /9010.2 /9040.8 /9040.8 /9071.5 /9020.4 /90
Ferran Jutglà872572 min10.2 /9000 /90101.6 /9030.5 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90
Hugo Álvarez857453 min10.2 /9020.4 /9030.6 /9010.2 /9061.2 /9000 /90
Pablo Durán754378 min20.5 /9000 /9071.7 /9051.2 /9041 /9041 /90
Iago Aspas638229 min10.4 /9000 /9041.6 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9031.2 /90
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Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Radu n 890
00/0
00/0
Sergio Carreira n 867.5
0.74/0
0.32/0
Yoel Lago n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Javi Rueda n 865.5
0.32/0
00/0
W. Swedberg n 849
0.93/1
0.93/1
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Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Radu n 890
00/0
00/0
Sergio Carreira n 867.5
00/0
00/0
Yoel Lago n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Javi Rueda n 865.5
00/0
00/0
W. Swedberg n 849
00/0
0.21/0
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Alaves

Alaves Goalkeeper

Alaves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Sivera890720 min283.5 /9081 /9010.1 /90
Alaves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sivera n 890
3.58/4

Alaves Defensive

Alaves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Tenaglia884675 min182.4 /90131.7 /9030.4 /90374.9 /9060.8 /9020.3 /90
V. Koski880639 min50.7 /9081.1 /9071 /90162.3 /9091.3 /9000 /90
Jonny786600 min142.1 /9071.1 /9050.8 /90263.9 /9020.3 /9000 /90
Yusi625148 min74.3 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90137.9 /9021.2 /9000 /90
N. Valentini474296 min51.5 /9030.9 /9051.5 /90113.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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Alaves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Sivera n 890
00/0
00/0
—
N. Tenaglia n 884.4
0.85/1
1.37/2
—
Pablo Ibáñez n 883.8
27/5
1.77/4
Sergio Carreira
A. Rebbach n 881.4
1.77/3
15/2
Yoel Lago
V. Koski n 879.9
1.34/3
0.11/0
—
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Alaves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Tenaglia n 884.4
2.48/6
Pablo Ibáñez n 883.8
1.96/3
A. Rebbach n 881.4
2.56/5
V. Koski n 879.9
0.75/0
Antonio Blanco n 873.8
2.66/5
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Alaves Attacking

Alaves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Díaz844349 min30.8 /9030.8 /9092.3 /9082.1 /9030.8 /9051.3 /90
L. Boyé778548 min50.8 /9000 /90122 /9071.1 /9040.7 /9020.3 /90
Toni Martínez759413 min00 /9000 /90112.4 /9010.2 /9061.3 /9000 /90
Aitor Mañas23876 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /90
A. Manas11919 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.7 /90
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Alaves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Sivera n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Tenaglia n 884.4
0.42/1
0.32/0
Pablo Ibáñez n 883.8
1.14/3
0.32/0
A. Rebbach n 881.4
0.63/1
0.42/1
V. Koski n 879.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Alaves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sivera n 890
00/0
0.11/0
N. Tenaglia n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
Pablo Ibáñez n 883.8
0.11/0
00/0
A. Rebbach n 881.4
00/0
00/0
V. Koski n 879.9
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Celta VigoAlaves
48%Possession52%
0.97Expected goals (xG)1.06
6Shots20
3Shots on target9
3Shots off target5
0Blocked shots6
3Shots inside the box14
0Corners4
0Offsides3
14Fouls17
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
8Saves1
471Passes491
82%Pass accuracy81%

Celta Vigo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Radu9000000008.3
Javi Rodríguez9011111009.2
Yoel Lago9000000006.9
Hugo Álvarez9000102006.2
Sergio Carreira9000100006.9
Ferran Jutglà9010210107.2
S. Cáceres77000005Y8
H. Burcio7000000307
C. Driouech7000111106.9
I. Moriba4500000106.3
W. Swedberg4500000006.6
Javi Rueda sub4500000006.3
Aleix Febas sub4500000106.7
Iago Aspas sub2001002006.7
Andrés Antañón sub2000000106.2
Marcos Alonso sub1300000206.9

Alaves Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Sivera9000000006.2
V. Koski9000000206.9
N. Tenaglia9000110206.3
N. Valentini9000210206.7
Pablo Ibáñez9000102007.3
L. Boyé9000431207.2
A. Rebbach8800111006.3
Antonio Blanco8800003207.7
Jonny6200100006.2
Carles Aleñá6200002006.7
Toni Martínez62002101Y6.5
M. Díaz sub2801111006.7
Hugo Novoa sub2810111108.3
Denis Suárez sub2800001006.7
Guevara sub800000006.7
Aitor Mañas sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Celta Vigo v Alaves — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Celta VigoDLWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
AlavesWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Celta Vigo 2 · 2 draws · Alaves 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-03-22 Celta Vigo 3–4 Alaves
  • 2025-11-22 Alaves 0–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2025-01-27 Alaves 1–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2024-08-16 Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves
  • 2024-04-27 Alaves 3–0 Celta Vigo
  • 2023-09-28 Celta Vigo 1–1 Alaves
League standing · 2026/27
Celta Vigo#12 pos12 pts11 pl0 GD
Alaves#10 pos13 pts12 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Celta Vigo scored0.91
Alaves scored1.25
Celta Vigo conceded0.91
Alaves conceded1.42

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Celta Vigo 0.76 xG from 6 shots, Alaves 1.18 from 20. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Lucas Boyé 32' · 0.43 xGFerrán Jutglà 25' · 0.09 xGSergio Carreira 78' · 0.08 xGCarles Aleñá 60' · 0.07 xGLucas Boyé 72' · 0.07 xGHugo Álvarez 27' · 0.06 xGAntonio Martínez 47' · 0.06 xGMariano 92' · 0.06 xGNahuel Tenaglia 60' · 0.05 xGNicolás Valentini 67' · 0.05 xGNicolás Valentini 82' · 0.05 xGPablo Ibáñez 75' · 0.05 xGAntonio Martínez 46' · 0.04 xGLucas Boyé 83' · 0.04 xGAbderrahmane Rebbach 49' · 0.03 xGLucas Boyé 90' · 0.03 xGMariano 75' · 0.03 xGAntonio Martínez 29' · 0.02 xGCouhaib Driouech 49' · 0.02 xGAnder Guevara 90' · 0.02 xGJonny 42' · 0.02 xGPablo Ibáñez 84' · 0.01 xGNicolás Valentini 54' · 0.01 xGFerrán Jutglà 52' · 0.39 xG · goalJavier Rodríguez 70' · 0.12 xG · goalHugo Novoa Ramos 86' · 0.07 xG · goal
Celta Vigo (attacking right)Alaves (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Celta Vigo620.76
Alaves2011.18

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Celta Vigo 0.15, Alaves 0.46. At full time, Alaves led on xG, 1.18 to 0.76. The widest gap was 0.42 xG to Alaves, in the 49th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.20.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Celta Vigo 52 minGoal - Celta Vigo 70 minGoal - Alaves 86 min
Celta Vigo 0.76 xGAlaves 1.18 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Celta Vigo v Alaves?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Celta Vigo v Alaves was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Celta Vigo and Alaves?
In their last 6 meetings, Celta Vigo won 2, Alaves won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Celta Vigo and Alaves?
Recent form — Celta Vigo 1W 2D 2L; Alaves 1W 1D 3L.

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