Celta Vigo v Elche prediction

La Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Celta Vigo v Elche, La Liga on Sun, 11 Apr 2027 16:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Celta Vigo host Elche in La Liga on Sunday 11 April (kick-off 16:00 UK).

Form and the table

Five of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Celta Vigo have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.38. Celta Vigo have scored eight goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Celta Vigo have conceded six goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Elche’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Elche’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Elche have two wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.44. Elche have scored 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Elche have conceded 17 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

Elche are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Celta Vigo (11th) and Elche (18th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Celta Vigo the stronger side, 12 rating points above Elche (Celta Vigo 1536, Elche 1524, after at least 161 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 October 2026, finished Elche 0–0 Celta Vigo.

Team news

Predicted Celta Vigo XI (3-4-3): I. Radu, Y. Lago, M. Alonso, Á. Núñez, I. Moriba, M. Román, J. Rueda, S. Carreira, F. Jutglà, P. Durán, W. Swedberg — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Carl Starfelt (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Ionuț Radu (3.3 per match over 11 appearances) have been Celta Vigo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celta Vigo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Carl Starfelt averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 528 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances. Ionuț Radu averages 3.0 saves per 90 over 1124 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Elche XI (5-3-2): M. Dituro, V. Chust, B. Sangaré, R. Revivo, G. Valera, F. Redondo, G. Villar, T. Lemar, T. Morente, F. Niño, L. Cepeda — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Fer Niño (4.0 per match over nine appearances, five goals) and David Affengruber (3.2 per match over three appearances) have been Elche’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Elche (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Fer Niño averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 566 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances. David Affengruber averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 779 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · La Liga
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Celta Vigo 4 · draws 1 · Elche 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Celta Vigo 1W 2D 2L · Elche 1W 3D 1L

Celta Vigo v Elche (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.25
Goals
against 0.88 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4.38
Corners
against 5.5 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.38 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCelta Vigo for / againstLineElche for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 14 against n 8
19.5standard
11 for · 15.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
13.63 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2 against n 8
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Swedberg n 835.6
3.26/3
1.63/1
—
Yoel Lago n 884.4
2.17/5
1.36/3
—
H. Burcio n 840.1
24/1
24/1
—
J. El Abdellaoui n 841.1
1.95/2
0.52/0
—
Aleix Febas n 873
1.85/3
3.27/4
—
Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Driouech n 824.5
3.75/3
0.51/0
Hugo González n 845
2.55/3
13/1
Pablo Durán n 849.3
1.85/2
1.44/1
Ferran Jutglà n 865.1
1.75/4
0.52/1
Andrés Antañón n 650.8
1.54/1
1.23/1
Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hugo González n 845
0.31/0
0.52/0
Hugo Álvarez n 856.6
0.21/0
0.41/1
Pablo Durán n 849.3
0.51/1
00/0
C. Driouech n 824.5
00/0
0.51/0
Miguel Román n 883.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Driouech n 824.5
2.84/1
I. Moriba n 882.4
2.77/5
W. Swedberg n 835.6
2.54/2
Andrés Antañón n 650.8
2.43/2
H. Burcio n 840.1
26/1
Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Radu n 890
2.66/4
Elche
Elche — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tete Morente n 856.5
3.27/4
1.24/2
—
F. Buonanotte n 837.3
2.45/2
0.62/0
—
Gonzalo Villar n 880.5
2.17/5
2.27/5
—
Matia Barzic Gutiérrez n 866.4
27/4
0.32/0
—
T. Lemar n 845.4
26/2
0.72/1
—
Elche — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Osorio n 842.8
2.65/3
1.14/0
F. Buonanotte n 837.3
2.14/3
1.24/0
Fer Niño n 862.1
26/3
1.44/3
Ali Houary n 855.9
1.67/1
0.84/0
E. Ponce n 849
1.65/2
0.52/0
Elche — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Josan n 816.8
00/0
1.32/0
Fer Niño n 862.1
0.94/1
00/0
Tete Morente n 856.5
00/0
0.63/0
Roy Revivo n 887.5
00/0
0.31/1
A. Osorio n 842.8
0.31/0
00/0
Elche — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Lemar n 845.4
47/4
Josan n 816.8
3.43/2
F. Redondo n 851.6
3.36/3
Gonzalo Villar n 880.5
2.27/6
Rubén Sánchez n 842.8
2.15/2
Elche — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dituro n 890
2.87/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Celta Vigo v Elche — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Celta VigoDLWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
ElcheDLWDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Celta Vigo 4 · 1 draw · Elche 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-10-11 Elche 0–0 Celta Vigo
  • 2026-05-03 Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche
  • 2025-09-28 Elche 2–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2023-04-26 Celta Vigo 1–0 Elche
  • 2023-01-06 Elche 0–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2022-05-15 Celta Vigo 1–0 Elche
League standing · 2026/27
Celta Vigo#11 pos8 pts8 pl+2 GD
Elche#18 pos7 pts9 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Celta Vigo scored1
Elche scored1.22
Celta Vigo conceded0.75
Elche conceded1.89

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Celta Vigo and Elche?
In their last 6 meetings, Celta Vigo won 4, Elche won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Celta Vigo and Elche?
Recent form — Celta Vigo 1W 2D 2L; Elche 1W 3D 1L.

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