This Matchweek

Celta VigoMalaga

Celta Vigo v Malaga result

Full-time · Celta Vigo 1–1 Malaga

La Liga · · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Celta Vigo · Malaga

The model’s pre-match pick

Celta Vigo 1–1 Malaga — this La Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.1% of 139 landed (95% range 47.8–64.1%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Celta Vigo: 1.48 to 0.55 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 17th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Celta Vigo and Malaga drew 1–1 at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos in La Liga on Sunday 13 September.

The goals

Celta Vigo led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Celta Vigo: Ferran Jutglà (41’, assisted by Hugo González); Malaga: Adrián Niño Heredia (83’, assisted by Pablo Martínez).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Adrián Niño Heredia’s goal on 83 minutes.

Discipline

C. Muniz showed two yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Celta Vigo: Yoel Lago (26’); Malaga: Einar Galilea (24’).

What it changes

Celta Vigo move up from 16th to 14th (six league matches played). Celta Vigo have scored three goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Celta Vigo have conceded six goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Malaga move up from 18th to 17th (five league matches played). Malaga have scored two goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Malaga have conceded eight goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Celta Vigo are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Malaga are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pablo Martínez (Malaga) 7.0, Ferran Jutglà (Celta Vigo) 5.8 and Adrián Niño Heredia (Malaga) 4.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Celta Vigo next travel to Salamanca UDS on 13 November 2026.

Malaga next travel to Osasuna on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Celta Vigo: Salamanca UDS v Celta Vigo, Friday 13 November — the preview. Next for Malaga: Osasuna v Malaga, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Celta Vigo 1–1 Malaga · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Abanca-Balaídos · Vigo
  • Referee: C. Muniz
  • Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Celta Vigo 0 · draws 1 · Malaga 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Celta Vigo 0W 3D 2L · Malaga 1W 2D 2L

Celta Vigo 1–1 Malaga (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 210 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 5
Corners
against 4.63 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.67 yellows
Referee · C. Muniz
24.83 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
210
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCelta Vigo for / againstLineMalaga for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
0.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
8.5 for · 14.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.38 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 14.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: C. Muniz — 3.67 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.83 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo Goalkeeper

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. Radu590450 min153 /9051 /9000 /90
Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Radu n 890
3.57/4

Celta Vigo Defensive

Celta Vigo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Yoel Lago581405 min30.7 /9061.3 /9051.1 /90102.2 /9071.6 /9010.2 /90
Javi Rueda549246 min51.8 /9041.5 /9000 /90165.9 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
Marcos Alonso480321 min61.7 /90102.8 /9010.3 /90143.9 /9051.4 /9020.6 /90
Javi Rodríguez375225 min31.2 /9031.2 /9000 /9041.6 /9010.4 /9000 /90
C. Starfelt373218 min83.3 /9041.7 /9000 /90156.2 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
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Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Radu n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Yoel Lago n 884.4
1.15/3
1.15/2
Einar Galilea
Miguel Román n 878.8
0.32/0
0.75/0
—
Sergio Carreira n 873.9
1.16/1
1.76/3
—
Javi Rueda n 855.8
0.83/1
26/4
—
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Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Yoel Lago n 884.4
1.26/2
Miguel Román n 878.8
0.74/1
Sergio Carreira n 873.9
0.32/0
Javi Rueda n 855.8
1.45/2
Iago Aspas n 847.1
0.73/0
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Celta Vigo Attacking

Celta Vigo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Iago Aspas543214 min10.4 /9000 /9041.7 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9031.3 /90
W. Swedberg455218 min00 /9000 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9020.8 /90
Pablo Durán450201 min00 /9000 /9020.9 /9010.4 /9020.9 /9031.3 /90
Ferran Jutglà374223 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9020.8 /9000 /90
J. El Abdellaoui351153 min00 /9000 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9000 /9010.6 /90
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Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Radu n 890
00/0
00/0
Yoel Lago n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
Miguel Román n 878.8
00/0
00/0
Sergio Carreira n 873.9
0.52/1
0.21/0
Javi Rueda n 855.8
0.21/0
00/0
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Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Radu n 890
00/0
00/0
Miguel Román n 878.8
00/0
0.11/0
Yoel Lago n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Sergio Carreira n 873.9
00/0
00/0
Javi Rueda n 855.8
00/0
0.21/0
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Malaga

Malaga Goalkeeper

Malaga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alfonso Herrero490360 min153.8 /9071.8 /9000 /90
Malaga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alfonso Herrero n 891.6
2.97/5

Malaga Defensive

Malaga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Ángel Recio490360 min41 /9041 /9020.5 /9071.8 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Rafita484337 min30.8 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90195.1 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
Einar Galilea484334 min41.1 /9041.1 /9030.8 /90113 /9030.8 /9000 /90
Puga461245 min82.9 /9051.8 /9020.7 /90238.4 /9082.9 /9020.7 /90
José Salinas346138 min00 /9032 /9021.3 /9063.9 /9010.7 /9000 /90
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Malaga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Chupe n 878.9
0.74/1
15/2
—
Ángel Recio n 881
0.64/0
0.85/1
—
Alfonso Herrero n 891.6
00/0
0.22/0
—
Rafita n 888.8
16/1
1.65/3
—
Einar Galilea n 880.6
0.85/1
0.32/0
Yoel Lago
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Malaga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ángel Recio n 881
0.63/1
Chupe n 878.9
0.64/0
Rafita n 888.8
1.55/4
Einar Galilea n 880.6
1.35/2
Carlos Dotor n 883.1
2.48/6
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Malaga Attacking

Malaga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Chupe490360 min10.3 /9000 /9092.3 /9030.8 /9020.5 /9000 /90
David Larrubia476304 min00 /9000 /9051.5 /9020.6 /9061.8 /90123.6 /90
H. Abaida21733 min00 /9000 /9012.7 /9000 /9012.7 /9012.7 /90
Carlos Dotor479316 min00 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9041.1 /9030.9 /90
Izan Merino473293 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9030.9 /9000 /90
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Malaga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Chupe n 878.9
2.16/5
15/2
Ángel Recio n 881
0.32/0
0.32/0
Alfonso Herrero n 891.6
00/0
00/0
Rafita n 888.8
00/0
00/0
Einar Galilea n 880.6
00/0
00/0
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Malaga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 7 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Chupe n 878.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
Alfonso Herrero n 891.6
00/0
00/0
Ángel Recio n 881
00/0
00/0
Rafita n 888.8
00/0
00/0
Einar Galilea n 880.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Celta VigoMalaga
46%Possession54%
1.90Expected goals (xG)0.43
17Shots12
5Shots on target2
8Shots off target7
4Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box6
1Corners5
6Offsides0
10Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves4
484Passes559
88%Pass accuracy89%

Celta Vigo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Radu9000000006.7
Miguel Román9000200307.3
Yoel Lago90000001Y6.9
Sergio Carreira9000110107
S. Cáceres9000100107
Marcos Alonso9000000206.9
Javi Rueda8400004106.9
Ferran Jutglà8410321007.9
I. Moriba7400101107.2
Hugo Álvarez7400101006.6
Hugo González6201212006.9
W. Swedberg sub2800112106.7
C. Driouech sub1600000006.3
H. Burcio sub1600000106.9
Javi Galán sub1100000006.3
Iago Aspas sub1100100006.5

Malaga Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Pablo Martínez9001115106.9
Ángel Recio9000200006.3
Rafita9000000106.7
David Larrubia9000201106.7
Chupe9000101006.3
Alfonso Herrero9000000008.2
José Salinas8700001206.3
Izan Merino6700000006.3
Dani Lorenzo6700001006
Joaquín Muñoz6100000106.3
Einar Galilea45000000Y6.7
Ramón Enríquez sub4500000007
Juan Cruz sub2900000007.2
Puga sub2300000107
Adrián Niño Heredia sub2310311007.7
Juan Berrocal sub800000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Celta Vigo v Malaga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Celta VigoDLLDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
MalagaWLDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Celta Vigo 0 · 1 draw · Malaga 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2018-03-18 Celta Vigo 0–0 Malaga
  • 2017-10-29 Malaga 2–1 Celta Vigo
League standing · 2026/27
Celta Vigo#11 pos13 pts12 pl0 GD
Malaga#20 pos5 pts12 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
Celta Vigo scored0.83
Malaga scored0.75
Celta Vigo conceded0.83
Malaga conceded1.92

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Celta Vigo 1.48 xG from 17 shots, Malaga 0.55 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Williot Swedberg 62' · 0.41 xGSergio Carreira 24' · 0.27 xGFerrán Jutglà 65' · 0.11 xGHugo Álvarez 10' · 0.11 xGHugo Burcio 89' · 0.10 xGÁngel Recio 15' · 0.09 xGChupe 51' · 0.08 xGFerrán Jutglà 17' · 0.07 xGAdrián Niño 70' · 0.07 xGIago Aspas 88' · 0.06 xGHugo Gonzalez 28' · 0.05 xGDavid Larrubia 7' · 0.04 xGIlaix Moriba 34' · 0.04 xGHugo Gonzalez 55' · 0.04 xGAdrián Niño 73' · 0.03 xGJoaquín Muñoz 10' · 0.03 xGPablo Martínez 47' · 0.03 xGMarcos Alonso 56' · 0.03 xGMiguel Román 46' · 0.03 xGChupe 93' · 0.03 xGMiguel Román 90' · 0.02 xGCouhaib Driouech 91' · 0.02 xGHugo Gonzalez 38' · 0.02 xGDavid Larrubia 80' · 0.02 xGÁngel Recio 53' · 0.01 xGSebastián Cáceres 90' · 0.01 xGJuan Cruz 82' · 0.01 xGAdrián Niño 82' · 0.10 xG · goalFerrán Jutglà 40' · 0.06 xG · goal
Celta Vigo (attacking right)Malaga (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Celta Vigo1711.48
Malaga1210.55

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Celta Vigo led on xG, 0.63 to 0.17. At full time, Celta Vigo led on xG, 1.48 to 0.55. The widest gap was 0.96 xG to Celta Vigo, in the 65th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.50.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Celta Vigo 40 minGoal - Malaga 82 min
Celta Vigo 1.48 xGMalaga 0.55 xGdots = goals · 29 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Celta Vigo v Malaga?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Celta Vigo v Malaga was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Celta Vigo and Malaga?
In their last 2 meetings, Celta Vigo won 0, Malaga won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Celta Vigo and Malaga?
Recent form — Celta Vigo 0W 3D 2L; Malaga 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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