Celta VigoSevilla

Celta Vigo v Sevilla result

Full-time · Celta Vigo 1–0 Sevilla

La Liga · · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Celta Vigo · Sevilla · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Celta Vigo 1–0 Sevilla — Celta Vigo won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 836 of 1,295 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Celta Vigo: 1.62 to 0.76 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 48th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Celta Vigo beat Sevilla 1–0 at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos in La Liga on Saturday 23 May. Celta Vigo have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Celta Vigo: I. Moriba (51’, assisted by Fer López).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with I. Moriba’s goal on 51 minutes.

Discipline

F. Maeso showed two yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Celta Vigo: I. Moriba (38’); Sevilla: Neal Maupay (90+6’).

What it changes

Celta Vigo have scored nine goals, the eighth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Celta Vigo have conceded eight goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Sevilla have scored seven goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Sevilla have conceded nine goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Fer López (Celta Vigo) 10.3, I. Moriba (Celta Vigo) 5.3 and Ionuț Radu (Celta Vigo) 4.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Sevilla, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

Celta Vigo next host Levante on 8 November 2026.

Sevilla next host Real Betis on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Celta Vigo: Celta Vigo v Levante, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Sevilla: Sevilla v Real Betis, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Celta Vigo 1–0 Sevilla · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Abanca-Balaídos · Vigo
  • Referee: F. Maeso
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Celta Vigo 3 · draws 2 · Sevilla 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L · Sevilla 3W 0D 2L

Celta Vigo 1–0 Sevilla (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5
Corners
against 4.63 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 3.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.44 yellows
Referee · F. Maeso
27.44 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCelta Vigo for / againstLineSevilla for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
7.75 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 9.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.5 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
3.25 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: F. Maeso — 3.44 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 27.44 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo Goalkeeper

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. Radu49904416 min1372.8 /90641.3 /9020 /90
Iván Villar290180 min63 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Radu n 890
3.48/5

Celta Vigo Defensive

Celta Vigo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Marcos Alonso42883675 min571.4 /90350.9 /90200.5 /901654 /90320.8 /9070.2 /90
Javi Rodríguez42813409 min571.5 /90280.7 /90220.6 /901423.7 /90461.2 /9060.2 /90
C. Starfelt29812352 min291.1 /90281.1 /90220.8 /90873.3 /90281.1 /9040.2 /90
Manu Fernández14721007 min171.5 /90111 /9030.3 /90353.1 /90131.2 /9030.3 /90
Yoel Lago13801043 min171.5 /9090.8 /90110.9 /90423.6 /90232 /9050.4 /90
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Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Radu n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Borja Iglesias n 843.3
1.63/2
2.15/2
—
I. Moriba n 878.8
2.38/4
1.76/4
D. Sow
Marcos Alonso n 888.3
16/2
15/3
José Ángel Carmona
Javi Rodríguez n 884.4
0.85/1
0.96/1
José Ángel Carmona
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Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Borja Iglesias n 843.3
0.52/0
I. Moriba n 878.8
3.37/5
Marcos Alonso n 888.3
2.26/4
Javi Rodríguez n 884.4
1.15/2
Sergio Carreira n 875.9
0.94/2
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Celta Vigo Attacking

Celta Vigo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Borja Iglesias46552539 min160.6 /9030.1 /90521.8 /90341.2 /90220.8 /90150.5 /90
Ferran Jutglà39542116 min100.4 /9030.1 /90472 /90271.1 /90190.8 /90231 /90
W. Swedberg36491768 min100.5 /9070.4 /90241.2 /90211.1 /90170.9 /90130.7 /90
Iago Aspas36491755 min80.4 /9030.2 /90321.6 /90211.1 /90482.5 /90170.9 /90
Pablo Durán35511778 min50.3 /9020.1 /90301.5 /90180.9 /90130.7 /90100.5 /90
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Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Radu n 890
00/0
00/0
Borja Iglesias n 843.3
14/0
14/0
I. Moriba n 878.8
0.11/0
00/0
Marcos Alonso n 888.3
0.31/1
00/0
Javi Rodríguez n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
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Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Radu n 890
00/0
00/0
Borja Iglesias n 843.3
0.83/0
00/0
I. Moriba n 878.8
00/0
0.11/0
Marcos Alonso n 888.3
00/0
00/0
Javi Rodríguez n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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Sevilla

Sevilla Goalkeeper

Sevilla — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Vlachodimos34903066 min942.8 /90531.6 /9010 /90
Ø. Nyland590450 min122.4 /9081.6 /9000 /90
Sevilla — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Vlachodimos n 890
23/3

Sevilla Defensive

Sevilla — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
José Ángel Carmona36732626 min692.4 /90421.4 /90100.3 /901786.1 /90521.8 /90140.5 /90
N. Gudelj33762523 min361.3 /90281 /90190.7 /90933.3 /90441.6 /90100.4 /90
G. Suazo27742005 min843.8 /90271.2 /9050.2 /901265.7 /90311.4 /9070.3 /90
Kike Salas25882197 min592.4 /90371.5 /90180.7 /901787.3 /90321.3 /9010 /90
Oso21721517 min301.8 /90110.7 /9040.2 /90834.9 /90130.8 /9000 /90
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Sevilla — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
José Ángel Carmona n 864.9
1.97/4
1.26/1
Javi Rodríguez
L. Agoumé n 873.6
1.76/3
0.32/0
—
O. Vlachodimos n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
N. Gudelj n 882.1
1.55/3
0.11/0
—
D. Sow n 855.4
1.64/3
1.45/1
I. Moriba
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Sevilla — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
José Ángel Carmona n 864.9
2.37/5
L. Agoumé n 873.6
3.87/7
N. Gudelj n 882.1
16/1
D. Sow n 855.4
3.55/4
Juanlu Sánchez n 846.6
3.15/5
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Sevilla Attacking

Sevilla — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Adams30682030 min100.4 /9030.1 /90482.1 /90301.3 /90130.6 /90150.7 /90
Isaac27591586 min50.3 /9000 /90362 /90160.9 /90140.8 /90100.6 /90
A. Sánchez26511314 min40.3 /9020.1 /90191.3 /9080.5 /90281.9 /9070.5 /90
C. Ejuke1946879 min00 /9000 /90101 /9020.2 /90121.2 /90454.6 /90
Peque Fernández1853958 min10.1 /9010.1 /9090.8 /9050.5 /90171.6 /90171.6 /90
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Sevilla — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
José Ángel Carmona n 864.9
0.31/1
00/0
L. Agoumé n 873.6
0.21/0
00/0
O. Vlachodimos n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Gudelj n 882.1
1.45/3
0.43/0
D. Sow n 855.4
0.42/0
00/0
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Sevilla — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
José Ángel Carmona n 864.9
00/0
00/0
L. Agoumé n 873.6
00/0
0.21/0
O. Vlachodimos n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Gudelj n 882.1
0.11/0
00/0
D. Sow n 855.4
00/0
0.63/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Celta VigoSevilla
55%Possession45%
1.59Expected goals (xG)0.80
12Shots9
3Shots on target2
8Shots off target5
1Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box4
4Corners3
0Offsides2
11Fouls20
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves2
531Passes435
89%Pass accuracy86%

Celta Vigo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Radu9000000007.3
Javi Rodríguez9000100007
Yoel Lago9000100307.9
Marcos Alonso9000100007.6
I. Moriba90101102Y7.9
Sergio Carreira9000211007.3
Javi Rueda8900001107
Fer López7401104508.3
Borja Iglesias7400000006
Iago Aspas6600001106.3
W. Swedberg6500200006.3
Hugo Álvarez sub2500101006.3
Ferran Jutglà sub2400002107.2
M. Vecino sub1600000106.7
Pablo Durán sub1600110106.6
Óscar Mingueza sub10000010–

Sevilla Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ø. Nyland9000000006.3
José Ángel Carmona9000002106.9
César Azpilicueta9000001106.6
Kike Salas9000000207
G. Suazo9000000206
D. Sow9000001106.2
L. Agoumé8600001106.2
Oso7700001207
Peque Fernández6400100206.9
A. Sánchez6400110206.5
Isaac6400200106.2
R. Vargas sub2600200106.6
A. Adams sub2600000006.7
N. Maupay sub26000010Y6.2
C. Ejuke sub1300000006.7
N. Gudelj sub900110006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Celta Vigo v Sevilla — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Celta VigoLWWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
SevillaLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Celta Vigo 3 · 2 draws · Sevilla 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-01-12 Sevilla 0–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2025-05-10 Celta Vigo 3–2 Sevilla
  • 2024-12-14 Sevilla 1–0 Celta Vigo
  • 2024-03-17 Sevilla 1–2 Celta Vigo
  • 2023-11-04 Celta Vigo 1–1 Sevilla
  • 2023-04-07 Sevilla 2–2 Celta Vigo
League standing · 2025/26
Celta Vigo#6 pos54 pts38 pl+5 GD
Sevilla#13 pos43 pts38 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
Celta Vigo scored1.39
Sevilla scored1.21
Celta Vigo conceded1.26
Sevilla conceded1.58

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Celta Vigo 1.62 xG from 12 shots, Sevilla 0.76 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Alexis Sánchez 43' · 0.52 xGFernando López 48' · 0.48 xGWilliot Swedberg 57' · 0.41 xGWilliot Swedberg 5' · 0.35 xGHugo Álvarez 76' · 0.09 xGSergio Carreira 67' · 0.07 xGYoel Lago 13' · 0.06 xGPablo Durán 91' · 0.04 xGRuben Vargas 64' · 0.04 xGIsaac Romero 44' · 0.04 xGMarcos Alonso 23' · 0.03 xGAkor Adams 70' · 0.03 xGPeque 29' · 0.03 xGNemanja Gudelj 87' · 0.03 xGSergio Carreira 49' · 0.03 xGRuben Vargas 84' · 0.02 xGIsaac Romero 41' · 0.02 xGRuben Vargas 68' · 0.02 xGJavier Rodríguez 82' · 0.01 xGSergio Carreira 42' · 0.01 xGIlaix Moriba 50' · 0.02 xG · goal
Celta Vigo (attacking right)Sevilla (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Celta Vigo1211.62
Sevilla900.76

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Celta Vigo 0.46, Sevilla 0.61. At full time, Celta Vigo led on xG, 1.62 to 0.76. The widest gap was 0.88 xG to Celta Vigo, in the 82nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Celta Vigo 50 min
Celta Vigo 1.62 xGSevilla 0.76 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Celta Vigo v Sevilla?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Celta Vigo v Sevilla was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Celta Vigo and Sevilla?
In their last 6 meetings, Celta Vigo won 3, Sevilla won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Celta Vigo and Sevilla?
Recent form — Celta Vigo 2W 1D 2L; Sevilla 3W 0D 2L.

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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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