EspanyolReal Madrid

Espanyol v Real Madrid result

Full-time · Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid

La Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid — Real Madrid won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 561 of 877 times (64%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Real Madrid: 1.50 to 1.09 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 17, ahead on xG from the 78th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Real Madrid won 2–0 at Espanyol in La Liga on Sunday 3 May. Espanyol are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Madrid: Vinícius Júnior (55’, assisted by Gonzalo García; 66’, assisted by Jude Bellingham).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Vinícius Júnior’s goal on 55 minutes.

Discipline

J. Manzano showed seven yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Espanyol: Omar El Hilali (26’), Edu Expósito (45+2’) and Urko González (85’); Real Madrid: Brahim Díaz (22’), Vinícius Júnior (23’), Trent Alexander-Arnold (50’) and Gonzalo García (75’).

What it changes

Espanyol stay 13th after this result (34 league matches played).

Real Madrid stay second after this result (34 league matches played).

Real Madrid have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Espanyol have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) 10.2, Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) 7.3 and Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Espanyol next travel to Athletic Club on 22 November 2026.

Real Madrid next host Celta Vigo on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Espanyol: Athletic Club v Espanyol, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Real Madrid: Real Madrid v Celta Vigo, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid · La Liga
  • Referee: J. Manzano
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Espanyol 1 · draws 0 · Real Madrid 5 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Espanyol 0W 2D 3L · Real Madrid 1W 2D 2L

Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.5 / 6.13
Corners
against 4.75 / 6.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 7.75
Shots on target
against 6.88 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.11 yellows
Referee · J. Manzano
27.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameEspanyol for / againstLineReal Madrid for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
3our book
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 15.38 against n 8
19.5standard
17 for · 16.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 6.88 against n 8
8.5standard
7.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.63 for · 13.38 against n 8
21.5standard
9.63 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
4.13 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: J. Manzano — 5.11 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 27.33 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Espanyol

Espanyol Goalkeeper

Espanyol — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Dmitrović33902970 min1163.5 /90491.5 /9000 /90
Espanyol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dmitrović n 890
58/6

Espanyol Defensive

Espanyol — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Cabrera32902880 min351.1 /90230.7 /90210.7 /901404.4 /90321 /9030.1 /90
Carlos Romero31892760 min913 /90351.1 /90120.4 /901545 /90401.3 /9040.1 /90
O. El Hilali29842439 min622.3 /90341.3 /90110.4 /901114.1 /90351.3 /9070.3 /90
Fernando Calero23801843 min261.3 /90251.2 /90291.4 /90653.2 /9090.4 /9040.2 /90
C. Riedel16801274 min292 /9090.6 /9070.5 /90674.7 /90231.6 /9040.3 /90
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Espanyol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Dmitrović n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
T. Dolan n 870
1.35/3
1.15/2
—
Roberto Fernández n 838.5
1.84/2
0.93/0
—
L. Cabrera n 890
1.57/3
0.11/0
—
Carlos Romero n 890
1.15/4
0.43/0
—
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Espanyol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Dolan n 870
1.36/2
Roberto Fernández n 838.5
0.61/1
L. Cabrera n 890
0.94/2
Carlos Romero n 890
2.97/7
Edu Expósito n 872.3
1.26/1
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Espanyol Attacking

Espanyol — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Roberto Fernández33632068 min60.3 /9020.1 /90401.7 /90210.9 /90160.7 /9090.4 /90
Kike García30561673 min60.3 /9010.1 /90462.5 /90251.3 /90191 /9080.4 /90
Jofre Carreras1844794 min10.1 /9000 /90131.5 /9040.5 /90121.4 /90141.6 /90
Antoniu Roca532162 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /9021.1 /9031.7 /90
L. Koleosho346139 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9053.2 /9053.2 /90
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Espanyol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Dmitrović n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Dolan n 870
0.61/1
0.31/1
Roberto Fernández n 838.5
2.96/3
1.54/1
L. Cabrera n 890
0.31/1
00/0
Carlos Romero n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
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Espanyol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Dmitrović n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Dolan n 870
00/0
0.21/0
Roberto Fernández n 838.5
0.31/0
00/0
L. Cabrera n 890
00/0
00/0
Carlos Romero n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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Real Madrid

Real Madrid Goalkeeper

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Thibaut Courtois47894185 min1423.1 /90461 /9000 /90
A. Lunin1187952 min353.3 /90212 /9000 /90
Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
2.96/5
A. Lunin n 884.4
3.36/6

Real Madrid Defensive

Real Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dean Huijsen41803276 min571.6 /90351 /90250.7 /901694.6 /90330.9 /9090.2 /90
Álvaro Fernández36893217 min702 /90481.3 /90160.4 /901815.1 /90401.1 /9090.3 /90
Raúl Asencio33722360 min230.9 /90150.6 /90180.7 /90853.2 /90251 /9080.3 /90
A. Rüdiger27842258 min150.6 /90100.4 /90130.5 /90542.2 /90170.7 /9020.1 /90
Trent Alexander-Arnold25751879 min351.7 /90211 /9060.3 /90512.4 /90100.5 /9030.1 /90
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Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Vinícius Júnior n 882.3
0.84/2
2.67/6
—
A. Güler n 862
0.94/1
1.66/2
—
F. Valverde n 884.4
0.75/0
0.32/0
—
A. Tchouaméni n 882.6
1.47/3
0.84/2
—
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
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Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 882.3
0.42/1
A. Güler n 862
2.77/4
F. Valverde n 884.4
1.67/3
A. Tchouaméni n 882.6
2.27/6
Kylian Mbappé n 872.3
0.64/0
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Real Madrid Attacking

Real Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Vinícius Júnior55794370 min200.4 /90110.2 /901302.7 /90721.5 /90972 /901302.7 /90
Kylian Mbappé43823540 min421.1 /9050.1 /901533.9 /90982.5 /90992.5 /90982.5 /90
Gonzalo García26601565 min100.6 /9020.1 /90281.6 /90201.2 /90140.8 /9050.3 /90
Rodrygo22511125 min30.2 /9050.4 /90312.5 /90191.5 /90302.4 /90312.5 /90
Franco Mastantuono20591189 min30.2 /9000 /90312.3 /90110.8 /90141.1 /90231.7 /90
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Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 882.3
4.28/7
2.36/6
A. Güler n 862
1.34/3
0.94/1
F. Valverde n 884.4
1.77/4
1.56/4
A. Tchouaméni n 882.6
1.26/3
0.53/1
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 882.3
0.84/2
0.11/0
A. Güler n 862
0.52/1
0.21/0
F. Valverde n 884.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Tchouaméni n 882.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
EspanyolReal Madrid
33%Possession67%
1.21Expected goals (xG)2.08
17Shots15
3Shots on target5
8Shots off target5
6Blocked shots5
10Shots inside the box11
5Corners6
1Offsides2
19Fouls16
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Saves3
305Passes634
80%Pass accuracy91%

Espanyol Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Dmitrović9000000006.9
O. El Hilali90000011Y6.3
Fernando Calero9000000006.3
L. Cabrera9000110006.5
Carlos Romero9000212107.2
Urko González90000001Y6.5
Ramón Terrats7300201006.2
T. Dolan7300003106.7
Roberto Fernández7300200106.9
Edu Expósito61001121Y7
Rubén Sánchez6100202106.9
C. Pickel sub2900000206.3
Antoniu Roca sub2900000106.5
Pere Milla sub1700002006.7
Jofre Carreras sub1700001106.9
Kike García sub1700100006.5

Real Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Lunin9000000007.5
Trent Alexander-Arnold90000020Y7
A. Rüdiger9000000007.2
Dean Huijsen9000100007.9
F. Valverde9000110007
J. Bellingham9001111107.6
A. Tchouaméni8400100307.6
Vinícius Júnior84202230Y10
Thiago Pitarch5300001206.6
Brahim Díaz53001001Y6.2
F. Mendy1400000006.6
Fran García sub7600001306.9
Gonzalo García sub37012010Y6.2
Franco Mastantuono sub3700111006.6
Eduardo Camavinga sub1200000006.6
César Palacios sub1200000206.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Espanyol v Real Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
EspanyolLDLLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Real MadridLDLWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Espanyol 1 · 0 draws · Real Madrid 5 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2025-09-20 Real Madrid 2–0 Espanyol
  • 2025-02-01 Espanyol 1–0 Real Madrid
  • 2024-09-21 Real Madrid 4–1 Espanyol
  • 2023-03-11 Real Madrid 3–1 Espanyol
  • 2022-08-28 Espanyol 1–3 Real Madrid
  • 2022-04-30 Real Madrid 4–0 Espanyol
League standing · 2025/26
Espanyol#11 pos46 pts38 pl-12 GD
Real Madrid#2 pos86 pts38 pl+42 GD
Goals per game
Espanyol scored1.13
Real Madrid scored2.03
Espanyol conceded1.45
Real Madrid conceded0.92

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Espanyol 1.09 xG from 17 shots, Real Madrid 1.50 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Leandro Cabrera 47' · 0.44 xGJude Bellingham 92' · 0.27 xGFranco Mastantuono 78' · 0.13 xGGonzalo García 80' · 0.12 xGRamón Terrats 28' · 0.11 xGFederico Valverde 39' · 0.10 xGVinícius Júnior 7' · 0.09 xGRoberto Fernández 2' · 0.08 xGGonzalo García 57' · 0.08 xGRoberto Fernández 35' · 0.07 xGBrahim Diaz 42' · 0.06 xGCarlos Romero 86' · 0.06 xGRamón Terrats 56' · 0.06 xGCarlos Romero 75' · 0.04 xGRamón Terrats 47' · 0.04 xGCharles Pickel 72' · 0.03 xGAurelien Tchouameni 29' · 0.03 xGCarlos Romero 40' · 0.03 xGJude Bellingham 62' · 0.03 xGCarlos Romero 86' · 0.03 xGRubén Sánchez 3' · 0.02 xGKike García 73' · 0.02 xGRubén Sánchez 46' · 0.02 xGJude Bellingham 6' · 0.02 xGEdu Expósito 51' · 0.02 xGAntonio Rüdiger 13' · 0.02 xGFederico Valverde 0' · 0.02 xGRamón Terrats 64' · 0.02 xGEdu Expósito 45' · 0.01 xGDean Huijsen 14' · 0.01 xGVinícius Júnior 54' · 0.41 xG · goalVinícius Júnior 65' · 0.11 xG · goal
Espanyol (attacking right)Real Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Espanyol1701.09
Real Madrid1521.50

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Espanyol 0.33, Real Madrid 0.35. At full time, Real Madrid led on xG, 1.50 to 1.09. The widest gap was 0.49 xG to Espanyol, in the 51st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.50.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Real Madrid 54 minGoal - Real Madrid 65 min
Espanyol 1.09 xGReal Madrid 1.50 xGdots = goals · 32 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Espanyol v Real Madrid?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Espanyol v Real Madrid was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Espanyol and Real Madrid?
In their last 6 meetings, Espanyol won 1, Real Madrid won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Espanyol and Real Madrid?
Recent form — Espanyol 0W 2D 3L; Real Madrid 1W 2D 2L.

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