This Matchweek

EspanyolReal Madrid

Espanyol v Real Madrid result

Full-time · Espanyol 1–2 Real Madrid

La Liga · · Campo Nuevo Municipal de Cornella

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Espanyol 1–2 Real Madrid — Real Madrid won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,974 of 2,640 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Real Madrid: 2.64 to 1.30 in expected goals, from 21 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 52nd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Real Madrid won 2–1 at Campo Nuevo Municipal de Cornella in La Liga on Saturday 22 August. Espanyol have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Real Madrid: Jude Bellingham (9’, assisted by Arda Güler) and Carlos Espí (90’); Espanyol: Álex Calatrava (30’, assisted by Javier Hernandez).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Carlos Espí’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain showed six yellow cards — against 6.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Espanyol: Álex Calatrava (32’), Clemens Riedel (59’), Edu Expósito (84’), Pere Milla (90+1’) and Pol Lozano (90+4’); Real Madrid: Vinícius Júnior (32’).

What it changes

Espanyol move down from first to third (two league matches played).

Real Madrid are fifth after this result (one league match played).

Real Madrid have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) 8.6, Arda Güler (Real Madrid) 8.2 and Álex Calatrava (Espanyol) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Espanyol or Real Madrid (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Espanyol next travel to Athletic Club on 22 November 2026.

Real Madrid next host Celta Vigo on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Espanyol: Athletic Club v Espanyol, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Real Madrid: Real Madrid v Celta Vigo, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Espanyol 1–2 Real Madrid · La Liga
  • Venue: Campo Nuevo Municipal de Cornella · Cornella de Llobregat
  • Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Espanyol 1 · draws 0 · Real Madrid 5 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Espanyol 3W 1D 1L · Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L

Espanyol 1–2 Real Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.88
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.13
Corners
against 5.5 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6 yellows
Referee · José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain
28.29 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameEspanyol for / againstLineReal Madrid for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
3our book
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 13.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 15.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain — 6 yellow cards a game, 0.57 red cards, 28.29 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Espanyol

Espanyol Defensive

Espanyol — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Riedel19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9044 /9033 /9000 /90
O. El Hilali19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /9033 /9022 /9000 /90
Roger Hinojo19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9011 /9000 /90
Unai Núñez19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
Edu Expósito18686 min22.1 /9000 /9000 /9044.2 /9000 /9000 /90
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Espanyol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Riedel n 886.1
2.27/6
0.54/0
—
Roberto Fernández n 865.3
1.64/3
2.16/3
—
O. El Hilali n 890
1.55/5
0.42/1
—
M. Dmitrović n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Edu Expósito n 881
1.16/2
1.37/1
—
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Espanyol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. El Hilali n 890
28/3
C. Riedel n 886.1
1.26/2
Roberto Fernández n 865.3
0.73/1
Edu Expósito n 881
2.57/5
T. Dolan n 865
1.65/2
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Espanyol Attacking

Espanyol — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Roberto Fernández19090 min22 /9000 /9022 /9022 /9022 /9000 /90
Edu Expósito18686 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9011 /90
Javier Hernandez18282 min00 /9011.1 /9022.2 /9011.1 /9033.3 /9011.1 /90
T. Dolan18181 min11.1 /9000 /9022.2 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /90
Álex Calatrava17272 min00 /9000 /9022.5 /9022.5 /9011.3 /9011.3 /90
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Espanyol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Roberto Fernández n 865.3
1.96/4
0.93/2
M. Dmitrović n 890
00/0
00/0
O. El Hilali n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Riedel n 886.1
00/0
00/0
Edu Expósito n 881
1.37/2
0.64/0
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Espanyol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Roberto Fernández n 865.3
0.52/1
0.21/0
M. Dmitrović n 890
00/0
00/0
O. El Hilali n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Riedel n 886.1
00/0
00/0
Edu Expósito n 881
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
EspanyolReal Madrid
37%Possession63%
1.05Expected goals (xG)2.71
8Shots21
3Shots on target8
4Shots off target7
1Blocked shots6
4Shots inside the box14
0Corners8
3Offsides0
19Fouls7
5Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
6Saves2
326Passes552
84%Pass accuracy92%

Espanyol Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Dmitrović9000000006.9
O. El Hilali9000000106
Unai Núñez9000000006.6
Roger Hinojo9000000306
T. Dolan9000000105.9
Roberto Fernández9000201106.9
Edu Expósito88002104Y7
Urko González7500000006.2
Javier Hernandez7501002106.9
C. Riedel66001101Y6
Álex Calatrava66102113Y7.2
V. Drkusic sub2400000206.7
Rafel Bauzà sub2400000306.6
Pol Lozano sub15000001Y6.3
Pere Milla sub15000000Y6.2
Jofre Carreras sub20000000–

Real Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Thibaut Courtois9000000006.3
I. Konaté9000110307.3
Dean Huijsen9000000007
F. Valverde9000101307.2
Vinícius Júnior90001001Y7
Kylian Mbappé9000731006.5
D. Dumfries8000210406.7
Bernardo Silva8000001106.3
J. Bellingham8010222208.2
Álvaro Fernández6400002206.9
A. Güler6401007208
Marc Cucurella sub2600001106.9
Y. Diomande sub2600001006.3
Trent Alexander-Arnold sub1000000107
Eduardo Camavinga sub1000000106.7
Carlos Espí sub1010111007.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Espanyol v Real Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
EspanyolLWWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Real MadridWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Espanyol 1 · 0 draws · Real Madrid 5 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-05-03 Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid
  • 2025-09-20 Real Madrid 2–0 Espanyol
  • 2025-02-01 Espanyol 1–0 Real Madrid
  • 2024-09-21 Real Madrid 4–1 Espanyol
  • 2023-03-11 Real Madrid 3–1 Espanyol
  • 2022-08-28 Espanyol 1–3 Real Madrid
League standing · 2026/27
Espanyol#13 pos12 pts12 pl-1 GD
Real Madrid#3 pos27 pts11 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Espanyol scored1.08
Real Madrid scored2.55
Espanyol conceded1.17
Real Madrid conceded0.91

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Espanyol 1.30 xG from 8 shots, Real Madrid 2.64 from 21. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Kylian Mbappe-Lottin 52' · 0.73 xGRoberto Fernández 46' · 0.56 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 32' · 0.16 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 77' · 0.11 xGJude Bellingham 52' · 0.11 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 41' · 0.10 xGRoberto Fernández 25' · 0.09 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 69' · 0.09 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 81' · 0.08 xGDenzel Dumfries 32' · 0.08 xGDenzel Dumfries 19' · 0.07 xGCala 48' · 0.07 xGVinícius Júnior 69' · 0.06 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 37' · 0.06 xGDean Huijsen 57' · 0.06 xGDenzel Dumfries 52' · 0.05 xGFederico Valverde 77' · 0.05 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 59' · 0.05 xGDenzel Dumfries 72' · 0.04 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 43' · 0.03 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 14' · 0.03 xGEdu Expósito 46' · 0.03 xGIbrahima Konaté 58' · 0.02 xGEdu Expósito 25' · 0.02 xGClemens Riedel 25' · 0.02 xGEdu Expósito 25' · 0.02 xGCarlos Espí 89' · 0.55 xG · goalCala 29' · 0.49 xG · goalJude Bellingham 8' · 0.10 xG · goal
Espanyol (attacking right)Real Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Espanyol811.30
Real Madrid2122.64

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Espanyol 0.63, Real Madrid 0.64. At full time, Real Madrid led on xG, 2.64 to 1.30. The widest gap was 1.34 xG to Real Madrid, in the 89th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.61.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Real Madrid 8 minGoal - Espanyol 29 minGoal - Real Madrid 89 min
Espanyol 1.30 xGReal Madrid 2.64 xGdots = goals · 29 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Espanyol v Real Madrid?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Espanyol v Real Madrid was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Espanyol and Real Madrid?
In their last 6 meetings, Espanyol won 1, Real Madrid won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Espanyol and Real Madrid?
Recent form — Espanyol 3W 1D 1L; Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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