Girona v Rayo Vallecano result

Full-time · Girona 1–3 Rayo Vallecano

La Liga · Fri, 15 Aug 2025 18:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Girona · Rayo Vallecano · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Girona 1–3 Rayo Vallecano — Rayo Vallecano won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.4% of 170 landed (95% range 44.9–59.7%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Rayo Vallecano: 3.25 to 0.80 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 10th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Rayo Vallecano won 3–1 at Girona in La Liga on Friday 15 August.

The goals

Rayo Vallecano led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Rayo Vallecano: Jorge de Frutos (18’), Álvaro García (20’, assisted by Jorge de Frutos) and Isi Palazón (45’ pen); Girona: Joel Roca (57’, assisted by Viktor Tsygankov). P. Gazzaniga (43’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jorge de Frutos’s goal on 18 minutes.

Discipline

Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain showed one yellow card and one red — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe (15’).

What it changes

Girona are 20th after this result (one league match played).

Rayo Vallecano are first after this result (one league match played).

Girona have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Isi Palazón (Rayo Vallecano) 9.1, Jorge de Frutos (Rayo Vallecano) 9.0 and Joel Roca (Girona) 8.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Girona next host Celta de Vigo II on 24 October 2026.

Rayo Vallecano next host Elche on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Girona: Girona v Celta de Vigo II, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Rayo Vallecano: Rayo Vallecano v Elche, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Girona 1–3 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Girona 3 · draws 2 · Rayo Vallecano 1 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Girona 2W 0D 3L · Rayo Vallecano 3W 2D 0L

Girona 1–3 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.57 / 5.88

Corners

against 5.14 / 5.5 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4 / 5.13

Shots on target

against 5.29 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.14 / 2.5

Cards

against 2 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

4.27 yellows

Referee · Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain

1.73 home / 2.55 away

over 11 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Girona for / against	Line	Rayo Vallecano for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.57 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.88 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.29 for · 12.86 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	14.63 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.13 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.57 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.88 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.14 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain — 4.27 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 28.45 fouls over 11 matches (1.73 to the home side, 2.55 to the away side).

Home 1.73Away 2.55

Girona

Girona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Stuani n 8	58.8	2.9 7/3	1 4/1	—
J. Solis n 8	19.1	2.9 5/0	1.2 2/0	—
Y. Herrera n 8	82.6	2.6 7/6	3 8/6	—
Arthur n 8	78.6	1.9 6/5	2.7 7/6	—
A. Danjuma n 8	58	1.6 5/3	1.7 3/2	—

Girona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Danjuma n 8	58	2.5 6/4	1 4/1
Y. Asprilla n 8	59	1.9 5/3	0.8 4/0
C. Stuani n 8	58.8	1.7 7/2	1.3 6/1
V. Tsygankov n 8	81.8	1.4 5/4	0.6 3/1
Portu n 8	53.5	1.3 4/1	0.8 3/1

Girona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Stuani n 8	58.8	1 5/0	0 0/0
B. Miovski n 8	40.9	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Y. Asprilla n 8	59	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Portu n 8	53.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Juanpe n 8	62.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0

Girona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Solis n 8	19.1	2.9 3/1
Y. Herrera n 8	82.6	2.6 7/5
Alejandro Francés n 8	69.3	2.6 8/5
Arnau Martínez n 8	83.1	2.2 7/4
D. Blind n 8	90	1.8 5/4

Girona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Gazzaniga n 8	90	3.5 6/6

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Nteka n 8	59.4	3.4 8/7	1.3 5/2	—
Óscar Valentín n 8	49.4	3.4 6/5	1.6 6/1	—
Ó. Trejo n 8	30.4	3 5/2	2.6 4/2	—
Gumbau n 8	39.1	2.3 5/2	1.2 2/1	—
A. Espino n 8	43	2.1 4/2	1.3 4/1	—

Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Álvaro García n 8	80	2.7 7/6	1.5 7/2
Sergi Guardiola n 8	25	2.7 2/2	0.9 1/1
Adri Embarba n 8	32.4	2.4 6/1	1 3/0
Isi Palazón n 8	70.4	2.1 7/5	1.3 5/3
Raúl de Tomás n 8	37.4	1.8 3/3	0.9 2/1

Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Isi Palazón n 8	70.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Jorge de Frutos n 8	63.1	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
Ó. Trejo n 8	30.4	0.4 1/0	0 0/0
A. Espino n 8	43	0 0/0	0.3 1/0

Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Espino n 8	43	3.7 7/4
Adri Embarba n 8	32.4	2.8 6/1
Unai López n 8	49.9	2.5 6/3
Óscar Valentín n 8	49.4	2.1 4/3
Jorge de Frutos n 8	63.1	1.8 4/4

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Batalla n 8	90	2.3 6/2
Dani Cárdenas n 8	90	2.1 4/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Girona		Rayo Vallecano
44%	Possession	56%
0.56	Expected goals (xG)	3.43
7	Shots	16
2	Shots on target	5
2	Shots off target	10
3	Blocked shots	1
3	Shots inside the box	12
2	Corners	4
1	Offsides	1
8	Fouls	17
0	Yellow cards	1
1	Red cards	0
2	Saves	1
382	Passes	481
77%	Pass accuracy	86%

Girona player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
David López	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.9
L. Krejčí	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5.9
J. Solis	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Joel Roca	90	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	7.9
V. Tsygankov	90	0	1	0	0	3	2	0	7.6
Y. Herrera	70	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.7
Arnau Martínez	58	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.9
D. Blind	58	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.3
Y. Asprilla	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
B. Miovski	44	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
P. Gazzaniga	43	0	0	0	0	0	0	R	4.2
V. Krapyvtsov sub	46	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
Portu sub	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
Vitor Nunes sub	32	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Hugo Rincón sub	32	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
T. Lemar sub	20	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.9

Rayo Vallecano player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Batalla	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
A. Rațiu	90	0	0	0	0	1	5	0	6.9
F. Lejeune	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.3
Pep Chavarría	90	0	0	1	0	2	2	0	7
P. Ciss	90	0	0	2	2	0	6	0	7.3
Isi Palazón	90	1	0	2	1	5	1	0	7.9
Álvaro García	85	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	7
Unai López	81	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	7
Jorge de Frutos	81	1	1	2	1	1	1	0	8.9
Pedro Díaz	70	0	0	2	0	1	2	0	6.5
Luiz Felipe	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.9
Pelayo Fernández sub	45	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.5
Gumbau sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
A. Espino sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
Óscar Valentín sub	9	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
R. Nteka sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Girona v Rayo Vallecano — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

GironaWLWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Rayo VallecanoWWDWD

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Girona 3 · 2 draws · Rayo Vallecano 1 · 2.83 goals/game

2025-01-26 Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Girona
2024-09-25 Girona 0–0 Rayo Vallecano
2024-02-26 Girona 3–0 Rayo Vallecano
2024-01-17 Girona 3–1 Rayo Vallecano
2023-11-11 Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Girona
2023-03-18 Rayo Vallecano 2–2 Girona

League standing · 2025/26

Girona#19 pos41 pts38 pl-16 GD

Rayo Vallecano#8 pos50 pts38 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Girona scored1.03

Rayo Vallecano scored1.08

Girona conceded1.45

Rayo Vallecano conceded1.16

Shot map and expected goals

Girona 0.80 xG from 7 shots, Rayo Vallecano 3.25 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Girona (attacking right)Rayo Vallecano (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Girona	7	1	0.80
Rayo Vallecano	16	3	3.25

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Girona v Rayo Vallecano?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Girona v Rayo Vallecano was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Girona and Rayo Vallecano?: In their last 6 meetings, Girona won 3, Rayo Vallecano won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Girona and Rayo Vallecano?: Recent form — Girona 2W 0D 3L; Rayo Vallecano 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.