Girona v Celta de Vigo II prediction
Team pages: Girona · Celta de Vigo II
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Girona v Celta de Vigo II, Segunda División on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 17:30 BST.
The match
Girona host Celta de Vigo II in Segunda División on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Girona to win.
The key numbers
Girona are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Five of Girona’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in 10 of Girona’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Girona have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.00. Girona have scored 15 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Girona have conceded nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.
Celta de Vigo II have scored 14 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Celta de Vigo II have conceded 15 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs.
Girona (eighth) and Celta de Vigo II (14th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Girona the stronger side, 193 rating points above Celta de Vigo II (Girona 1694, Celta de Vigo II 1501, after at least nine rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted Girona XI (4-2-3-1): P. Gazzaniga, Á. Moreno, A. Francés, D. López, J. Boñar, I. Gonzalez, F. Beltrán, C. Pérez, Y. Asprilla, I. Morante, A. Ruiz — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Y. Asprilla (4.6 per match over seven appearances, five goals) and Carles Pérez (4.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Girona’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Girona (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Y. Asprilla averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 456 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Carles Pérez averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 475 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.
Predicted Celta de Vigo II XI (3-4-3): C. Carrillo, K. Ribes, A. Rodriguez, P. Meixus, A. Capdevila, G. Miller, J. López, H. Cuenca, O. Marcos, A. Marin, Á. Arcos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Andrés Antañón (4.4 per match over three appearances, one goal) and A. Kibet (4.2 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Celta de Vigo II’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celta de Vigo II (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Kibet averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 362 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Segunda División · Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Girona 2W 2D 1L
Girona v Celta de Vigo II (Segunda División): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Girona for / against | Line | Celta de Vigo II for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.25 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.25 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.63 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.25 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.13 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Girona
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carles Pérez n 8 | 62.8 | 2.3 | 2.3 | — |
| Javier Sarasa n 4 | 59.3 | 2.3 | 1.9 | — |
| I. Gonzalez n 8 | 82.9 | 1.9 | 2 | — |
| Holmes Zamorano n 5 | 81.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 | — |
| Oleksandr Pishchur n 8 | 18.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandr Pishchur n 8 | 18.8 | 4.2 | 0.6 |
| Minsu Kim n 8 | 58.3 | 3.1 | 1 |
| Y. Asprilla n 8 | 50.9 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| Javier Sarasa n 4 | 59.3 | 2.7 | 0.4 |
| Abel Ruiz n 8 | 61.3 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carles Pérez n 8 | 62.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Y. Asprilla n 8 | 50.9 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Abel Ruiz n 8 | 61.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Antonino n 8 | 57.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| V. Vanat n 8 | 61.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Francés n 8 | 78.5 | 4 |
| I. Gonzalez n 8 | 82.9 | 2.6 |
| Iván Morante n 8 | 55 | 2.5 |
| Javier Boñar n 8 | 56.3 | 2.4 |
| Álex Moreno n 8 | 88.5 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Krapyvtsov n 5 | 72.2 | 4 |
| P. Gazzaniga n 8 | 84.4 | 3.9 |
Celta de Vigo II
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Somuah n 3 | 37.7 | 3.2 | 0 | — |
| Alexis Olmedo n 3 | 40.7 | 3 | 2.2 | — |
| M. Sobral n 4 | 65.5 | 2.4 | 1.7 | — |
| H. Burcio n 8 | 38.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | — |
| S. M. Ndiaye n 3 | 47.7 | 1.9 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marin n 8 | 66.1 | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| A. Kibet n 7 | 51.7 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| O. Marcos n 8 | 74.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Ángel Arcos n 8 | 63.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| B. Somuah n 5 | 35 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marin n 8 | 66.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| B. Somuah n 5 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| B. Somuah n 3 | 37.7 | 0.8 | 0 |
| A. Kibet n 7 | 51.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| O. Marcos n 8 | 74.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jan Oliveras n 4 | 28 | 4 |
| A. Kibet n 7 | 51.7 | 3 |
| H. Burcio n 8 | 38.8 | 2.9 |
| J. Lopez n 4 | 68 | 2.6 |
| P. Gavian n 7 | 59.1 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Coke Carrillo n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Girona v Celta de Vigo II — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Girona v Celta de Vigo II?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Girona v Celta de Vigo II is Home win.
- What is the recent form of Girona and Celta de Vigo II?
- Recent form — Girona 2W 2D 1L.
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