Malaga v Barcelona prediction

La Liga · Sun, 13 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT · Estadio La Rosaleda

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 19:35 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Malaga v Barcelona, La Liga on Sun, 13 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Malaga host Barcelona in La Liga on Sunday 13 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Barcelona have scored 46 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). 14 of Barcelona’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (93%).

Malaga have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Barcelona have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Malaga’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Malaga’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Malaga have no wins, five draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.57. Malaga have scored eight goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Malaga have conceded 21 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Both teams scored in 10 of Barcelona’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Barcelona have six wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.57 points per game, scoring 4.00 and conceding 1.43. Barcelona have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

Malaga (20th) and Barcelona (first) are 25 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Barcelona the stronger side, 727 rating points above Malaga (Barcelona 1979, Malaga 1251, after at least 49 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 March 2018, finished Malaga 0–2 Barcelona.

Team news

Predicted Malaga XI (4-1-4-1): A. Herrero, Rafita, Á. Recio, Puga, E. Galilea, D. Larrubia, D. Lorenzo, C. Dotor, R. Enríquez, A. Ben Cheikh, A. Heredia — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, David Larrubia (4.0 per match over 11 appearances) and Adrián Niño Heredia (4.0 per match over seven appearances, five goals) have been Malaga’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Malaga (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), David Larrubia averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 882 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Adrián Niño Heredia averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 370 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Barcelona XI (4-3-3): J. García, P. Paredes, J. Cancelo, G. Martín, B. Farinas, Fermín, Rodri, Pedri, Raphinha, L. Yamal, G. Jesus — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lamine Yamal (10.3 per match over 15 appearances, 13 goals and 11 assists) and Raphinha (8.9 per match over 13 appearances, 19 goals and three assists) have been Barcelona’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Barcelona (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lamine Yamal averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 2269 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Raphinha averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 1416 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 13 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT · La Liga · Estadio La Rosaleda
Head-to-head (last 2): Malaga 0 · draws 0 · Barcelona 2 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Malaga 1W 2D 2L · Barcelona 3W 0D 2L

Malaga v Barcelona (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 3.38

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5 / 5

Corners

against 5.43 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4 / 7.75

Shots on target

against 6 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.29 / 1.38

Cards

against 2.43 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Malaga for / against	Line	Barcelona for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	3.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11 for · 17.86 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	19 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 6 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	7.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.75 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.29 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Malaga

Malaga Goalkeeper

Malaga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alfonso Herrero	11	90990 min	403.6 /90	191.7 /90	00 /90

Malaga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alfonso Herrero n 8	90	3.5 8/7

Malaga Defensive

Malaga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Rafita	11	84922 min	121.2 /90	131.3 /90	80.8 /90	464.5 /90	80.8 /90	20.2 /90
Ángel Recio	10	90900 min	111.1 /90	60.6 /90	80.8 /90	282.8 /90	60.6 /90	00 /90
Puga	9	64572 min	294.6 /90	101.6 /90	60.9 /90	568.8 /90	142.2 /90	30.5 /90
Einar Galilea	8	81649 min	91.2 /90	111.5 /90	30.4 /90	243.3 /90	71 /90	20.3 /90
José Salinas	8	53427 min	122.5 /90	51.1 /90	20.4 /90	245.1 /90	61.3 /90	10.2 /90
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Malaga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Alfonso Herrero n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
Rafita n 8	81.5	0.6 4/0	1.8 7/5	—
David Larrubia n 8	83.5	1.2 4/3	1.1 6/2	—
Ángel Recio n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 2/1	—
Chupe n 8	74.1	1.4 5/3	1.2 5/3	—
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Malaga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Rafita n 8	81.5	1.2 6/3
David Larrubia n 8	83.5	2.2 7/4
Ángel Recio n 8	90	1.3 6/3
Chupe n 8	74.1	0.5 3/0
Carlos Dotor n 8	73.3	2.5 6/6
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Malaga Attacking

Malaga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Chupe	10	77773 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	161.9 /90	60.7 /90	30.3 /90	30.3 /90
Adrián Niño Heredia	7	53370 min	51.2 /90	00 /90	143.4 /90	92.2 /90	30.7 /90	41 /90
H. Abaida	2	1733 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.7 /90	00 /90	12.7 /90	12.7 /90
Eneko Jauregi	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	12 /90	12 /90	00 /90	00 /90
David Larrubia	11	80882 min	00 /90	00 /90	101 /90	40.4 /90	151.5 /90	262.7 /90
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Malaga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Alfonso Herrero n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Rafita n 8	81.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
David Larrubia n 8	83.5	0.8 4/2	0.3 1/1
Ángel Recio n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
Chupe n 8	74.1	2 7/3	0.8 3/2
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Malaga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Alfonso Herrero n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Rafita n 8	81.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
David Larrubia n 8	83.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ángel Recio n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Chupe n 8	74.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Barcelona

Barcelona Goalkeeper

Barcelona — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Joan García	14	871215 min	342.5 /90	80.6 /90
D. Livakovic	1	9090 min	22 /90	11 /90
W. Szczęsny	1	4545 min	00 /90	12 /90

Barcelona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Joan García n 8	84.4	2.9 5/3

Barcelona Defensive

Barcelona — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Pau Cubarsí Paredes	12	881052 min	161.4 /90	141.2 /90	30.3 /90	524.4 /90	80.7 /90	10.1 /90
Gerard Martín	12	78931 min	90.9 /90	121.2 /90	10.1 /90	323.1 /90	101 /90	10.1 /90
X. Espart	9	80724 min	293.6 /90	101.2 /90	00 /90	516.3 /90	151.9 /90	10.1 /90
Eric García	9	75677 min	182.4 /90	70.9 /90	20.3 /90	293.9 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90
João Cancelo	8	85680 min	162.1 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90	374.9 /90	91.2 /90	30.4 /90
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Barcelona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Lamine Yamal n 8	85.5	1.4 5/3	2.4 8/5	—
Pedri n 8	67.8	0.3 2/0	0.7 3/1	—
Joan García n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Rodri n 8	74.5	1.2 5/2	1.4 6/3	—
Fermín n 8	68.3	2.3 6/6	0.5 3/0	—
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Barcelona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Lamine Yamal n 8	85.5	1.1 6/2
Pedri n 8	67.8	1 3/2
Rodri n 8	74.5	2.1 6/3
Fermín n 8	68.3	1.5 6/2
A. Gordon n 8	65.6	1 5/1
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Barcelona Attacking

Barcelona — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Lamine Yamal	15	841265 min	130.9 /90	110.8 /90	644.6 /90	251.8 /90	483.4 /90	594.2 /90
A. Gordon	14	62863 min	30.3 /90	40.4 /90	282.9 /90	171.8 /90	222.3 /90	212.2 /90
Raphinha	13	71924 min	191.9 /90	30.3 /90	353.4 /90	242.3 /90	252.4 /90	212 /90
K. Adeyemi	10	50501 min	40.7 /90	10.2 /90	203.6 /90	71.3 /90	112 /90	142.5 /90
Gabriel Jesus	6	44262 min	31 /90	10.3 /90	72.4 /90	41.4 /90	41.4 /90	62.1 /90
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Barcelona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Lamine Yamal n 8	85.5	4.6 8/8	1.3 5/3
Pedri n 8	67.8	0.7 2/2	0 0/0
Joan García n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Rodri n 8	74.5	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0
Fermín n 8	68.3	2.3 7/4	1 5/1
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Barcelona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barcelona before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Lamine Yamal n 8	85.5	0.7 4/1	0.9 5/2
Pedri n 8	67.8	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Joan García n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Rodri n 8	74.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Fermín n 8	68.3	0.3 2/0	0.8 4/1
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Malaga v Barcelona — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MalagaDLDWL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

BarcelonaWLLWW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 3.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Malaga 0 · 0 draws · Barcelona 2 · 2 goals/game

2018-03-10 Malaga 0–2 Barcelona
2017-10-21 Barcelona 2–0 Malaga

League standing · 2026/27

Malaga#20 pos5 pts11 pl-13 GD

Barcelona#1 pos30 pts11 pl+34 GD

Goals per game

Malaga scored0.73

Barcelona scored4.18

Malaga conceded1.91

Barcelona conceded1.09

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Malaga and Barcelona?: In their last 2 meetings, Malaga won 0, Barcelona won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Malaga and Barcelona?: Recent form — Malaga 1W 2D 2L; Barcelona 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 19:35 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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