Osasuna v Atletico Madrid result

Full-time · Osasuna 1–2 Atletico Madrid

La Liga · Tue, 12 May 2026 20:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Osasuna · Atletico Madrid · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Osasuna 1–2 Atletico Madrid — Atletico Madrid won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,997 of 2,670 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Osasuna: 2.42 to 1.82 in expected goals, 0.74 of Atletico Madrid’s from a penalty, from 23 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the 20th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Atletico Madrid won 2–1 at Osasuna in La Liga on Tuesday 12 May.

The goals

Atletico Madrid led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Atletico Madrid: Ademola Lookman (15’ pen) and Alexander Sørloth (71’, assisted by Marcos Llorente); Osasuna: Kike Barja (90’, assisted by Raúl García). Marcos Llorente (79’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ademola Lookman’s goal on 15 minutes.

Discipline

J. Guzman showed 11 yellow cards and one red — against 6.4 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Osasuna: Javi Galán (14’), Rubén García (30’), Ante Budimir (45+9’), Kike Barja (57’), Catena (85’) and Flavien Boyomo (90+2’); Atletico Madrid: Marcos Llorente (52’), Koke (57’), Marc Pubill (59’), Marcos Llorente (79’) and Robin Le Normand (85’).

What it changes

Osasuna have scored six goals, the eighth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Osasuna have conceded nine goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Atletico Madrid have scored nine goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Atletico Madrid have conceded seven goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Osasuna have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ademola Lookman (Atletico Madrid) 6.7, Moi Gómez (Osasuna) 5.4 and Kike Barja (Osasuna) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Osasuna or Atletico Madrid (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Osasuna next host Malaga on 22 November 2026.

Atletico Madrid next host Barcelona on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Osasuna: Osasuna v Malaga, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Atletico Madrid: Atletico Madrid v Barcelona, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Osasuna 1–2 Atletico Madrid · La Liga
Referee: J. Guzman
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Osasuna 2 · draws 0 · Atletico Madrid 4 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Osasuna 1W 1D 3L · Atletico Madrid 2W 1D 2L

Osasuna 1–2 Atletico Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

3.75 / 4.71

Corners

against 5.75 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.25 / 3.86

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 3.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.25 / 1.43

Cards

against 2.5 / 1.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

6.38 yellows

Referee · J. Guzman

23.75 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Osasuna for / against	Line	Atletico Madrid for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.75 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.71 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	11.13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.43 for · 11.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.86 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	13 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.14 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.43 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: J. Guzman — 6.38 yellow cards a game, 0.75 red cards, 23.75 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Osasuna

Osasuna Goalkeeper

Osasuna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Sergio Herrera	35	893105 min	1103.2 /90	441.3 /90	00 /90

Osasuna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Sergio Herrera n 8	84.4	2.3 6/2

Osasuna Defensive

Osasuna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Catena	33	882893 min	361.1 /90	321 /90	331 /90	1404.4 /90	451.4 /90	100.3 /90
V. Rosier	28	822296 min	451.8 /90	401.6 /90	30.1 /90	1054.1 /90	311.2 /90	60.2 /90
F. Boyomo	27	842275 min	542.1 /90	150.6 /90	130.5 /90	963.8 /90	261 /90	50.2 /90
Jorge Herrando	22	701531 min	321.9 /90	181.1 /90	100.6 /90	694.1 /90	221.3 /90	30.2 /90
Javi Galán	17	881501 min	432.6 /90	271.6 /90	50.3 /90	1197.1 /90	261.6 /90	20.1 /90
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Osasuna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Sergio Herrera n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0	—
Víctor Muñoz n 8	82.4	1.1 6/2	2 8/6	—
Catena n 8	86	1.2 4/4	0.4 3/0	—
Moncayola n 8	87.9	1.4 7/3	0.5 3/1	Koke
A. Budimir n 8	81.4	0.8 6/0	0.8 4/2	—
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Osasuna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Víctor Muñoz n 8	82.4	0.7 4/1
Catena n 8	86	1.3 6/4
Moncayola n 8	87.9	1.8 6/6
A. Budimir n 8	81.4	0.6 2/1
Rubén García n 8	74.8	1.4 7/2
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Osasuna Attacking

Osasuna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Budimir	33	812671 min	170.6 /90	00 /90	772.6 /90	371.2 /90	120.4 /90	30.1 /90
Raúl García	23	37853 min	80.8 /90	10.1 /90	242.5 /90	181.9 /90	70.7 /90	80.8 /90
Raul Moro	11	52571 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90	101.6 /90	111.7 /90
Kike Barja	8	31250 min	00 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	41.4 /90	41.4 /90
S. Becker	7	33230 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	52 /90	31.2 /90	62.3 /90	31.2 /90
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Osasuna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Sergio Herrera n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Víctor Muñoz n 8	82.4	2.6 6/4	1.4 5/3
Catena n 8	86	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
Moncayola n 8	87.9	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
A. Budimir n 8	81.4	2.1 8/6	1.5 7/4
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Osasuna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Sergio Herrera n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Víctor Muñoz n 8	82.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Catena n 8	86	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Moncayola n 8	87.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Budimir n 8	81.4	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
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Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid Goalkeeper

Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Jan Oblak	44	903960 min	1052.4 /90	561.3 /90	00 /90
Juan Musso	15	901357 min	654.3 /90	181.2 /90	10.1 /90

Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Jan Oblak n 8	90	2.3 4/3
Juan Musso n 8	90	4.5 6/6

Atletico Madrid Defensive

Atletico Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Marcos Llorente	46	823764 min	942.2 /90	300.7 /90	130.3 /90	1503.6 /90	431 /90	80.2 /90
Dávid Hancko	45	863850 min	741.7 /90	461.1 /90	230.5 /90	1613.8 /90	200.5 /90	30.1 /90
Matteo Ruggeri	41	783181 min	902.5 /90	501.4 /90	60.2 /90	1373.9 /90	441.2 /90	70.2 /90
Robin Le Normand	38	712697 min	501.7 /90	311 /90	130.4 /90	1505 /90	351.2 /90	50.2 /90
Nahuel Molina	37	622280 min	592.3 /90	220.9 /90	50.2 /90	963.8 /90	180.7 /90	40.2 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Giuliano Simeone n 8	60	0.8 3/1	0.8 3/1	—
Koke n 8	69.1	1.5 4/3	1.6 6/2	Moncayola
Antoine Griezmann n 8	60.1	0.7 4/0	1.1 5/1	—
Julián Alvarez n 8	74.3	1.8 6/4	0.6 3/1	—
Alexander Sørloth n 8	52.8	1.9 6/3	0.6 3/0	—
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Atletico Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Giuliano Simeone n 8	60	2.6 8/5
Koke n 8	69.1	3.3 8/6
Antoine Griezmann n 8	60.1	1.7 5/2
Julián Alvarez n 8	74.3	2.1 6/5
Alexander Sørloth n 8	52.8	0.2 1/0
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Atletico Madrid Attacking

Atletico Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Antoine Griezmann	51	502570 min	130.5 /90	50.2 /90	682.4 /90	411.4 /90	582 /90	150.5 /90
Julián Alvarez	50	723599 min	190.5 /90	100.3 /90	952.4 /90	531.3 /90	922.3 /90	591.5 /90
Alexander Sørloth	48	572755 min	190.6 /90	10 /90	902.9 /90	541.8 /90	210.7 /90	200.7 /90
Ademola Lookman	20	561113 min	60.5 /90	30.2 /90	272.2 /90	110.9 /90	181.5 /90	201.6 /90
G. Raspadori	12	35422 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	102.1 /90	61.3 /90	51.1 /90	20.4 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Giuliano Simeone n 8	60	0.8 4/0	0.4 2/0
Koke n 8	69.1	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Antoine Griezmann n 8	60.1	1.3 5/1	0.7 4/0
Julián Alvarez n 8	74.3	3 8/5	1.8 7/4
Alexander Sørloth n 8	52.8	2.1 4/2	1.5 4/2
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Atletico Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Giuliano Simeone n 8	60	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Koke n 8	69.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Antoine Griezmann n 8	60.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Julián Alvarez n 8	74.3	0.8 4/1	0.5 3/0
Alexander Sørloth n 8	52.8	0.6 2/1	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Osasuna		Atletico Madrid
59%	Possession	41%
2.30	Expected goals (xG)	1.56
23	Shots	5
5	Shots on target	4
14	Shots off target	1
4	Blocked shots	0
18	Shots inside the box	4
8	Corners	4
0	Offsides	2
15	Fouls	12
6	Yellow cards	5
0	Red cards	1
2	Saves	4
480	Passes	358
87%	Pass accuracy	80%

Osasuna Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Aitor Fernández	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
V. Rosier	90	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	7.3
Catena	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	Y	6.7
F. Boyomo	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
Moncayola	90	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	7.2
A. Budimir	90	0	0	7	2	1	0	Y	5.9
Lucas Torró	72	0	0	2	0	1	2	0	6.7
Moi Gómez	72	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.5
Javi Galán	60	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.3
Rubén García	60	0	0	1	0	2	1	Y	6.3
Raul Moro	37	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Kike Barja sub	53	1	0	3	2	2	0	Y	8.5
Abel Bretones sub	30	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.5
Raúl García sub	30	0	1	0	0	4	1	0	7
Asier Osambela sub	18	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.2
Aimar Oroz sub	18	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.5

Atletico Madrid Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Juan Musso	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
Marc Pubill	90	0	1	1	0	3	Y	7
Dávid Hancko	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
Matteo Ruggeri	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Koke	90	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.3
Obed Vargas	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
Antoine Griezmann	90	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
Ademola Lookman	82	1	1	1	0	1	0	7.5
Marcos Llorente	79	0	0	0	1	7	RY	7.6
Thiago Almada	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
Rodrigo Mendoza	18	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
Robin Le Normand sub	72	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.6
Alexander Sørloth sub	45	1	2	1	0	0	0	7.2
Clément Lenglet sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Osasuna v Atletico Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

OsasunaDLWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Atletico MadridWDWLL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Osasuna 2 · 0 draws · Atletico Madrid 4 · 2.33 goals/game

2025-10-18 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Osasuna
2025-05-15 Osasuna 2–0 Atletico Madrid
2025-01-12 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Osasuna
2024-05-19 Atletico Madrid 1–4 Osasuna
2023-09-28 Osasuna 0–2 Atletico Madrid
2023-05-21 Atletico Madrid 3–0 Osasuna

League standing · 2025/26

Osasuna#17 pos42 pts38 pl-6 GD

Atletico Madrid#4 pos69 pts38 pl+18 GD

Goals per game

Osasuna scored1.16

Atletico Madrid scored1.63

Osasuna conceded1.32

Atletico Madrid conceded1.16

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Osasuna 2.42 xG from 23 shots, Atletico Madrid 1.82 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Osasuna (attacking right)Atletico Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Osasuna	23	1	2.42
Atletico Madrid	5	2	1.82

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Osasuna 0.88, Atletico Madrid 1.14, including 0.74 from a penalty. At full time, Osasuna led on xG, 2.42 to 1.82, 0.74 of Atletico Madrid’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.08 xG to Atletico Madrid, in the 14th minute (level on open-play xG).

xG timeline (cumulative)

Osasuna 2.42 xGAtletico Madrid 1.82 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Osasuna v Atletico Madrid?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Osasuna v Atletico Madrid was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid?: In their last 6 meetings, Osasuna won 2, Atletico Madrid won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Osasuna and Atletico Madrid?: Recent form — Osasuna 1W 1D 3L; Atletico Madrid 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.