Osasuna v Atletico Madrid prediction

La Liga · Sun, 14 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT · Estadio El Sadar

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 10:47 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Osasuna · Atletico Madrid · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Osasuna v Atletico Madrid, La Liga on Sun, 14 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Osasuna host Atletico Madrid in La Liga on Sunday 14 February (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Atletico Madrid have conceded eight goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

Form and the table

Seven of Osasuna’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Osasuna’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Osasuna have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 0.86. Osasuna have scored 12 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Osasuna have conceded 23 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Atletico Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Atletico Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Atletico Madrid have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.00. Atletico Madrid have scored 22 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

Osasuna (16th) and Atletico Madrid (second) are 16 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atletico Madrid the stronger side, 419 rating points above Osasuna (Atletico Madrid 1827, Osasuna 1408, after at least 278 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Osasuna. The most recent meeting, on 16 September 2026, finished Atletico Madrid 4–0 Osasuna.

Team news

Predicted Osasuna XI (4-3-3): A. Fernández, A. Bretones, Catena, F. Boyomo, V. Rosier, Moncayola, M. Gómez, L. Torró, A. Budimir, R. Moro, J. Dubasin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ante Budimir (5.5 per match over 12 appearances, eight goals) and Aitor Fernández (3.5 per match over six appearances) have been Osasuna’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Osasuna (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ante Budimir averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 1220 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Aitor Fernández averages 3.3 saves per 90 over 540 minutes, with two or more saves in four of the last six appearances.

Predicted Atletico Madrid XI (4-4-2): J. Oblak, D. Hancko, Á. Grimaldo, M. Pubill, M. Llorente, G. Simeone, A. Baena, P. Barrios, M. Hjulmand, J. Alvarez, L. Kang-In — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Álex Grimaldo (4.8 per match over 14 appearances, four goals and two assists) and Giuliano Simeone (3.9 per match over 15 appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Atletico Madrid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atletico Madrid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Álex Grimaldo averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 1286 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Giuliano Simeone averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1545 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 14 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT · La Liga · Estadio El Sadar
Head-to-head (last 6): Osasuna 2 · draws 0 · Atletico Madrid 4 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Osasuna 2W 1D 2L · Atletico Madrid 3W 1D 1L

Osasuna v Atletico Madrid (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.88 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.86 / 5.13

Corners

against 6.14 / 4 · 4 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.57 / 5.25

Shots on target

against 5.57 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

3 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.29 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Osasuna for / against	Line	Atletico Madrid for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.86 for · 6.14 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.71 for · 17.71 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	15 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.57 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.29 for · 9.43 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.38 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3 for · 1.29 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Osasuna

Osasuna Goalkeeper

Osasuna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Aitor Fernández	6	90540 min	203.3 /90	91.5 /90	00 /90
Sergio Herrera	6	90540 min	111.8 /90	81.3 /90	00 /90

Osasuna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Aitor Fernández n 8	84.5	3.9 6/5
Sergio Herrera n 8	90	1.8 3/1

Osasuna Defensive

Osasuna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Abel Bretones	12	82979 min	272.5 /90	90.8 /90	10.1 /90	565.1 /90	161.5 /90	30.3 /90
Catena	11	90990 min	151.4 /90	121.1 /90	40.4 /90	454.1 /90	151.4 /90	30.3 /90
Íñigo Arguibide	8	79629 min	111.6 /90	30.4 /90	30.4 /90	284 /90	101.4 /90	00 /90
F. Boyomo	7	80561 min	111.8 /90	30.5 /90	40.6 /90	193 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90
V. Rosier	5	72361 min	112.7 /90	71.7 /90	10.2 /90	215.2 /90	82 /90	30.7 /90
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Osasuna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Abel Bretones n 8	77.4	1.3 8/1	0.9 5/1	—
A. Budimir n 8	79.8	2 5/5	1 4/2	—
Moncayola n 8	70.9	1.4 5/3	0.8 4/1	—
Rubén García n 8	60.9	2 6/2	1.1 3/3	—
Catena n 8	90	1.8 8/5	0.8 3/2	—
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Osasuna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Abel Bretones n 8	77.4	2.3 6/4
A. Budimir n 8	79.8	1 3/3
Moncayola n 8	70.9	1.6 6/4
Rubén García n 8	60.9	3.3 8/6
Catena n 8	90	1.6 4/4
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Osasuna Attacking

Osasuna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Budimir	12	78930 min	80.8 /90	00 /90	292.8 /90	171.6 /90	30.3 /90	101 /90
Jonathan Dubasin	11	44489 min	00 /90	00 /90	91.7 /90	50.9 /90	71.3 /90	40.7 /90
Raúl García	9	51463 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	132.5 /90	61.2 /90	20.4 /90	51 /90
Raul Moro	8	42335 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	71.9 /90	92.4 /90
Moncayola	12	74882 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	50.5 /90	10.1 /90
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Osasuna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Abel Bretones n 8	77.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
A. Budimir n 8	79.8	2.3 7/5	1 5/2
Moncayola n 8	70.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Rubén García n 8	60.9	1.5 4/3	0.6 3/0
Catena n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.4 3/0
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Osasuna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Abel Bretones n 8	77.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Budimir n 8	79.8	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
Moncayola n 8	70.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Rubén García n 8	60.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Catena n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid Goalkeeper

Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Jan Oblak	15	901350 min	432.9 /90	120.8 /90	00 /90

Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Jan Oblak n 8	90	3.2 8/5

Atletico Madrid Defensive

Atletico Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Marcos Llorente	15	751130 min	342.7 /90	151.2 /90	60.5 /90	544.3 /90	141.1 /90	10.1 /90
Dávid Hancko	14	861198 min	191.4 /90	100.8 /90	110.8 /90	483.6 /90	20.2 /90	10.1 /90
Álex Grimaldo	14	821151 min	272.1 /90	100.8 /90	20.2 /90	524.1 /90	110.9 /90	00 /90
Marc Pubill	13	75973 min	191.8 /90	70.6 /90	50.5 /90	494.5 /90	131.2 /90	40.4 /90
Cristian Romero	8	75602 min	121.8 /90	81.2 /90	20.3 /90	385.7 /90	50.7 /90	20.3 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jan Oblak n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Marcos Llorente n 8	83.1	0.9 5/2	0.3 2/0	—
Giuliano Simeone n 8	81.6	1.9 7/4	2.2 7/5	—
Alex Baena n 8	63.1	2.3 6/4	1.1 5/1	—
Dávid Hancko n 8	82.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0	—
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Atletico Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Marcos Llorente n 8	83.1	2.6 8/5
Giuliano Simeone n 8	81.6	1.8 7/3
Alex Baena n 8	63.1	1.1 5/1
Dávid Hancko n 8	82.3	1.9 5/4
Álex Grimaldo n 8	84.4	1.7 6/3
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Atletico Madrid Attacking

Atletico Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Lee Kang-In	14	61849 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	181.9 /90	70.7 /90	181.9 /90	181.9 /90
Ademola Lookman	14	52721 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	91.1 /90	40.5 /90	151.9 /90	50.6 /90
Julián Alvarez	11	59644 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	233.2 /90	111.5 /90	131.8 /90	212.9 /90
Jonathan David	10	42424 min	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	143 /90	102.1 /90	112.3 /90	10.2 /90
Arnau Ortiz	4	34135 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90	42.7 /90	21.3 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jan Oblak n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Marcos Llorente n 8	83.1	0.7 4/1	0.7 4/1
Giuliano Simeone n 8	81.6	1 5/2	0.4 3/0
Alex Baena n 8	63.1	1.4 6/2	0.9 5/0
Dávid Hancko n 8	82.3	1.4 6/3	0.4 3/0
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Atletico Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jan Oblak n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Marcos Llorente n 8	83.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Giuliano Simeone n 8	81.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Alex Baena n 8	63.1	0.2 1/0	0.5 3/0
Dávid Hancko n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Osasuna v Atletico Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

OsasunaWLWLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Atletico MadridWDWWL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Osasuna 2 · 0 draws · Atletico Madrid 4 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-09-16 Atletico Madrid 4–0 Osasuna
2026-05-12 Osasuna 1–2 Atletico Madrid
2025-10-18 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Osasuna
2025-05-15 Osasuna 2–0 Atletico Madrid
2025-01-12 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Osasuna
2024-05-19 Atletico Madrid 1–4 Osasuna

League standing · 2026/27

Osasuna#16 pos12 pts12 pl-11 GD

Atletico Madrid#2 pos28 pts11 pl+14 GD

Goals per game

Osasuna scored1

Atletico Madrid scored2

Osasuna conceded1.92

Atletico Madrid conceded0.73

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid?: In their last 6 meetings, Osasuna won 2, Atletico Madrid won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Osasuna and Atletico Madrid?: Recent form — Osasuna 2W 1D 2L; Atletico Madrid 3W 1D 1L.

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