Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano result

Full-time · Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano

La Liga · Sat, 19 Sep 2026 13:00 BST · Estadio El Sadar

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 19:35 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Osasuna · Rayo Vallecano · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano — this La Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.35 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Rayo Vallecano: 1.37 to 0.93 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 49th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano drew 1–1 at Estadio El Sadar in La Liga on Saturday 19 September. Rayo Vallecano have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Osasuna led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Osasuna: Ante Budimir (16’); Rayo Vallecano: Sergio Camello (50’, assisted by Adrià Pedrosa).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sergio Camello’s goal on 50 minutes.

Discipline

Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid, Spain showed five yellow cards — against 5.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Osasuna: Sergio Herrera (-5’), Asier Osambela (21’) and Moncayola (66’); Rayo Vallecano: Pathé Ciss (24’) and Alemão (90+6’).

What it changes

Osasuna move up from 13th to ninth (seven league matches played). Osasuna have scored 11 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Osasuna have conceded 22 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Rayo Vallecano move up from 12th to eighth (seven league matches played). Rayo Vallecano have scored 15 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Rayo Vallecano have conceded 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Osasuna are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Adrià Pedrosa (Rayo Vallecano) 8.4, Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano) 6.7 and Ante Budimir (Osasuna) 6.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Osasuna are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Rayo Vallecano.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Osasuna or Rayo Vallecano (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Osasuna next host Athletic Club on 7 November 2026.

Rayo Vallecano next travel to Real Sociedad on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Osasuna: Osasuna v Athletic Club, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Rayo Vallecano: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga
Venue: Estadio El Sadar · Iruñea
Referee: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid, Spain
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Osasuna 3 · draws 1 · Rayo Vallecano 2 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Osasuna 2W 0D 3L · Rayo Vallecano 2W 1D 2L

Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.88 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.75 / 4.88

Corners

against 4 / 6.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 3.88 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 3.25

Cards

against 1.88 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.8 yellows

Referee · Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid, Spain

29.6 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Osasuna for / against	Line	Rayo Vallecano for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.88 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.38 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.5 for · 17 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.63 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.38 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.75 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid, Spain — 5.8 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 29.6 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Osasuna

Osasuna Goalkeeper

Osasuna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Sergio Herrera	5	90450 min	61.2 /90	81.6 /90	00 /90
Aitor Fernández	1	9090 min	77 /90	44 /90	00 /90

Osasuna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Sergio Herrera n 8	84.4	1.5 3/0
Aitor Fernández n 8	75.3	4.3 7/4

Osasuna Defensive

Osasuna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Abel Bretones	6	83495 min	122.2 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	224 /90	91.6 /90	20.4 /90
Íñigo Arguibide	6	79476 min	81.5 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	193.6 /90	61.1 /90	00 /90
Catena	5	90450 min	71.4 /90	40.8 /90	20.4 /90	265.2 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
R. Yeboah	3	70210 min	62.6 /90	52.1 /90	10.4 /90	114.7 /90	20.9 /90	10.4 /90
F. Boyomo	3	67201 min	62.7 /90	10.4 /90	31.3 /90	104.5 /90	41.8 /90	00 /90
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Osasuna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Abel Bretones n 8	74	1.4 6/3	0.5 3/0	—
Íñigo Arguibide n 8	70.8	1 5/1	0.6 3/1	F. Lejeune
Moncayola n 8	70.4	1 4/2	0 0/0	P. Ciss
A. Budimir n 8	74	1.8 6/4	2.3 8/5	Álvaro García
Raúl García n 8	57.8	0.6 3/0	1.9 6/2	—
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Osasuna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Abel Bretones n 8	74	1.8 5/3
Íñigo Arguibide n 8	70.8	1.6 6/3
Moncayola n 8	70.4	2.6 8/6
A. Budimir n 8	74	1.1 5/2
Raúl García n 8	57.8	0.2 1/0
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Osasuna Attacking

Osasuna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Budimir	6	69412 min	40.9 /90	00 /90	143.1 /90	102.2 /90	10.2 /90	40.9 /90
Raúl García	6	57340 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	71.9 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90
Jonathan Dubasin	5	44222 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90	20.8 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90
Raul Moro	4	34137 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	32 /90	53.3 /90
Moncayola	6	71424 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90
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Osasuna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Abel Bretones n 8	74	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Íñigo Arguibide n 8	70.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Moncayola n 8	70.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
A. Budimir n 8	74	2.7 6/4	1.8 5/4
Raúl García n 8	57.8	1.9 5/3	1 3/2
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Osasuna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Osasuna before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Abel Bretones n 8	74	0 0/0	0 0/0
Íñigo Arguibide n 8	70.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Moncayola n 8	70.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Budimir n 8	74	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
Raúl García n 8	57.8	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano Goalkeeper

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Dani Cárdenas	3	70210 min	83.4 /90	83.4 /90
E. Audero	2	90180 min	105 /90	52.5 /90
A. Batalla	2	75150 min	31.8 /90	21.2 /90

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Dani Cárdenas n 8	82.5	4.5 6/5
A. Batalla n 8	86.3	2.3 7/3

Rayo Vallecano Defensive

Rayo Vallecano — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Lejeune	6	90540 min	132.2 /90	91.5 /90	50.8 /90	335.5 /90	61 /90	10.2 /90
P. Ciss	6	90540 min	61 /90	162.7 /90	50.8 /90	223.7 /90	40.7 /90	30.5 /90
A. Rațiu	5	90450 min	91.8 /90	81.6 /90	10.2 /90	265.2 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
Adrià Pedrosa	4	77308 min	61.8 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90	164.7 /90	82.3 /90	10.3 /90
I. Balliu	4	53210 min	31.3 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90	104.3 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1 7/1	0.9 4/1	Íñigo Arguibide
P. Ciss n 8	82.4	0.8 5/1	0.8 4/1	Moncayola
Unai López n 8	76.6	1.9 7/4	0.4 3/0	—
Álvaro García n 8	69.8	1 5/1	0.2 1/0	A. Budimir
Sergio Camello n 8	58.9	1.3 4/3	2.9 7/5	—
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Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	2.6 7/6
P. Ciss n 8	82.4	1 6/1
Unai López n 8	76.6	2.2 7/5
Álvaro García n 8	69.8	0.8 3/2
Sergio Camello n 8	58.9	1.1 5/1
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Rayo Vallecano Attacking

Rayo Vallecano — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Sergio Camello	6	67399 min	61.4 /90	10.2 /90	132.9 /90	102.3 /90	81.8 /90	40.9 /90
Fran Pérez	4	32128 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	32.1 /90
Alemão	4	2288 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.1 /90	22 /90	00 /90	11 /90
Unai López	6	78469 min	00 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	132.5 /90	40.8 /90
Álvaro García	6	74443 min	20.4 /90	20.4 /90	51 /90	40.8 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.6 7/5	0.4 3/0
P. Ciss n 8	82.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Unai López n 8	76.6	0.6 4/0	0.1 1/0
Álvaro García n 8	69.8	0.8 4/1	0.6 3/1
Sergio Camello n 8	58.9	3.1 7/6	2.3 5/5
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Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Ciss n 8	82.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
F. Lejeune n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Unai López n 8	76.6	0 0/0	0.4 2/1
Álvaro García n 8	69.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Sergio Camello n 8	58.9	1.3 5/2	0.4 2/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Osasuna		Rayo Vallecano
37%	Possession	63%
0.53	Expected goals (xG)	1.01
10	Shots	19
3	Shots on target	2
5	Shots off target	9
2	Blocked shots	8
9	Shots inside the box	6
4	Corners	4
2	Offsides	0
21	Fouls	13
3	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	2
269	Passes	474
70%	Pass accuracy	83%

Osasuna Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Aitor Fernández	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Íñigo Arguibide	90	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.3
Catena	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Iker Muñoz	90	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.7
Asier Osambela	90	0	1	0	1	1	Y	5.8
A. Budimir	90	1	2	1	1	2	0	8
U. Santos	73	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
Rubén García	69	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
Moncayola	69	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.4
Diego Rico	56	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.4
Kike Barja	56	0	2	0	1	0	0	5.9
Raul Moro	34	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Abel Bretones	34	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.1
Lucas Torró	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Jonathan Dubasin	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.1
Raúl García	17	0	2	2	0	0	0	6.8

Rayo Vallecano Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
E. Audero	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
A. Rațiu	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Mujaid Sadick	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
F. Lejeune	90	0	0	3	0	0	2	0	6.9
Adrià Pedrosa	90	0	1	0	0	2	6	0	7
P. Ciss	90	0	0	2	0	0	3	Y	6.5
Unai López	87	0	0	1	0	3	3	0	6.6
Álvaro García	87	0	0	5	0	0	3	0	6.4
Jorge de Frutos	71	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	6.7
Sergio Camello	71	1	0	4	1	0	3	0	8
Óscar Valentín	60	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.8
Pedro Díaz	30	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	6.6
G. Tsitaishvili	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Alemão	19	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6.4
I. Balliu	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
G. Bouare	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

OsasunaWWLLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Rayo VallecanoDLWLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Osasuna 3 · 1 draw · Rayo Vallecano 2 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-01-24 Rayo Vallecano 1–3 Osasuna
2025-09-14 Osasuna 2–0 Rayo Vallecano
2025-01-19 Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
2024-09-16 Rayo Vallecano 3–1 Osasuna
2024-04-20 Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Osasuna
2023-12-15 Osasuna 1–0 Rayo Vallecano

League standing · 2026/27

Osasuna#15 pos11 pts11 pl-11 GD

Rayo Vallecano#12 pos12 pts10 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Osasuna scored1

Rayo Vallecano scored1.5

Osasuna conceded2

Rayo Vallecano conceded2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Osasuna 0.93 xG from 9 shots, Rayo Vallecano 1.37 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Osasuna (attacking right)Rayo Vallecano (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Osasuna	9	1	0.93
Rayo Vallecano	19	1	1.37

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Osasuna 0.80, Rayo Vallecano 0.62. At full time, Rayo Vallecano led on xG, 1.37 to 0.93. The widest gap was 0.66 xG to Osasuna, in the 26th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Osasuna 0.93 xGRayo Vallecano 1.37 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano was Home or Away (best price 1.35 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano?: In their last 6 meetings, Osasuna won 3, Rayo Vallecano won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano?: Recent form — Osasuna 2W 0D 3L; Rayo Vallecano 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 19:35 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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