Oviedo v Real Madrid result

Full-time · Oviedo 0–3 Real Madrid

La Liga · Sun, 24 Aug 2025 20:30 BST · Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Oviedo 0–3 Real Madrid — Real Madrid won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Real Madrid: 1.84 to 0.35 in expected goals, from 26 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Real Madrid won 3–0 at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere in La Liga on Sunday 24 August.

The goals

Real Madrid led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Madrid: Kylian Mbappé (37’, assisted by Arda Güler; 83’, assisted by Vinícius Júnior) and Vinícius Júnior (90’, assisted by Brahim Díaz).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kylian Mbappé’s goal on 37 minutes.

Discipline

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain showed three yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Oviedo: L. Ilić (66’) and Dani Calvo (72’); Real Madrid: Vinícius Júnior (80’).

What it changes

Oviedo move up from 20th to 19th (two league matches played).

Real Madrid move up from eighth to third (two league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) 10.8, Arda Güler (Real Madrid) 7.9 and Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) 6.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Oviedo next travel to Almeria on 24 October 2026.

Real Madrid next host Sevilla on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Oviedo: Almeria v Oviedo, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Real Madrid: Real Madrid v Sevilla, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Oviedo 0–3 Real Madrid · La Liga
Venue: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere · Oviedo
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Oviedo 2W 1D 2L · Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L

Oviedo 0–3 Real Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.75

Goals

against 0.88 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.6 / 5.67

Corners

against 4.2 / 3.83 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 5 matches

3 / 5

Shots on target

against 4.6 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 5 matches

2.4 / 1

Cards

against 1.8 / 0.83 · 3 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 5 matches

3.71 yellows

Referee · Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain

2 home / 1.71 away

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Oviedo for / against	Line	Real Madrid for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.6 for · 4.2 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	5.67 for · 3.83 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	8.6 for · 10.8 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	13.33 for · 12.83 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	3 for · 4.6 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 4.5 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.2 for · 14 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	7.67 for · 10.33 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	2.4 for · 1.8 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	1 for · 0.83 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain — 3.71 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.71 fouls over 7 matches (2 to the home side, 1.71 to the away side).

Home 2Away 1.71

Oviedo

Oviedo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Alemão n 8	46.3	3.9 7/5	2.7 7/4	—
I. Chaira n 8	64	2.5 7/3	1.1 4/1	—
S. Colombatto n 8	89.3	2.1 7/5	1.8 8/3	—
S. Rondón n 8	86.6	1.7 6/3	1.3 7/2	—
Jaime Seoane n 8	49.1	1.6 4/2	1.1 2/2	—

Oviedo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Rondón n 8	86.6	3.1 8/7	1.9 8/4
F. Viñas n 8	37.3	2.7 5/2	0.9 3/0
I. Chaira n 8	64	2.6 7/6	1.4 5/2
Alemão n 8	46.3	1.5 6/0	0.7 3/0
L. Ilić n 8	30.4	1.5 4/0	0.4 1/0

Oviedo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Santi Cazorla n 8	51.8	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
S. Rondón n 8	86.6	0.5 2/1	0.1 1/0
Alberto Reina n 8	71.9	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
Jaime Seoane n 8	49.1	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
Paulino n 8	23.3	0.5 1/0	0 0/0

Oviedo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
César de la Hoz n 8	42.8	3.2 6/4
I. Chaira n 8	64	3 7/5
Jaime Seoane n 8	49.1	3 4/3
Oier Luengo n 8	72.8	2.9 6/4
Santi Cazorla n 8	51.8	2.4 7/4

Oviedo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Aarón Escandell n 8	90	3.4 7/4

Real Madrid

Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Brahim Díaz n 8	35.5	1.9 5/1	2.2 5/1	—
Raúl Asencio n 8	55.1	1.8 6/3	0.4 2/0	—
Éder Militão n 8	65.8	1.7 5/2	1 4/2	—
J. Bellingham n 8	78.4	1.4 6/3	0.9 5/1	—
Lucas Vázquez n 8	55.3	1.2 5/1	0.8 2/1	—

Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 8	73.9	4.1 7/7	2.7 7/6
F. Valverde n 8	87.9	2.2 7/4	1.2 5/2
Gonzalo García n 8	59.4	1.7 4/3	1.3 4/1
Vinícius Júnior n 8	71.1	1.6 6/3	0.9 4/2
J. Bellingham n 8	78.4	1.4 5/3	1 4/3

Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 8	73.9	1.1 6/1	0.3 2/0
Gonzalo García n 8	59.4	0.8 4/0	0.2 1/0
Vinícius Júnior n 8	71.1	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
J. Bellingham n 8	78.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
A. Güler n 8	75.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 1/1

Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Fran García n 8	88.4	3.2 8/7
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 8	64.1	3 6/6
Dani Ceballos n 8	33.9	3 4/3
Lucas Vázquez n 8	55.3	2.6 6/2
Dani Carvajal n 8	68.6	2.5 6/4

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 8	90	2.9 5/4
A. Lunin n 8	98.9	2.4 6/2

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Oviedo		Real Madrid
35%	Possession	65%
0.50	Expected goals (xG)	2.68
6	Shots	26
3	Shots on target	10
3	Shots off target	6
0	Blocked shots	10
3	Shots inside the box	14
1	Corners	9
2	Offsides	2
8	Fouls	7
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
8	Saves	3
376	Passes	699
84%	Pass accuracy	92%

Oviedo player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Aarón Escandell	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.7
David Costas	90	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
Dani Calvo	90	0	0	0	2	Y	6.9
Nacho Vidal	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
K. Sibo	90	2	1	0	1	0	6.2
R. Alhassane	90	0	0	0	3	0	6.5
L. Dendoncker	89	1	1	1	2	0	6.9
I. Chaira	79	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
L. Ilić	72	0	0	0	2	Y	7.3
S. Rondón	72	0	0	1	0	0	5.9
Oier Luengo	45	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
H. Hassan sub	45	2	1	0	1	0	6.2
O. Ejaria sub	18	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
F. Viñas sub	18	1	0	0	2	0	6.7
J. Brekalo sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Santi Cazorla sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	–

Real Madrid player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Thibaut Courtois	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
A. Rüdiger	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.2
Dean Huijsen	90	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	7.6
Álvaro Fernández	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.7
F. Valverde	90	0	0	3	2	4	2	0	7.3
A. Tchouaméni	90	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	7.6
Dani Carvajal	87	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7.3
Kylian Mbappé	87	2	0	4	3	3	0	0	9.3
A. Güler	74	0	1	1	1	8	2	0	7.2
Franco Mastantuono	63	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.2
Rodrygo	63	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	6.9
Brahim Díaz sub	27	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
Vinícius Júnior sub	27	1	1	1	1	1	2	Y	8.5
Gonzalo García sub	16	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.7
Trent Alexander-Arnold sub	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
Dani Ceballos sub	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Oviedo v Real Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

OviedoWDLWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Real MadridWWWLW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

League standing · 2025/26

Oviedo#20 pos29 pts38 pl-34 GD

Real Madrid#2 pos86 pts38 pl+42 GD

Goals per game

Oviedo scored0.68

Real Madrid scored2.03

Oviedo conceded1.58

Real Madrid conceded0.92

Shot map and expected goals

Oviedo 0.35 xG from 6 shots, Real Madrid 1.84 from 26. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Oviedo (attacking right)Real Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Oviedo	6	0	0.35
Real Madrid	26	3	1.84

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Oviedo v Real Madrid?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Oviedo v Real Madrid was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Oviedo and Real Madrid?: Recent form — Oviedo 2W 1D 2L; Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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