Oviedo v Sevilla result
The model’s pre-match pick
Oviedo 1–0 Sevilla — Oviedo won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
What xG said
xG said little between the sides: Oviedo 0.79, Sevilla 0.84 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Oviedo beat Sevilla 1–0 at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere in La Liga on Sunday 5 April. Sevilla are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.
The goals
Oviedo led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Oviedo: F. Viñas (32’, assisted by Alberto Reina). T. Nianzou (38’) was sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Viñas’s goal on 32 minutes.
Discipline
A. Hernandez showed eight yellow cards and one red — against 6.3 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Oviedo: F. Viñas (13’), Javi López (53’), N. Fonseca (89’), E. Bailly (90’) and I. Chaira (90+2’); Sevilla: José Ángel Carmona (43’), Kike Salas (54’) and Manu Bueno (69’).
What it changes
Oviedo have scored 26 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Oviedo have conceded 60 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Sevilla have scored 46 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Sevilla have conceded 60 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alberto Reina (Oviedo) 3.8, F. Viñas (Oviedo) 3.7 and Aarón Escandell (Oviedo) 3.5 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Oviedo or Sevilla (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).
Next up
Oviedo next host Girona on 14 November 2026.
Sevilla next host Real Betis on 22 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Oviedo: Oviedo v Girona, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Sevilla: Sevilla v Real Betis, Sunday 22 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Oviedo 1–0 Sevilla · La Liga
- Venue: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere · Oviedo
- Referee: A. Hernandez
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Oviedo 0 · draws 0 · Sevilla 1 · 4 goals/game
- Recent form: Oviedo 1W 1D 3L · Sevilla 1W 2D 2L
Oviedo 1–0 Sevilla (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Oviedo for / against | Line | Sevilla for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.38 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.25 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.63 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.13 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: A. Hernandez — 6.33 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 25.78 fouls over 9 matches.
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Oviedo
Oviedo Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarón Escandell | 29 | 902610 min | 1274.4 /90 | 481.7 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Aarón Escandell n 8 | 90 | 3.2 |
Oviedo Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Carmo | 20 | 861710 min | 321.7 /90 | 211.1 /90 | 180.9 /90 | 985.2 /90 | 201.1 /90 | 80.4 /90 |
| Nacho Vidal | 20 | 791585 min | 362 /90 | 211.2 /90 | 70.4 /90 | 854.8 /90 | 201.1 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| David Costas | 18 | 891608 min | 241.3 /90 | 231.3 /90 | 140.8 /90 | 724 /90 | 130.7 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| R. Alhassane | 18 | 791421 min | 312 /90 | 221.4 /90 | 60.4 /90 | 613.9 /90 | 70.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Javi López | 15 | 781166 min | 332.5 /90 | 141.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 755.8 /90 | 282.2 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarón Escandell n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| H. Hassan n 8 | 51.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | — |
| I. Chaira n 8 | 67.3 | 2 | 1.2 | D. Sow |
| F. Viñas n 8 | 87.3 | 1 | 4.1 | — |
| Alberto Reina n 8 | 76.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 | D. Sow |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| H. Hassan n 8 | 51.3 | 2.4 |
| I. Chaira n 8 | 67.3 | 2.5 |
| F. Viñas n 8 | 87.3 | 1.5 |
| Alberto Reina n 8 | 76.5 | 1.2 |
| S. Colombatto n 8 | 51.3 | 2.6 |
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Oviedo Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Viñas | 25 | 721795 min | 60.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 351.8 /90 | 180.9 /90 | 201 /90 | 361.8 /90 |
| S. Rondón | 14 | 731015 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 191.7 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 50.4 /90 | 80.7 /90 |
| T. Fernández | 7 | 45312 min | 00 /90 | 30.9 /90 | 61.7 /90 | 20.6 /90 | 41.2 /90 | 82.3 /90 |
| Álex Forés | 6 | 38229 min | 00 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 41.6 /90 | 20.8 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 31.2 /90 |
| T. Borbas | 2 | 1631 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 25.8 /90 | 12.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aarón Escandell n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Hassan n 8 | 51.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| I. Chaira n 8 | 67.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| F. Viñas n 8 | 87.3 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Alberto Reina n 8 | 76.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aarón Escandell n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Hassan n 8 | 51.3 | 0 | 0.2 |
| I. Chaira n 8 | 67.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| F. Viñas n 8 | 87.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Alberto Reina n 8 | 76.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Sevilla
Sevilla Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Vlachodimos | 26 | 902346 min | 783 /90 | 431.6 /90 | 10 /90 |
| Ø. Nyland | 5 | 90450 min | 122.4 /90 | 81.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| O. Vlachodimos n 8 | 90 | 2 |
| Ø. Nyland n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Sevilla Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Ángel Carmona | 29 | 742152 min | 572.4 /90 | 361.5 /90 | 80.3 /90 | 1496.2 /90 | 431.8 /90 | 100.4 /90 |
| N. Gudelj | 27 | 762046 min | 311.4 /90 | 221 /90 | 170.7 /90 | 823.6 /90 | 371.6 /90 | 80.4 /90 |
| G. Suazo | 21 | 741564 min | 663.8 /90 | 191.1 /90 | 40.2 /90 | 965.5 /90 | 241.4 /90 | 60.3 /90 |
| Kike Salas | 17 | 871477 min | 382.3 /90 | 301.8 /90 | 110.7 /90 | 1237.5 /90 | 241.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| César Azpilicueta | 14 | 741035 min | 252.2 /90 | 221.9 /90 | 90.8 /90 | 534.6 /90 | 221.9 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Ángel Carmona n 8 | 46.4 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| L. Agoumé n 8 | 81.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | — |
| N. Gudelj n 8 | 87.9 | 1.7 | 0.1 | — |
| O. Vlachodimos n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| D. Sow n 8 | 69.9 | 1 | 1.1 | Alberto Reina |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| José Ángel Carmona n 8 | 46.4 | 1 |
| L. Agoumé n 8 | 81.8 | 1.2 |
| N. Gudelj n 8 | 87.9 | 1 |
| D. Sow n 8 | 69.9 | 1.3 |
| Juanlu Sánchez n 8 | 65.8 | 3.4 |
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Sevilla Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Adams | 24 | 651570 min | 70.4 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 402.3 /90 | 261.5 /90 | 90.5 /90 | 120.7 /90 |
| Isaac | 21 | 591249 min | 50.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 322.3 /90 | 161.2 /90 | 100.7 /90 | 90.6 /90 |
| A. Sánchez | 21 | 551150 min | 30.2 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 161.3 /90 | 70.5 /90 | 231.8 /90 | 50.4 /90 |
| Peque Fernández | 16 | 57919 min | 10.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 90.9 /90 | 50.5 /90 | 171.7 /90 | 151.5 /90 |
| C. Ejuke | 16 | 42664 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 81.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 81.1 /90 | 354.7 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| José Ángel Carmona n 8 | 46.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
| L. Agoumé n 8 | 81.8 | 0.1 | 0 |
| N. Gudelj n 8 | 87.9 | 0.3 | 0 |
| O. Vlachodimos n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Sow n 8 | 69.9 | 1 | 0.6 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| José Ángel Carmona n 8 | 46.4 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Agoumé n 8 | 81.8 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Gudelj n 8 | 87.9 | 0 | 0 |
| O. Vlachodimos n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Sow n 8 | 69.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Oviedo | Sevilla | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% | Possession | 30% |
| 0.48 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.66 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 2 | Shots off target | 7 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 3 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 501 | Passes | 209 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 60% |
Oviedo Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarón Escandell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Nacho Vidal | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| E. Bailly | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 7.3 |
| Dani Calvo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| N. Fonseca | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7.6 |
| I. Chaira | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| Javi López | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| Alberto Reina | 72 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Fernández | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| K. Sibo | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| F. Viñas | 59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| S. Colombatto sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Borbas sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Santi Cazorla sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| H. Hassan sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| R. Alhassane sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Sevilla Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Vlachodimos | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Kike Salas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.6 |
| N. Gudelj | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Juanlu Sánchez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| A. Adams | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| R. Vargas | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Oso | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| B. Mendy | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| José Ángel Carmona | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.7 |
| D. Sow | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Nianzou | 38 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | R | 5.3 |
| Manu Bueno sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.6 |
| Andrés Castrín sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Isaac sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| G. Suazo sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| C. Ejuke sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Oviedo v Sevilla — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-12-14 Sevilla 4–0 Oviedo
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Oviedo 0.79 xG from 7 shots, Sevilla 0.84 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo | 7 | 1 | 0.79 |
| Sevilla | 9 | 0 | 0.84 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, xG was level: Oviedo 0.48, Sevilla 0.65. At full time, xG was level: Oviedo 0.79, Sevilla 0.84. The widest gap was 0.51 xG to Sevilla, in the 28th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Oviedo v Sevilla?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Oviedo v Sevilla was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Oviedo and Sevilla?
- In their last 1 meetings, Oviedo won 0, Sevilla won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Oviedo and Sevilla?
- Recent form — Oviedo 1W 1D 3L; Sevilla 1W 2D 2L.
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