This Matchweek

Rayo VallecanoAlaves

Rayo Vallecano v Alaves result

Full-time · Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves

La Liga · · Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rayo Vallecano · Alaves · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves — this La Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,997 of 2,670 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Alaves: 2.22 to 0.57 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 25th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Rayo Vallecano and Alaves drew 1–1 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque in La Liga on Thursday 20 August. Alaves have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Rayo Vallecano: Sergio Camello (48’, assisted by Jorge de Frutos); Alaves: M. Díaz (84’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Díaz’s goal on 84 minutes.

Discipline

José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rayo Vallecano: Sergio Camello (73’); Alaves: N. Tenaglia (45+2’) and Nicolás Valentini (90+2’).

What it changes

Rayo Vallecano move up from 19th to ninth (two league matches played).

Alaves stay first after this result (two league matches played).

Rayo Vallecano are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jorge de Frutos (Rayo Vallecano) 6.7, Unai López (Rayo Vallecano) 5.5 and M. Díaz (Alaves) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Rayo Vallecano or Alaves (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Rayo Vallecano next travel to Real Sociedad on 8 November 2026.

Alaves next travel to Anaitasuna on 10 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rayo Vallecano: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Alaves: Anaitasuna v Alaves, Tuesday 10 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Butarque · Leganés
  • Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rayo Vallecano 4 · draws 0 · Alaves 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rayo Vallecano 2W 1D 2L · Alaves 3W 1D 1L

Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5.63
Corners
against 5.38 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 2.75
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.44 yellows
Referee · José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
25.22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRayo Vallecano for / againstLineAlaves for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.25our book
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
13.25 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.25 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
13.63 for · 13 against n 8
Cards shown
3.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain — 3.44 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 25.22 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano Goalkeeper

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Batalla19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /90
Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Batalla n 890
2.17/3

Rayo Vallecano Defensive

Rayo Vallecano — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Rațiu19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
F. Lejeune19090 min44 /9022 /9000 /901111 /9011 /9000 /90
I. Balliu19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9011 /9000 /90
P. Ciss19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /9077 /9000 /9011 /90
Jorge de Frutos19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /9066 /9011 /9000 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jorge de Frutos n 867.4
14/2
1.56/3
Toni Martínez
I. Balliu n 866.9
15/1
1.26/1
—
P. Ciss n 874.9
0.94/1
1.15/1
Pablo Ibáñez
F. Lejeune n 890
0.65/0
0.43/0
Jonny
A. Rațiu n 872.4
0.63/1
0.53/0
Jonny
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Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Rațiu n 872.4
35/5
F. Lejeune n 890
2.58/5
I. Balliu n 866.9
2.56/5
P. Ciss n 874.9
1.86/4
Jorge de Frutos n 867.4
1.56/2
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Rayo Vallecano Attacking

Rayo Vallecano — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Nteka16565 min00 /9000 /9011.4 /9000 /9000 /9011.4 /90
Alemão12525 min00 /9000 /9013.6 /9013.6 /9000 /9000 /90
Jorge de Frutos19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /90
Unai López17878 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /90
Álvaro García17070 min11.3 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9000 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jorge de Frutos n 867.4
2.35/4
0.72/2
F. Lejeune n 890
2.17/6
1.16/2
P. Ciss n 874.9
0.53/0
0.32/0
A. Rațiu n 872.4
0.21/0
00/0
I. Balliu n 866.9
0.21/0
00/0
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Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Ciss n 874.9
00/0
0.21/0
A. Rațiu n 872.4
00/0
0.21/0
F. Lejeune n 890
0.11/0
00/0
A. Batalla n 890
00/0
00/0
Jorge de Frutos n 867.4
00/0
00/0
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Alaves

Alaves Goalkeeper

Alaves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Sivera19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Alaves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sivera n 890
2.14/3

Alaves Defensive

Alaves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Jonny19090 min22 /9000 /9011 /9044 /9011 /9000 /90
N. Tenaglia19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9077 /9011 /9000 /90
V. Koski19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
Yusi12525 min27.2 /9000 /9000 /9027.2 /9000 /9000 /90
Pablo Ibáñez19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /9033 /9033 /9000 /90
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Alaves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Pablo Ibáñez n 855
1.84/3
2.56/4
P. Ciss
Toni Martínez n 885
1.57/2
1.15/3
Jorge de Frutos
Jonny n 890
1.37/3
15/2
A. Rațiu
N. Tenaglia n 890
15/2
1.68/5
—
V. Koski n 490
0.52/0
00/0
—
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Alaves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pablo Ibáñez n 855
3.56/5
N. Tenaglia n 890
2.58/6
Jonny n 890
1.65/4
V. Koski n 490
13/1
Toni Martínez n 885
0.75/0
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Alaves Attacking

Alaves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Toni Martínez19090 min00 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9022 /9000 /90
Aitor Mañas15757 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /90
M. Díaz13333 min12.7 /9025.5 /9025.5 /9025.5 /9025.5 /9025.5 /90
Pablo Ibáñez19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /90
A. Rebbach18989 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
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Alaves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Toni Martínez n 885
2.48/5
1.56/3
N. Tenaglia n 890
0.96/1
0.65/0
Pablo Ibáñez n 855
0.63/0
0.21/0
Jonny n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
V. Koski n 490
0.31/0
0.31/0
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Alaves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Toni Martínez n 885
0.85/1
00/0
N. Tenaglia n 890
0.32/0
00/0
Jonny n 890
00/0
00/0
Sivera n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Koski n 490
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Rayo VallecanoAlaves
48%Possession52%
0.42Expected goals (xG)2.00
8Shots15
3Shots on target3
4Shots off target9
1Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box9
9Corners7
1Offsides0
14Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves2
323Passes340
79%Pass accuracy80%

Rayo Vallecano Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Rațiu9000100306.5
F. Lejeune9000000206.9
J. Vertrouwd9000000006.2
P. Ciss9000000106.3
Unai López9000115207.2
Jorge de Frutos9001001306.9
Sergio Camello90103200Y7.6
A. Batalla6000000107.2
Pelayo Fernández5500000106.2
Fran Pérez5500001006.3
Isi Palazón1700100106.3
R. Nteka sub7300000106.9
Óscar Valentín sub3500000206.9
Álvaro García sub3500100006.2
Dani Cárdenas sub3000000006.9

Alaves Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Sivera9000000006.9
N. Tenaglia90000002Y6.6
A. Rebbach9000100006.5
Pablo Ibáñez9000210207.7
Antonio Blanco9000000306.6
Toni Martínez9000402106
Angel Pérez8000102006.9
V. Koski8000000106.3
Jonny7000001106.9
Mikel Rodriguez6200001106.9
L. Boyé6200101306.7
Denis Suárez sub2800002107.2
M. Díaz sub2810220007.6
Yusi sub2000001107
N. Valentini sub10001000Y6.7
Carles Aleñá sub1000001106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rayo Vallecano v Alaves — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Rayo VallecanoDWWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
AlavesDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rayo Vallecano 4 · 0 draws · Alaves 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-05-23 Alaves 1–2 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2026-01-14 Alaves 2–0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2025-10-26 Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Alaves
  • 2025-03-29 Alaves 0–2 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2024-10-26 Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Alaves
  • 2024-03-10 Alaves 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
League standing · 2026/27
Rayo Vallecano#14 pos12 pts10 pl-5 GD
Alaves#10 pos13 pts12 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Rayo Vallecano scored1.5
Alaves scored1.25
Rayo Vallecano conceded2
Alaves conceded1.42

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Rayo Vallecano 0.57 xG from 8 shots, Alaves 2.22 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Antonio Martínez 25' · 0.60 xGAntonio Martínez 43' · 0.50 xGAntonio Martínez 87' · 0.46 xGAndrei Ratiu 22' · 0.22 xGAntonio Martínez 19' · 0.09 xGLucas Boyé 60' · 0.09 xGMariano 95' · 0.06 xGSergio Camello 3' · 0.06 xGÁngel Pérez 50' · 0.05 xGIsi Palazón 11' · 0.05 xGÁlvaro García 82' · 0.04 xGSergio Camello 31' · 0.04 xGLucas Boyé 12' · 0.04 xGPablo Ibáñez 73' · 0.03 xGRandy Nteka 68' · 0.03 xGUnai López 6' · 0.03 xGPablo Ibáñez 89' · 0.03 xGAbderrahmane Rebbach 29' · 0.02 xGNicolás Valentini 93' · 0.02 xGNahuel Tenaglia 62' · 0.02 xGPablo Ibáñez 31' · 0.01 xGMariano 83' · 0.22 xG · goalSergio Camello 47' · 0.11 xG · goal
Rayo Vallecano (attacking right)Alaves (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Rayo Vallecano810.57
Alaves1512.22

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Alaves led on xG, 1.25 to 0.39. At full time, Alaves led on xG, 2.22 to 0.57. The widest gap was 1.65 xG to Alaves, in the 95th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.21.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Rayo Vallecano 47 minGoal - Alaves 83 min
Rayo Vallecano 0.57 xGAlaves 2.22 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rayo Vallecano v Alaves?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rayo Vallecano v Alaves was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Alaves?
In their last 6 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 4, Alaves won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rayo Vallecano and Alaves?
Recent form — Rayo Vallecano 2W 1D 2L; Alaves 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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