Rayo Vallecano v Barcelona result

Full-time · Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Barcelona

La Liga · Sun, 31 Aug 2025 20:30 BST · Estadio de Vallecas

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rayo Vallecano · Barcelona · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Barcelona — this La Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.7% of 165 landed (95% range 45.1–60.2%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Barcelona: 2.36 to 1.93 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 39th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Rayo Vallecano and Barcelona drew 1–1 at Estadio de Vallecas in La Liga on Sunday 31 August. Barcelona have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Barcelona led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Barcelona: Lamine Yamal (40’ pen); Rayo Vallecano: Fran Pérez (67’, assisted by Isi Palazón).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Fran Pérez’s goal on 67 minutes.

Discipline

Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain showed five yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rayo Vallecano: Ó. Trejo (-5’), A. Batalla (38’), Unai López (45’) and Pep Chavarría (90+4’); Barcelona: Jules Koundé (56’).

What it changes

Rayo Vallecano move down from eighth to 10th (three league matches played).

Barcelona move down from first to fourth (three league matches played).

Barcelona are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) 12.3, F. de Jong (Barcelona) 8.6 and Isi Palazón (Rayo Vallecano) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Rayo Vallecano next host Elche on 24 October 2026.

Barcelona next host Real Madrid on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rayo Vallecano: Rayo Vallecano v Elche, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Barcelona: Barcelona v Real Madrid, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Barcelona · La Liga
Venue: Estadio de Vallecas · Madrid
Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Rayo Vallecano 1 · draws 2 · Barcelona 3 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Rayo Vallecano 3W 1D 1L · Barcelona 4W 0D 1L

Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Barcelona (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 2.75

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

7.25 / 7.75

Corners

against 4.25 / 2.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5 / 7.63

Shots on target

against 3 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 1.63

Cards

against 1.75 / 3.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.25 yellows

Referee · Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain

2 home / 2.25 away

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Rayo Vallecano for / against	Line	Barcelona for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.25 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.75 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.38 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	21 for · 8 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7.63 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.25 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.63 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 3.29 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain — 4.25 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 21.25 fouls over 8 matches (2 to the home side, 2.25 to the away side).

Home 2Away 2.25

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Gumbau n 8	34.8	3.2 6/3	1.6 2/1	—
Óscar Valentín n 8	55.8	2.8 5/5	1.2 5/1	—
Sergi Guardiola n 8	40.5	2.5 5/3	1.4 3/1	—
R. Nteka n 8	49.9	2.3 5/3	1.1 4/1	—
Jorge de Frutos n 8	61.9	2 4/3	1.6 5/4	—

Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Adri Embarba n 8	49.1	2.5 7/2	1.6 5/1
Álvaro García n 8	66	2.4 6/4	1.5 6/2
Jorge de Frutos n 8	61.9	2 7/3	1.3 7/0
Sergio Camello n 8	50.6	2 5/2	0.9 3/1
F. Lejeune n 8	89.1	1.9 7/6	0.8 5/1

Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jorge de Frutos n 8	61.9	0.7 4/0	0.5 2/1
Álvaro García n 8	66	0.9 4/1	0.2 1/0
Adri Embarba n 8	49.1	0.5 2/0	0.2 1/0
Isi Palazón n 8	72.6	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
Sergio Camello n 8	50.6	0.4 2/0	0 0/0

Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Ó. Trejo n 8	28.4	3.6 5/2
Unai López n 8	56.8	3 6/5
Luiz Felipe n 8	47.1	2.9 6/3
A. Espino n 8	46.4	2.4 6/3
P. Ciss n 8	82.8	2.3 7/4

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Batalla n 8	90	2.3 5/3

Barcelona

Barcelona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Fermín n 8	51.5	2.8 5/4	1.5 4/1	—
Gavi n 8	35.4	2.5 4/1	2.9 4/1	—
Marc Casadó n 8	43.4	2.1 2/2	1.8 5/1	—
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 8	77.9	1.6 7/2	0.1 1/0	—
R. Araújo n 8	61.9	1.6 5/2	0.4 2/0	—

Barcelona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Lamine Yamal n 8	92.6	4 8/8	2.6 8/7
Raphinha n 8	83.3	3.2 8/6	0.9 5/2
Ferran Torres n 8	84.9	2.5 8/5	1.1 6/1
M. Rashford n 8	49.9	2.5 5/4	1.6 5/2
R. Lewandowski n 8	63	2.1 6/5	0.5 2/1

Barcelona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Lamine Yamal n 8	92.6	0.7 5/1	0.4 3/0
Ferran Torres n 8	84.9	0.7 5/0	0.4 1/1
Fermín n 8	51.5	0.7 3/0	0.2 1/0
Raphinha n 8	83.3	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
Dani Olmo n 8	49.5	0.5 2/0	0.2 1/0

Barcelona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Gavi n 8	35.4	4.1 3/3
Marc Casadó n 8	43.4	3.4 6/4
Eric García n 8	76.9	2.3 6/3
Gerard Martín n 8	62	2.2 5/3
F. de Jong n 8	72.4	1.7 5/3

Barcelona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Joan García n 8	90	3.4 7/5
M. ter Stegen n 8	84.4	3.1 6/4
W. Szczęsny n 8	97.5	2.8 5/4
Iñaki Peña n 8	90	1.9 6/3

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Rayo Vallecano		Barcelona
43%	Possession	57%
1.85	Expected goals (xG)	1.83
12	Shots	12
6	Shots on target	3
3	Shots off target	6
3	Blocked shots	3
9	Shots inside the box	8
9	Corners	4
7	Offsides	2
16	Fouls	8
4	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	5
338	Passes	444
75%	Pass accuracy	82%

Rayo Vallecano player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Batalla	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
A. Rațiu	90	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	6.2
F. Lejeune	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.6
Pep Chavarría	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
P. Ciss	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7.7
Pedro Díaz	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
Álvaro García	89	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.6
Isi Palazón	89	0	1	1	0	3	1	0	6.7
Luiz Felipe	76	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.3
Jorge de Frutos	76	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	6.6
Unai López	59	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.2
Fran Pérez sub	31	1	0	2	2	1	0	0	7.5
Óscar Valentín sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
Sergio Camello sub	14	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
A. Espino sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
Gumbau sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Barcelona player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Joan García	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	8.2
J. Koundé	90	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.7
Eric García	90	0	2	0	0	0	0	6.9
A. Christensen	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
F. de Jong	90	0	0	0	1	7	0	7.6
Pedri	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Lamine Yamal	90	1	2	2	2	4	0	8.2
Alejandro Balde	78	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Ferran Torres	78	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
Dani Olmo	62	0	3	1	1	0	0	6.2
Raphinha	62	0	1	0	2	2	0	6.7
Fermín sub	28	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
M. Rashford sub	28	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.6
Gerard Martín sub	12	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
R. Lewandowski sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rayo Vallecano v Barcelona — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Rayo VallecanoDWWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

BarcelonaWLWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Rayo Vallecano 1 · 2 draws · Barcelona 3 · 2 goals/game

2025-02-17 Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
2024-08-27 Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Barcelona
2024-05-19 Barcelona 3–0 Rayo Vallecano
2023-11-25 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Barcelona
2023-04-26 Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Barcelona
2022-08-13 Barcelona 0–0 Rayo Vallecano

League standing · 2025/26

Rayo Vallecano#8 pos50 pts38 pl-3 GD

Barcelona#1 pos94 pts38 pl+59 GD

Goals per game

Rayo Vallecano scored1.08

Barcelona scored2.5

Rayo Vallecano conceded1.16

Barcelona conceded0.95

Shot map and expected goals

Rayo Vallecano 1.93 xG from 12 shots, Barcelona 2.36 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Rayo Vallecano (attacking right)Barcelona (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Rayo Vallecano	12	1	1.93
Barcelona	12	1	2.36

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Rayo Vallecano v Barcelona?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Rayo Vallecano v Barcelona was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Barcelona?: In their last 6 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Barcelona won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rayo Vallecano and Barcelona?: Recent form — Rayo Vallecano 3W 1D 1L; Barcelona 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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