Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo prediction

La Liga · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:15 GMT · Estadio de Vallecas

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 04:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rayo Vallecano · Celta Vigo · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo, La Liga on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:15 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.25 at Betfair

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,747 of 2,357 times (74.1%), against an average rating of 73.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Rayo Vallecano host Celta Vigo in La Liga on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 15:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Rayo Vallecano or Celta Vigo (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Celta Vigo have conceded seven goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Eight of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). At home, Rayo Vallecano have three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.83 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.33. Rayo Vallecano have scored 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rayo Vallecano have conceded 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Five of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Celta Vigo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Celta Vigo have one win, five draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 0.57. Celta Vigo have scored 10 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Celta Vigo are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Rayo Vallecano (16th) and Celta Vigo (ninth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Celta Vigo the stronger side, 91 rating points above Rayo Vallecano (Celta Vigo 1583, Rayo Vallecano 1491, after at least 237 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 January 2026, finished Celta Vigo 3–0 Rayo Vallecano.

Team news

Predicted Rayo Vallecano XI (4-2-3-1): E. Audero, F. Lejeune, A. Pedrosa, I. Balliu, M. Sadick, Á. García, U. López, Ó. Valentín, P. Ciss, G. Bouare, S. Camello — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Unai López (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, three assists) and Sergio Camello (4.2 per match over 11 appearances, seven goals and one assist) have been Rayo Vallecano’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rayo Vallecano (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Unai López averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 771 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Sergio Camello averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 695 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Celta Vigo XI (3-4-3): I. Radu, M. Alonso, J. Rodríguez, Y. Lago, I. Moriba, A. Febas, J. Rueda, S. Carreira, F. Jutglà, H. Álvarez, W. Swedberg — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Javi Rodríguez (3.9 per match over nine appearances, three goals and one assist) and Carl Starfelt (3.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Celta Vigo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celta Vigo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Javi Rodríguez averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 704 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Carl Starfelt averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 528 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:15 GMT · La Liga · Estadio de Vallecas
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Rayo Vallecano 2 · draws 3 · Celta Vigo 1 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L · Celta Vigo 2W 2D 1L

Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.38

Goals

against 2.25 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.29 / 3.38

Corners

against 6.57 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.14 / 4

Shots on target

against 6.43 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.86 / 1.5

Cards

against 2.43 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Rayo Vallecano for / against	Line	Celta Vigo for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.29 for · 6.57 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.38 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17 for · 16.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	13.13 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.14 for · 6.43 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.29 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.38 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.86 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano Goalkeeper

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
E. Audero	5	90450 min	214.2 /90	61.2 /90
Dani Cárdenas	3	70210 min	83.4 /90	83.4 /90
A. Batalla	2	75150 min	31.8 /90	21.2 /90

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Audero n 5	90	4.2 5/4
Dani Cárdenas n 8	82.5	4.5 6/5
A. Batalla n 8	86.3	2.3 7/3

Rayo Vallecano Defensive

Rayo Vallecano — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Lejeune	9	90810 min	202.2 /90	121.3 /90	91 /90	495.4 /90	131.4 /90	10.1 /90
Adrià Pedrosa	7	78548 min	132.1 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	315.1 /90	111.8 /90	20.3 /90
A. Rațiu	6	90540 min	91.5 /90	81.3 /90	10.2 /90	325.3 /90	40.7 /90	00 /90
I. Balliu	6	58345 min	61.6 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	153.9 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
Mujaid Sadick	5	69346 min	10.3 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	92.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.5 7/3	0.9 3/2	—
P. Ciss n 8	90	1.5 6/4	0.6 4/1	—
Unai López n 8	81	0.8 4/2	1 5/2	—
Álvaro García n 8	78.8	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0	—
Sergio Camello n 8	72.4	1.4 5/4	2.2 6/6	—
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Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	2 7/6
P. Ciss n 8	90	1.5 8/3
Unai López n 8	81	2.5 8/6
Álvaro García n 8	78.8	1.1 4/3
Sergio Camello n 8	72.4	1.2 5/2
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Rayo Vallecano Attacking

Rayo Vallecano — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Sergio Camello	9	67605 min	71 /90	10.1 /90	203 /90	121.8 /90	81.2 /90	71 /90
G. Tsitaishvili	6	45271 min	00 /90	00 /90	82.7 /90	20.7 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90
Alemão	6	25152 min	00 /90	00 /90	42.4 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90
Fran Pérez	4	32128 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	32.1 /90
P. Ciss	9	90810 min	00 /90	00 /90	40.4 /90	00 /90	50.6 /90	30.3 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.8 7/4	0.3 2/0
P. Ciss n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
Unai López n 8	81	1.1 6/2	0.4 3/0
Álvaro García n 8	78.8	1.7 6/3	0.6 3/1
Sergio Camello n 8	72.4	3.1 8/7	1.9 6/4
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Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Ciss n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Unai López n 8	81	0 0/0	0.4 2/1
Álvaro García n 8	78.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Sergio Camello n 8	72.4	1.1 5/2	0.2 1/0
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Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo Goalkeeper

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
I. Radu	13	901170 min	433.3 /90	70.5 /90	00 /90

Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Radu n 8	90	3.5 7/5

Celta Vigo Defensive

Celta Vigo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Yoel Lago	11	86945 min	161.5 /90	151.4 /90	90.9 /90	393.7 /90	181.7 /90	40.4 /90
Marcos Alonso	10	86861 min	141.5 /90	151.6 /90	30.3 /90	333.4 /90	101 /90	20.2 /90
Javi Rodríguez	8	84675 min	111.5 /90	81.1 /90	20.3 /90	233.1 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
Álvaro Núñez	5	86431 min	71.5 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90	132.7 /90	51 /90	00 /90
S. Cáceres	4	87347 min	102.6 /90	41 /90	30.8 /90	225.7 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
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Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Sergio Carreira n 8	67	0.8 5/0	0.8 3/2	—
Javi Rueda n 8	66	1.9 6/3	0.7 3/1	—
W. Swedberg n 8	38.9	2.9 6/3	0.9 2/1	—
Yoel Lago n 8	90	1.8 6/4	1.6 7/5	—
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Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Sergio Carreira n 8	67	0.8 3/2
Javi Rueda n 8	66	0.5 3/0
W. Swedberg n 8	38.9	2.3 4/2
Yoel Lago n 8	90	1.6 5/4
I. Moriba n 8	74.5	3.2 7/5
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Celta Vigo Attacking

Celta Vigo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
W. Swedberg	12	44529 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	71.2 /90	40.7 /90	101.7 /90	30.5 /90
Ferran Jutglà	11	70772 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	161.9 /90	50.6 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90
Hugo Álvarez	11	62685 min	10.1 /90	30.4 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	121.6 /90	30.4 /90
Iago Aspas	9	37334 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	71.9 /90	30.8 /90	71.9 /90	41.1 /90
Pablo Durán	8	56446 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	91.8 /90	61.2 /90	40.8 /90	40.8 /90
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Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sergio Carreira n 8	67	0.8 5/0	0.3 2/0
Javi Rueda n 8	66	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
W. Swedberg n 8	38.9	1.4 3/1	0.6 2/0
Yoel Lago n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celta Vigo before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Radu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sergio Carreira n 8	67	0 0/0	0 0/0
Javi Rueda n 8	66	0 0/0	0 0/0
W. Swedberg n 8	38.9	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
Yoel Lago n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Rayo VallecanoWDDLW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Celta VigoDLWWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Rayo Vallecano 2 · 3 draws · Celta Vigo 1 · 1.83 goals/game

2026-01-18 Celta Vigo 3–0 Rayo Vallecano
2025-09-21 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo
2025-05-18 Celta Vigo 1–2 Rayo Vallecano
2025-01-10 Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Celta Vigo
2024-03-31 Celta Vigo 0–0 Rayo Vallecano
2023-12-11 Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Celta Vigo

League standing · 2026/27

Rayo Vallecano#16 pos9 pts9 pl-8 GD

Celta Vigo#9 pos12 pts10 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Rayo Vallecano scored1.33

Celta Vigo scored1

Rayo Vallecano conceded2.22

Celta Vigo conceded0.7

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo is Home or Away (best price 1.25 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo?: In their last 6 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 2, Celta Vigo won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo?: Recent form — Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L; Celta Vigo 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 04:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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