Rayo Vallecano v Espanyol result

Full-time · Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Espanyol

La Liga · Thu, 23 Apr 2026 19:00 BST · Estadio de Vallecas

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rayo Vallecano · Espanyol · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Espanyol — Rayo Vallecano won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 546 of 850 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Rayo Vallecano: 2.11 to 1.69 in expected goals, 0.74 of Espanyol’s from a penalty, from 17 shots to 15, ahead on xG from the 26th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Rayo Vallecano beat Espanyol 1–0 at Estadio de Vallecas in La Liga on Thursday 23 April. Espanyol are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Rayo Vallecano: Sergio Camello (87’, assisted by Ilias Akhomach).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sergio Camello’s goal on 87 minutes.

Discipline

A. Cordero showed six yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rayo Vallecano: A. Batalla (-5’) and Pathé Ciss (50’); Espanyol: Pere Milla (2’), Pol Lozano (19’), L. Cabrera (75’) and Cyril Ngonge (83’).

What it changes

Rayo Vallecano move up from 13th to 11th (32 league matches played).

Espanyol move down from 10th to 12th (32 league matches played).

It is Rayo Vallecano’s first win over Espanyol since 19 August 2022, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dani Cárdenas (Rayo Vallecano) 9.7, Andrei Rațiu (Rayo Vallecano) 6.4 and Carlos Romero (Espanyol) 4.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Espanyol are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Rayo Vallecano.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Rayo Vallecano next travel to Real Sociedad on 8 November 2026.

Espanyol next host Deportivo La Coruna on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rayo Vallecano: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Espanyol: Espanyol v Deportivo La Coruna, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Espanyol · La Liga
Venue: Estadio de Vallecas · Madrid
Referee: A. Cordero
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Rayo Vallecano 2 · draws 0 · Espanyol 4 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Rayo Vallecano 2W 0D 3L · Espanyol 0W 2D 3L

Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Espanyol (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.25 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6 / 5

Corners

against 5.13 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 3.5

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 7.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 3.38

Cards

against 3.75 / 2.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.1 yellows

Referee · A. Cordero

21.2 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Rayo Vallecano for / against	Line	Espanyol for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.88 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.13 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.5 for · 7.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.38 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	15.63 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: A. Cordero — 4.1 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.2 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano Goalkeeper

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Batalla	42	903780 min	1052.5 /90	471.1 /90	00 /90
Dani Cárdenas	3	90270 min	124 /90	62 /90	00 /90

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Batalla n 8	90	2.9 5/5

Rayo Vallecano Defensive

Rayo Vallecano — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Lejeune	45	904034 min	751.7 /90	631.4 /90	310.7 /90	2235 /90	651.5 /90	60.1 /90
A. Rațiu	37	843126 min	762.2 /90	431.2 /90	70.2 /90	1855.3 /90	260.7 /90	90.3 /90
Pep Chavarría	32	852705 min	602 /90	331.1 /90	170.6 /90	1404.7 /90	381.3 /90	80.3 /90
A. Espino	29	671941 min	562.6 /90	251.2 /90	50.2 /90	1296 /90	241.1 /90	20.1 /90
N. Mendy	20	781558 min	241.4 /90	211.2 /90	160.9 /90	613.5 /90	271.6 /90	70.4 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.3 6/4	0.8 6/0	—
Álvaro García n 8	64.5	0.9 4/1	0.2 1/0	—
A. Batalla n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 3/1	—
Isi Palazón n 8	72.9	0.8 4/1	2 7/2	Roberto Fernández
Jorge de Frutos n 8	70.4	1.8 6/3	1 5/1	Roberto Fernández
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Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.5 6/4
Álvaro García n 8	64.5	1.4 6/2
Isi Palazón n 8	72.9	2 7/3
Jorge de Frutos n 8	70.4	0.5 3/0
A. Rațiu n 8	81.9	2.7 6/5
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Rayo Vallecano Attacking

Rayo Vallecano — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Jorge de Frutos	40	662625 min	110.4 /90	30.1 /90	521.8 /90	270.9 /90	361.2 /90	270.9 /90
Alemão	22	531167 min	30.2 /90	00 /90	211.6 /90	100.8 /90	90.7 /90	50.4 /90
Sergio Camello	18	561012 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	181.6 /90	70.6 /90	161.4 /90	151.3 /90
R. Nteka	7	48333 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	41.1 /90	61.6 /90
Álvaro García	45	642877 min	110.3 /90	100.3 /90	601.9 /90	331 /90	561.8 /90	110.3 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.3 2/0
Álvaro García n 8	64.5	2.3 7/4	1 5/1
A. Batalla n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Isi Palazón n 8	72.9	1.2 5/2	0.6 3/1
Jorge de Frutos n 8	70.4	2.2 7/4	1.1 6/1
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Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Álvaro García n 8	64.5	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
A. Batalla n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Isi Palazón n 8	72.9	0.3 2/0	0.3 1/1
Jorge de Frutos n 8	70.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Espanyol

Espanyol Goalkeeper

Espanyol — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Dmitrović	31	902790 min	1073.5 /90	481.5 /90	00 /90

Espanyol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Dmitrović n 8	90	4.6 8/5

Espanyol Defensive

Espanyol — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Cabrera	30	902700 min	351.2 /90	230.8 /90	200.7 /90	1314.4 /90	291 /90	20.1 /90
Carlos Romero	29	892580 min	822.9 /90	321.1 /90	110.4 /90	1425 /90	371.3 /90	40.1 /90
O. El Hilali	27	842259 min	582.3 /90	321.3 /90	90.4 /90	1034.1 /90	331.3 /90	70.3 /90
Fernando Calero	21	801675 min	251.3 /90	241.3 /90	281.5 /90	593.2 /90	80.4 /90	40.2 /90
C. Riedel	16	801274 min	292 /90	90.6 /90	70.5 /90	674.7 /90	231.6 /90	40.3 /90
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Espanyol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Dmitrović n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
T. Dolan n 8	69.3	1 4/2	1.3 6/2	—
Roberto Fernández n 8	43.9	1.8 5/2	1 2/1	Jorge de Frutos
L. Cabrera n 8	90	1.4 8/2	0 0/0	—
Carlos Romero n 8	90	0.8 3/3	0.4 3/0	—
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Espanyol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Dolan n 8	69.3	1.5 7/2
Roberto Fernández n 8	43.9	0 0/0
L. Cabrera n 8	90	1.4 6/4
Carlos Romero n 8	90	2 6/6
Edu Expósito n 8	64.1	1.2 6/1
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Espanyol Attacking

Espanyol — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Roberto Fernández	31	641969 min	60.3 /90	20.1 /90	371.7 /90	200.9 /90	160.7 /90	80.4 /90
Kike García	28	541498 min	60.4 /90	10.1 /90	412.5 /90	221.3 /90	191.1 /90	80.5 /90
Jofre Carreras	18	44794 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	131.5 /90	40.5 /90	121.4 /90	141.6 /90
Antoniu Roca	4	35141 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	21.3 /90
L. Koleosho	3	46139 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	53.2 /90	53.2 /90
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Espanyol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Dmitrović n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Dolan n 8	69.3	0.8 2/1	0.5 2/1
Roberto Fernández n 8	43.9	2.1 5/2	1 3/1
L. Cabrera n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
Carlos Romero n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
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Espanyol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Dmitrović n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Dolan n 8	69.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Roberto Fernández n 8	43.9	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
L. Cabrera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Carlos Romero n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Rayo Vallecano		Espanyol
52%	Possession	48%
1.60	Expected goals (xG)	1.96
17	Shots	15
6	Shots on target	4
9	Shots off target	6
2	Blocked shots	5
9	Shots inside the box	10
6	Corners	5
3	Offsides	0
12	Fouls	15
2	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	5
331	Passes	295
80%	Pass accuracy	73%

Rayo Vallecano Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Dani Cárdenas	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.5
A. Rațiu	90	0	0	2	0	4	2	0	8.3
P. Ciss	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	Y	7.3
Pep Chavarría	90	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	7.2
Jorge de Frutos	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
Isi Palazón	90	0	0	6	3	1	0	0	7
J. Vertrouwd	81	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Pedro Díaz	81	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
Óscar Valentín	76	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	6.7
Alemão	76	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	6.2
A. Espino	58	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7
Ilias Akhomach sub	32	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	7.2
Unai López sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
Gumbau sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
A. Mumin sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Sergio Camello sub	9	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.7

Espanyol Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Dmitrović	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
O. El Hilali	90	0	0	0	3	0	6.6
L. Cabrera	90	0	0	0	0	Y	6.5
Carlos Romero	90	1	0	1	4	0	6.9
Edu Expósito	90	2	1	2	0	0	6.9
Kike García	90	2	1	0	1	0	5.9
Pere Milla	89	1	0	1	4	Y	6.3
Fernando Calero	78	0	0	0	0	0	7
T. Dolan	78	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
Roberto Fernández	67	1	1	0	2	0	6.3
Pol Lozano	45	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
C. Pickel sub	45	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Ramón Terrats sub	23	1	0	1	1	0	6.5
C. Riedel sub	12	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
C. Ngonge sub	12	2	1	1	0	Y	6.7
Miguel Rubio sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rayo Vallecano v Espanyol — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Rayo VallecanoLWWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

EspanyolDLLDL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Rayo Vallecano 2 · 0 draws · Espanyol 4 · 2.33 goals/game

2025-12-07 Espanyol 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
2025-04-04 Rayo Vallecano 0–4 Espanyol
2024-08-31 Espanyol 2–1 Rayo Vallecano
2023-05-21 Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Espanyol
2022-08-19 Espanyol 0–2 Rayo Vallecano
2022-04-21 Espanyol 0–1 Rayo Vallecano

League standing · 2025/26

Rayo Vallecano#8 pos50 pts38 pl-3 GD

Espanyol#11 pos46 pts38 pl-12 GD

Goals per game

Rayo Vallecano scored1.08

Espanyol scored1.13

Rayo Vallecano conceded1.16

Espanyol conceded1.45

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Rayo Vallecano 2.11 xG from 17 shots, Espanyol 1.69 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Rayo Vallecano (attacking right)Espanyol (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Rayo Vallecano	17	1	2.11
Espanyol	15	0	1.69

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Rayo Vallecano 0.43, Espanyol 0.10. At full time, Rayo Vallecano led on xG, 2.11 to 1.69, 0.74 of Espanyol’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.23 xG to Rayo Vallecano, in the 69th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Rayo Vallecano 2.11 xGEspanyol 1.69 xGdots = goals · 32 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rayo Vallecano v Espanyol?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Rayo Vallecano v Espanyol was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol?: In their last 6 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 2, Espanyol won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol?: Recent form — Rayo Vallecano 2W 0D 3L; Espanyol 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.