Rayo VallecanoEspanyol

Rayo Vallecano v Espanyol result

Full-time · Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol

La Liga · · Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol — Rayo Vallecano won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.35 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Rayo Vallecano: 1.83 to 1.16 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 19, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Rayo Vallecano beat Espanyol 2–1 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque in La Liga on Tuesday 15 September. Rayo Vallecano have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Espanyol have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Rayo Vallecano led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Rayo Vallecano: Álvaro García (3’) and Adrià Pedrosa (26’, assisted by Álvaro García); Espanyol: Roberto Fernández (54’, assisted by Javier Hernandez). Omar El Hilali (90+8’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Álvaro García’s goal on 3 minutes.

Discipline

Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain showed six yellow cards and one red — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rayo Vallecano: Unai López (45+2’), Giorgi Tsitaishvili (67’), Pathé Ciss (70’), G. Bouare (80’) and Alemão (90+1’); Espanyol: Marcos Fernández (63’).

What it changes

Rayo Vallecano move up from 15th to 12th (six league matches played). Rayo Vallecano have scored 10 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Rayo Vallecano have conceded 15 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Espanyol move down from seventh to eighth (six league matches played). Espanyol have scored nine goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Espanyol have conceded seven goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Álvaro García (Rayo Vallecano) 9.0, Adrià Pedrosa (Rayo Vallecano) 6.2 and Andrei Rațiu (Rayo Vallecano) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Rayo Vallecano or Espanyol (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Rayo Vallecano next travel to Real Sociedad on 8 November 2026.

Espanyol next host Deportivo La Coruna on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rayo Vallecano: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Espanyol: Espanyol v Deportivo La Coruna, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Butarque · Leganés
  • Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rayo Vallecano 2 · draws 0 · Espanyol 4 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rayo Vallecano 1W 1D 3L · Espanyol 2W 1D 2L

Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 2 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 2.5
Corners
against 7.13 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 2.5
Cards
against 2 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.78 yellows
Referee · Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
22.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRayo Vallecano for / againstLineEspanyol for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
2.5our book
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 7.13 against n 8
9.5standard
2.5 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
11.13 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
14 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
15.5 for · 12.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.88 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain — 4.78 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 22.33 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano Goalkeeper

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Dani Cárdenas370210 min83.4 /9083.4 /9000 /90
A. Batalla275150 min31.8 /9021.2 /9000 /90
E. Audero19090 min77 /9044 /9000 /90
Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Dani Cárdenas n 882.5
4.56/5
A. Batalla n 886.3
2.37/3

Rayo Vallecano Defensive

Rayo Vallecano — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Lejeune590450 min132.6 /9071.4 /9030.6 /90326.4 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
P. Ciss590450 min40.8 /90122.4 /9040.8 /90173.4 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90
A. Rațiu490360 min41 /9061.5 /9000 /90194.8 /9030.8 /9000 /90
Adrià Pedrosa373218 min52.1 /9020.8 /9000 /90104.1 /9072.9 /9010.4 /90
I. Balliu365195 min31.4 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9094.2 /9020.9 /9000 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Lejeune n 890
17/1
15/1
Roger Hinojo
P. Ciss n 882.4
0.85/1
0.84/1
—
Unai López n 871.9
27/4
0.32/0
—
Álvaro García n 862.6
0.94/1
0.21/0
—
Sergio Camello n 858.5
13/2
2.56/4
Roberto Fernández
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Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 890
2.98/7
P. Ciss n 882.4
16/1
Unai López n 871.9
2.37/5
Álvaro García n 862.6
1.13/3
Sergio Camello n 858.5
1.56/2
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Rayo Vallecano Attacking

Rayo Vallecano — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Sergio Camello565323 min61.7 /9010.3 /90113.1 /90102.8 /9072 /9020.6 /90
Fran Pérez432128 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9000 /9010.7 /9032.1 /90
Alemão42288 min00 /9000 /9033.1 /9022 /9000 /9011 /90
Unai López582408 min00 /9030.7 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90122.6 /9040.9 /90
Álvaro García572359 min10.3 /9010.3 /9041 /9030.8 /9020.5 /9030.8 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 890
1.67/5
0.54/0
P. Ciss n 882.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
Unai López n 871.9
0.53/0
0.21/0
Álvaro García n 862.6
1.14/2
0.73/1
Sergio Camello n 858.5
3.57/6
2.76/6
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Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 890
0.11/0
00/0
P. Ciss n 882.4
00/0
0.11/0
Unai López n 871.9
00/0
0.52/1
Álvaro García n 862.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Sergio Camello n 858.5
1.56/2
0.42/0
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Espanyol

Espanyol Goalkeeper

Espanyol — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Dmitrović590450 min193.8 /9051 /9000 /90
Espanyol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dmitrović n 890
4.17/6

Espanyol Defensive

Espanyol — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Roger Hinojo589446 min112.2 /9051 /9010.2 /90214.2 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90
O. El Hilali587435 min122.5 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90224.6 /90132.7 /9010.2 /90
Unai Núñez489356 min41 /9020.5 /9041 /90133.3 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Riedel466262 min41.4 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90113.8 /9093.1 /9020.7 /90
L. Cabrera290180 min10.5 /9000 /9000 /9073.5 /9042 /9000 /90
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Espanyol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Dmitrović n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Roger Hinojo n 589.2
0.84/0
0.42/0
F. Lejeune
O. El Hilali n 888.1
2.36/5
0.11/0
—
Roberto Fernández n 876.3
1.86/4
1.66/3
Sergio Camello
Edu Expósito n 882.6
0.86/0
0.86/0
—
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Espanyol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Roger Hinojo n 589.2
2.25/4
O. El Hilali n 888.1
2.78/4
Roberto Fernández n 876.3
0.43/0
Edu Expósito n 882.6
2.37/5
T. Dolan n 877.6
1.24/2
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Espanyol Attacking

Espanyol — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Roberto Fernández587433 min51 /9000 /90102.1 /9051 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
Marcos Fernández339117 min10.8 /9010.8 /9064.6 /9032.3 /9021.5 /9000 /90
Edu Expósito585423 min00 /9000 /9061.3 /9010.2 /9081.7 /90112.3 /90
T. Dolan582410 min10.2 /9000 /9020.4 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9040.9 /90
Javier Hernandez579397 min00 /9030.7 /9040.9 /9020.5 /9071.6 /9061.4 /90
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Espanyol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Dmitrović n 890
00/0
00/0
Roger Hinojo n 589.2
00/0
00/0
O. El Hilali n 888.1
00/0
00/0
Roberto Fernández n 876.3
2.17/6
14/3
Edu Expósito n 882.6
1.25/3
0.32/0
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Espanyol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Espanyol before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Dmitrović n 890
00/0
00/0
Roger Hinojo n 589.2
00/0
00/0
O. El Hilali n 888.1
00/0
0.11/0
Roberto Fernández n 876.3
0.94/2
00/0
Edu Expósito n 882.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Rayo VallecanoEspanyol
55%Possession45%
1.52Expected goals (xG)1.49
16Shots19
2Shots on target5
10Shots off target7
4Blocked shots7
9Shots inside the box12
3Corners5
0Offsides2
10Fouls15
5Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
3Saves0
450Passes361
82%Pass accuracy79%

Rayo Vallecano Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Audero9000000007
A. Rațiu9000101506.9
F. Lejeune9000100006.9
Adrià Pedrosa9010210108.2
Pedro Díaz9000202106.6
P. Ciss90000022Y7.9
Álvaro García8411111108.2
G. Tsitaishvili76002010Y6.5
Sergio Camello7600201007.3
Mujaid Sadick6100000006.7
Unai López61001011Y6.9
Óscar Valentín sub2900000207.2
G. Bouare sub29000011Y6.7
I. Balliu sub1500000006.6
Alemão sub14000001Y6.9
Fran Pérez sub1400000006.7

Espanyol Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Dmitrović9000000006.2
O. El Hilali90000011R7.2
C. Riedel9000110006.5
L. Cabrera9000000006
Q. Hartman9000003507.2
Roberto Fernández9010211007.7
Urko González8400000006.3
Javier Hernandez7401214006.2
Roger Hinojo4500100306.2
Rafel Bauzà4500100006.2
Gabriel Moscardo4500000005.9
Edu Expósito sub4500202106.9
Marcos Fernández sub45001110Y6.6
Bryan Zaragoza sub4500212006.9
Álex Calatrava sub1600000006.5
Pol Lozano sub1500001006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rayo Vallecano v Espanyol — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Rayo VallecanoLDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
EspanyolWLLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rayo Vallecano 2 · 0 draws · Espanyol 4 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-23 Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Espanyol
  • 2025-12-07 Espanyol 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2025-04-04 Rayo Vallecano 0–4 Espanyol
  • 2024-08-31 Espanyol 2–1 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2023-05-21 Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Espanyol
  • 2022-08-19 Espanyol 0–2 Rayo Vallecano
League standing · 2026/27
Rayo Vallecano#12 pos12 pts10 pl-5 GD
Espanyol#14 pos11 pts11 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Rayo Vallecano scored1.5
Espanyol scored1.18
Rayo Vallecano conceded2
Espanyol conceded1.27

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Rayo Vallecano 1.83 xG from 16 shots, Espanyol 1.16 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Sergio Camello 46' · 0.43 xGJavi Hernández 50' · 0.13 xGSergio Camello 35' · 0.12 xGPedro Díaz 2' · 0.12 xGUnai López 46' · 0.10 xGGiorgi Tsitaishvili 65' · 0.09 xGMarcos Fernández 48' · 0.09 xGRoberto Fernández 16' · 0.09 xGMarcos Fernández 59' · 0.08 xGJavi Hernández 24' · 0.08 xGEdu Expósito 68' · 0.08 xGEdu Expósito 67' · 0.07 xGGabriel Moscardo 44' · 0.07 xGLeandro Cabrera 96' · 0.07 xGGiorgi Tsitaishvili 45' · 0.06 xGRoger Hinojo 48' · 0.05 xGAndrei Ratiu 42' · 0.05 xGMarcos Fernández 91' · 0.04 xGGiorgi Tsitaishvili 33' · 0.03 xGAndrei Ratiu 52' · 0.03 xGFlorian Lejeune 98' · 0.03 xGJavi Hernández 62' · 0.03 xGBryan Zaragoza 58' · 0.02 xGBryan Zaragoza 87' · 0.02 xGPedro Díaz 78' · 0.02 xGFlorian Lejeune 22' · 0.02 xGEdu Expósito 84' · 0.02 xGUrko Gonzalez 80' · 0.02 xGAdrià Pedrosa 43' · 0.01 xGRafael Bauza 19' · 0.01 xGPedro Díaz 47' · 0.01 xGClemens Riedel 57' · 0.01 xGÁlvaro García 2' · 0.60 xG · goalRoberto Fernández 53' · 0.18 xG · goalAdrià Pedrosa 25' · 0.10 xG · goal
Rayo Vallecano (attacking right)Espanyol (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Rayo Vallecano1621.83
Espanyol1911.16

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Rayo Vallecano led on xG, 1.11 to 0.25. At full time, Rayo Vallecano led on xG, 1.83 to 1.16. The widest gap was 1.41 xG to Rayo Vallecano, in the 47th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.80.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Rayo Vallecano 2 minGoal - Rayo Vallecano 25 minGoal - Espanyol 53 min
Rayo Vallecano 1.83 xGEspanyol 1.16 xGdots = goals · 35 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rayo Vallecano v Espanyol?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rayo Vallecano v Espanyol was Home or Away (best price 1.35 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol?
In their last 6 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 2, Espanyol won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol?
Recent form — Rayo Vallecano 1W 1D 3L; Espanyol 2W 1D 2L.

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