Rayo Vallecano v Malaga prediction
Team pages: Rayo Vallecano · Malaga
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rayo Vallecano v Malaga, La Liga on Sun, 20 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Rayo Vallecano host Malaga in La Liga on Sunday 20 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
Malaga have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Nine of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Rayo Vallecano’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Rayo Vallecano have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 1.83 and conceding 1.17. Rayo Vallecano have scored 15 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Rayo Vallecano have conceded 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Six of Malaga’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Malaga’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Malaga have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.50. Malaga have scored eight goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Malaga have conceded 21 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Rayo Vallecano (12th) and Malaga (20th) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rayo Vallecano the stronger side, 324 rating points above Malaga (Rayo Vallecano 1576, Malaga 1251, after at least 49 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 21 February 2021, finished Malaga 2–0 Rayo Vallecano.
Team news
Predicted Rayo Vallecano XI (4-3-3): E. Audero, F. Lejeune, M. Sadick, A. Pedrosa, A. Rațiu, U. López, Ó. Valentín, P. Díaz, J. de Frutos, S. Camello, Alemão — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Unai López (4.4 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and three assists) and Andrei Rațiu (4.3 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Rayo Vallecano’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rayo Vallecano (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Unai López averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 850 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Andrei Rațiu averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 900 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Malaga XI (4-1-4-1): A. Herrero, Rafita, Á. Recio, Puga, E. Galilea, D. Larrubia, D. Lorenzo, C. Dotor, R. Enríquez, A. Ben Cheikh, A. Heredia — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, David Larrubia (4.0 per match over 11 appearances) and Adrián Niño Heredia (4.0 per match over seven appearances, five goals) have been Malaga’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Malaga (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), David Larrubia averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 882 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Adrián Niño Heredia averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 370 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Kick-off: · La Liga · Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
- Head-to-head (last 4): Rayo Vallecano 1 · draws 2 · Malaga 1 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L · Malaga 1W 2D 2L
Rayo Vallecano v Malaga (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Rayo Vallecano for / against | Line | Malaga for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.14 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 17.43 for · 14.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11 for · 17.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.57 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 6 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.29 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.29 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Audero | 6 | 90540 min | 213.5 /90 | 61 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Dani Cárdenas | 3 | 70210 min | 83.4 /90 | 83.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Batalla | 2 | 75150 min | 31.8 /90 | 21.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Audero n 6 | 90 | 3.5 |
| Dani Cárdenas n 8 | 82.5 | 4.5 |
| A. Batalla n 8 | 86.3 | 2.3 |
Rayo Vallecano Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Lejeune | 10 | 90900 min | 212.1 /90 | 151.5 /90 | 90.9 /90 | 535.3 /90 | 141.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Adrià Pedrosa | 8 | 76609 min | 142.1 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 324.7 /90 | 111.6 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| A. Rațiu | 7 | 90630 min | 101.4 /90 | 81.1 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 375.3 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Mujaid Sadick | 6 | 73436 min | 30.6 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 132.7 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| I. Balliu | 6 | 58345 min | 61.6 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 153.9 /90 | 41 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Lejeune n 8 | 90 | 1.5 | 1.1 | — |
| Unai López n 8 | 79.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | — |
| Álvaro García n 8 | 80 | 0.4 | 0.3 | — |
| Sergio Camello n 8 | 68.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 | — |
| P. Ciss n 8 | 90 | 1.5 | 0.6 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Lejeune n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| Unai López n 8 | 79.6 | 2.4 |
| Álvaro García n 8 | 80 | 1.3 |
| Sergio Camello n 8 | 68.8 | 1.3 |
| P. Ciss n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
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Rayo Vallecano Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Camello | 10 | 67666 min | 70.9 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 223 /90 | 141.9 /90 | 91.2 /90 | 81.1 /90 |
| Jorge de Frutos | 8 | 72573 min | 20.3 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 50.8 /90 | 50.8 /90 | 71.1 /90 | 91.4 /90 |
| G. Tsitaishvili | 7 | 45316 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 82.3 /90 | 20.6 /90 | 51.4 /90 | 30.9 /90 |
| Alemão | 6 | 25152 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 42.4 /90 | 21.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.6 /90 |
| Fran Pérez | 4 | 32128 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.7 /90 | 32.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Lejeune n 8 | 90 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| Unai López n 8 | 79.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Álvaro García n 8 | 80 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Sergio Camello n 8 | 68.8 | 3.1 | 2 |
| P. Ciss n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Lejeune n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Unai López n 8 | 79.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Álvaro García n 8 | 80 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Sergio Camello n 8 | 68.8 | 1 | 0.3 |
| P. Ciss n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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Malaga
Malaga Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Herrero | 11 | 90990 min | 403.6 /90 | 191.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Herrero n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
Malaga Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafita | 11 | 84922 min | 121.2 /90 | 131.3 /90 | 80.8 /90 | 464.5 /90 | 80.8 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| Ángel Recio | 10 | 90900 min | 111.1 /90 | 60.6 /90 | 80.8 /90 | 282.8 /90 | 60.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Puga | 9 | 64572 min | 294.6 /90 | 101.6 /90 | 60.9 /90 | 568.8 /90 | 142.2 /90 | 30.5 /90 |
| Einar Galilea | 8 | 81649 min | 91.2 /90 | 111.5 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 243.3 /90 | 71 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| José Salinas | 8 | 53427 min | 122.5 /90 | 51.1 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 245.1 /90 | 61.3 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Herrero n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.3 | — |
| Rafita n 8 | 81.5 | 0.6 | 1.8 | — |
| David Larrubia n 8 | 83.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | — |
| Ángel Recio n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.4 | — |
| Chupe n 8 | 74.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Rafita n 8 | 81.5 | 1.2 |
| David Larrubia n 8 | 83.5 | 2.2 |
| Ángel Recio n 8 | 90 | 1.3 |
| Chupe n 8 | 74.1 | 0.5 |
| Carlos Dotor n 8 | 73.3 | 2.5 |
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Malaga Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chupe | 10 | 77773 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 161.9 /90 | 60.7 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| Adrián Niño Heredia | 7 | 53370 min | 51.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 143.4 /90 | 92.2 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 41 /90 |
| H. Abaida | 2 | 1733 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 12.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 12.7 /90 | 12.7 /90 |
| Eneko Jauregi | 1 | 4545 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 12 /90 | 12 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| David Larrubia | 11 | 80882 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 101 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 151.5 /90 | 262.7 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Herrero n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Rafita n 8 | 81.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| David Larrubia n 8 | 83.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Ángel Recio n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Chupe n 8 | 74.1 | 2 | 0.8 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Herrero n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Rafita n 8 | 81.5 | 0 | 0.1 |
| David Larrubia n 8 | 83.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Ángel Recio n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Chupe n 8 | 74.1 | 0 | 0 |
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Rayo Vallecano v Malaga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2021-02-21 Malaga 2–0 Rayo Vallecano
- 2020-10-03 Rayo Vallecano 4–0 Malaga
- 2020-07-02 Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Malaga
- 2019-09-17 Malaga 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Malaga?
- In their last 4 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Malaga won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Rayo Vallecano and Malaga?
- Recent form — Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L; Malaga 1W 2D 2L.
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