Rayo VallecanoVillarreal

Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal result

Full-time · Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal

La Liga · · Estadio de Vallecas

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rayo Vallecano · Villarreal · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal — Rayo Vallecano won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.4% of 140 landed (95% range 48.2–64.4%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Rayo Vallecano: 1.92 to 0.65 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 38th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Rayo Vallecano beat Villarreal 2–0 at Estadio de Vallecas in La Liga on Sunday 17 May. Rayo Vallecano have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Rayo Vallecano led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Rayo Vallecano: Sergio Camello (28’, assisted by Andrei Rațiu) and Alemão (47’, assisted by Ó. Trejo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sergio Camello’s goal on 28 minutes.

Discipline

R. De Burgos showed three yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rayo Vallecano: Florian Lejeune (61’) and Unai López (82’); Villarreal: S. Mouriño (90+6’).

What it changes

Rayo Vallecano move up from ninth to eighth (37 league matches played). Rayo Vallecano have scored 10 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Rayo Vallecano have conceded five goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Villarreal stay third after this result (37 league matches played). Villarreal have scored 11 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Villarreal have conceded nine goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

It is Rayo Vallecano’s first win over Villarreal since 28 May 2023, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Rayo Vallecano are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. Villarreal are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Andrei Rațiu (Rayo Vallecano) 8.3, Ó. Trejo (Rayo Vallecano) 7.2 and Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano) 6.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Villarreal are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Rayo Vallecano.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Rayo Vallecano next host Valencia on 22 November 2026.

Villarreal next travel to Barcelona on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rayo Vallecano: Rayo Vallecano v Valencia, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Villarreal: Barcelona v Villarreal, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio de Vallecas · Madrid
  • Referee: R. De Burgos
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rayo Vallecano 1 · draws 2 · Villarreal 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rayo Vallecano 3W 2D 0L · Villarreal 2W 2D 1L

Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2
Goals
against 1 / 1.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.38
Corners
against 4.63 / 6.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.56 yellows
Referee · R. De Burgos
23.56 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRayo Vallecano for / againstLineVillarreal for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
2.75our book
2 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 6.38 against n 8
Shots
16.38 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
6.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.13 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
3.25 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: R. De Burgos — 3.56 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 23.56 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano Goalkeeper

Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Batalla47904230 min1162.5 /90491 /9020 /90
Dani Cárdenas590450 min214.2 /9091.8 /9010.2 /90
Rayo Vallecano — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Batalla n 890
2.66/5

Rayo Vallecano Defensive

Rayo Vallecano — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Lejeune51904574 min841.7 /90771.5 /90320.6 /902414.7 /90681.3 /9080.2 /90
A. Rațiu44823615 min932.3 /90471.2 /9090.2 /902245.6 /90300.7 /90100.2 /90
Pep Chavarría39843267 min722 /90381 /90180.5 /901634.5 /90401.1 /9080.2 /90
A. Espino34672264 min692.7 /90281.1 /9050.2 /901536.1 /90321.3 /9020.1 /90
N. Mendy23781802 min301.5 /90231.1 /90211 /90783.9 /90311.5 /9090.4 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Lejeune n 890
0.95/2
0.32/0
—
A. Batalla n 890
0.11/0
0.42/1
—
Jorge de Frutos n 867.4
1.85/4
1.34/3
—
Isi Palazón n 880
1.56/3
2.47/4
—
Álvaro García n 864.5
0.94/1
0.21/0
—
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Rayo Vallecano — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 890
1.58/3
Jorge de Frutos n 867.4
0.84/1
Isi Palazón n 880
1.55/3
Álvaro García n 864.5
1.46/2
A. Rațiu n 872.4
2.65/5
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Rayo Vallecano Attacking

Rayo Vallecano — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jorge de Frutos47653074 min110.3 /9030.1 /90621.8 /90300.9 /90411.2 /90361.1 /90
Alemão29531528 min70.4 /9000 /90321.9 /90171 /90120.7 /9080.5 /90
Sergio Camello22561239 min40.3 /9010.1 /90261.9 /90130.9 /90231.7 /90211.5 /90
R. Nteka946413 min20.4 /9000 /9081.7 /9040.9 /9040.9 /9061.3 /90
Isi Palazón46683117 min60.2 /9070.2 /90521.5 /90230.7 /90611.8 /90290.8 /90
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Rayo Vallecano — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 890
27/5
1.37/2
A. Batalla n 890
00/0
00/0
Jorge de Frutos n 867.4
1.84/2
0.52/1
Isi Palazón n 880
2.36/5
1.15/2
Álvaro García n 864.5
2.37/4
15/1
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Rayo Vallecano — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rayo Vallecano before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Lejeune n 890
0.32/0
00/0
A. Batalla n 890
00/0
00/0
Jorge de Frutos n 867.4
00/0
00/0
Isi Palazón n 880
0.32/0
0.11/0
Álvaro García n 864.5
0.21/0
0.32/0
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Villarreal

Villarreal Goalkeeper

Villarreal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Luíz Júnior33902970 min842.5 /90411.2 /9020.1 /90
Arnau Tenas12901080 min342.8 /90221.8 /9000 /90
Villarreal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luíz Júnior n 890
3.27/5
Arnau Tenas n 890
3.28/5

Villarreal Defensive

Villarreal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Renato Veiga39823216 min270.8 /90330.9 /90381.1 /90932.6 /90330.9 /9070.2 /90
S. Mouriño32862737 min1294.2 /90341.1 /90100.3 /902307.6 /90622 /90130.4 /90
Sergi Cardona32742374 min562.1 /90401.5 /90100.4 /901104.2 /90331.3 /9040.2 /90
Pedraza30641906 min452.1 /90311.5 /9060.3 /90964.5 /90291.4 /9090.4 /90
Rafa Marín28842365 min451.7 /90301.1 /90190.7 /901064 /90220.8 /9040.2 /90
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Villarreal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Pépé n 865.8
1.24/2
1.95/4
—
Santi Comesaña n 879.3
1.87/5
0.96/0
—
Alberto Moleiro n 862.3
0.95/0
0.92/2
—
G. Mikautadze n 861.8
0.52/1
1.65/3
—
Renato Veiga n 890
1.15/3
0.32/0
—
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Villarreal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Pépé n 865.8
0.93/1
Santi Comesaña n 879.3
1.16/2
Alberto Moleiro n 862.3
1.66/2
G. Mikautadze n 861.8
0.53/0
Renato Veiga n 890
0.65/0
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Villarreal Attacking

Villarreal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Pépé44683007 min80.2 /9070.2 /90561.7 /90300.9 /90762.3 /90742.2 /90
G. Mikautadze40642552 min140.5 /9060.2 /90612.2 /90341.2 /90291 /90391.4 /90
Ayoze Pérez28481347 min40.3 /9040.3 /90261.7 /90130.9 /90201.3 /90181.2 /90
T. Oluwaseyi25511287 min70.5 /9020.1 /90261.8 /90161.1 /9080.6 /9090.6 /90
Gerard Moreno23591368 min100.7 /9000 /90291.9 /90161.1 /90231.5 /90191.3 /90
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Villarreal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Pépé n 865.8
1.55/3
1.25/2
Santi Comesaña n 879.3
0.42/1
0.31/1
Alberto Moleiro n 862.3
0.53/0
0.53/0
G. Mikautadze n 861.8
2.75/3
1.34/2
Renato Veiga n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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Villarreal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Pépé n 865.8
0.74/0
0.31/1
Santi Comesaña n 879.3
00/0
0.43/0
Alberto Moleiro n 862.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
G. Mikautadze n 861.8
0.73/1
0.42/0
Renato Veiga n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Rayo VallecanoVillarreal
53%Possession47%
1.49Expected goals (xG)0.97
15Shots11
7Shots on target2
5Shots off target4
3Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box6
1Corners9
1Offsides0
12Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves5
474Passes401
85%Pass accuracy84%

Rayo Vallecano Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Batalla9000000007.7
A. Rațiu9001002408.2
P. Ciss9000000207.6
F. Lejeune90002114Y8
Óscar Valentín9000000607.7
Jorge de Frutos9000222207.9
Unai López82000033Y7.3
Pep Chavarría8100000107.3
Alemão7410220007.5
Sergio Camello7310420207.9
Ó. Trejo6601004307.9
Pedro Díaz sub2400100006.3
Fran Pérez sub1700100106.3
Carlos Martín sub1600000006.3
A. Espino sub900000207.2
A. Mumin sub800000006.9

Villarreal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Arnau Tenas9000000007.3
S. Mouriño90001003Y6.7
Rafa Marín9000000006
Sergi Cardona9000212206.2
Alberto Moleiro9000000105.6
Ayoze Pérez9000001206.9
Willy Kambwala Ndengushi7700000006.2
P. Gueye7200000106.7
Santi Comesaña6400000106.9
T. Oluwaseyi6300101206.3
T. Buchanan4500000206.5
Alfon González sub4500000006.5
Gerard Moreno sub2700001006.9
T. Partey sub2600210006.3
Dani Parejo sub1800002006.6
Logan Costa sub1300001006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Rayo VallecanoWWWDD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
VillarrealDWWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rayo Vallecano 1 · 2 draws · Villarreal 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-11-01 Villarreal 4–0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2025-02-22 Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Villarreal
  • 2024-12-18 Villarreal 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2024-04-28 Villarreal 3–0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2023-09-24 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Villarreal
  • 2023-05-28 Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Villarreal
League standing · 2025/26
Rayo Vallecano#8 pos50 pts38 pl-3 GD
Villarreal#3 pos72 pts38 pl+26 GD
Goals per game
Rayo Vallecano scored1.08
Villarreal scored1.89
Rayo Vallecano conceded1.16
Villarreal conceded1.21

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Rayo Vallecano 1.92 xG from 15 shots, Villarreal 0.65 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Fran Pérez 83' · 0.56 xGJorge De Frutos 77' · 0.38 xGAyoze Pérez 92' · 0.14 xGThomas Partey 91' · 0.14 xGSergio Camello 45' · 0.09 xGAlberto Moleiro 14' · 0.08 xGSergio Camello 38' · 0.08 xGTani Oluwaseyi 6' · 0.07 xGAlberto Moleiro 70' · 0.07 xGCarlos Martín 76' · 0.06 xGAlemão 54' · 0.06 xGSergi Cardona 93' · 0.05 xGJorge De Frutos 25' · 0.03 xGThomas Partey 89' · 0.03 xGSergio Camello 51' · 0.03 xGFlorian Lejeune 88' · 0.03 xGSantiago Comesaña 14' · 0.02 xGSergi Cardona 17' · 0.02 xGThomas Partey 81' · 0.02 xGSantiago Mouriño 84' · 0.01 xGAndrei Ratiu 25' · 0.01 xGSergio Camello 18' · 0.01 xGFlorian Lejeune 35' · 0.01 xGPedro Díaz 95' · 0.01 xGAlemão 46' · 0.48 xG · goalSergio Camello 27' · 0.08 xG · goal
Rayo Vallecano (attacking right)Villarreal (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Rayo Vallecano1521.92
Villarreal1100.65

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Rayo Vallecano 0.32, Villarreal 0.19. At full time, Rayo Vallecano led on xG, 1.92 to 0.65. The widest gap was 1.63 xG to Rayo Vallecano, in the 88th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.91.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Rayo Vallecano 27 minGoal - Rayo Vallecano 46 min
Rayo Vallecano 1.92 xGVillarreal 0.65 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal?
In their last 6 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Villarreal won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal?
Recent form — Rayo Vallecano 3W 2D 0L; Villarreal 2W 2D 1L.

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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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