Real Betis v Alaves result

Full-time · Real Betis 1–0 Alaves

La Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Real Betis 1–0 Alaves — Real Betis won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.3% of 1371 landed (95% range 64.7–69.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Real Betis: 2.21 to 1.47 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the sixth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Real Betis beat Alaves 1–0 in La Liga on Friday 22 August. Real Betis have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Real Betis led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Betis: Giovani Lo Celso (16’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Giovani Lo Celso’s goal on 16 minutes.

Discipline

Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain showed five yellow cards — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Real Betis: Giovani Lo Celso (46’) and C. Hernández (83’); Alaves: Pablo Ibáñez (42’), F. Garcés (78’) and Antonio Blanco (81’).

What it changes

Real Betis move up from eighth to first (two league matches played).

Alaves move down from fourth to ninth (two league matches played).

It is Real Betis’s first win over Alaves since 18 January 2022, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Giovani Lo Celso (Real Betis) 6.4, Jonny (Alaves) 6.4 and Sergi Altimira (Real Betis) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Alaves, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.3% of the time in the last 90 days (922 of 1371).

Next up

Real Betis next host Feyenoord on 21 October 2026.

Alaves next host Malaga on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Real Betis: Real Betis v Feyenoord, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Alaves: Alaves v Malaga, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Real Betis 1–0 Alaves · La Liga
  • Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Real Betis 1 · draws 3 · Alaves 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Real Betis 0W 3D 2L · Alaves 3W 1D 1L

Real Betis 1–0 Alaves (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 0.88
Goals
against 2 / 0.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 6.25
Corners
against 5.75 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.38 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.82 yellows
Referee · Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain
2.64 home / 2.18 away
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameReal Betis for / againstLineAlaves for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
14.88 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10.75 for · 9.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 12.5 against n 8
21.5standard
16 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain — 4.82 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 24.09 fouls over 11 matches (2.64 to the home side, 2.18 to the away side).

Real Betis
Real Betis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Bakambu n 845.1
3.76/4
0.52/0
—
Rodrigo Riquelme n 824.4
2.85/1
2.33/2
—
A. Ezzalzouli n 854
1.95/2
1.34/2
—
Isco n 864.8
1.74/3
2.16/4
—
Jesús Rodríguez n 845.4
1.73/3
1.23/1
—
Real Betis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Antony n 881.1
2.98/6
2.27/3
C. Hernández n 877
2.68/7
15/2
A. Ezzalzouli n 854
2.16/1
1.56/1
G. Lo Celso n 853
1.55/2
1.34/2
Isco n 864.8
1.45/2
0.94/1
Real Betis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Isco n 864.8
0.21/0
0.74/0
Antony n 881.1
0.64/0
0.11/0
A. Ezzalzouli n 854
0.63/0
00/0
C. Hernández n 877
0.43/0
0.11/0
R. Perraud n 865
0.21/0
0.32/0
Real Betis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aitor Ruibal n 867
3.27/5
Sergi Altimira n 855.9
2.85/3
William Carvalho n 824.3
2.84/1
Johnny Cardoso n 877.6
2.67/6
Pablo García n 612
2.51/1
Real Betis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Adrián n 890
3.97/7
Pau López n 891.9
2.45/3
Alaves
Alaves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Benavídez n 822.4
35/1
1.53/0
—
Carlos Martín n 842.3
2.96/4
0.51/1
—
Joan Jordán n 852.1
2.86/3
0.42/0
—
A. Rebbach n 856
2.66/4
1.67/1
—
Guevara n 852.9
2.64/3
0.61/1
—
Alaves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Toni Martínez n 840.5
3.16/4
1.13/1
Kike García n 879.4
2.77/5
14/3
Calebe n 819.4
2.34/0
1.73/0
A. Rebbach n 856
1.85/3
1.25/1
Tomás Conechny n 836.9
1.85/1
0.62/0
Alaves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Asier Villalibre n 825
0.51/0
0.51/0
Toni Martínez n 840.5
0.62/0
00/0
Calebe n 819.4
0.61/0
00/0
Carlos Vicente n 889.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
A. Rebbach n 856
0.42/0
00/0
Alaves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Benavídez n 822.4
64/2
Carlos Martín n 842.3
3.77/6
Manu Sánchez n 883.9
3.28/7
Calebe n 819.4
2.94/1
N. Tenaglia n 881
2.88/6
Alaves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sivera n 890
2.15/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Real BetisAlaves
49%Possession51%
1.95Expected goals (xG)1.12
16Shots11
5Shots on target5
7Shots off target5
4Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box6
5Corners2
2Offsides3
10Fouls17
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
5Saves5
470Passes485
86%Pass accuracy82%

Real Betis player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Pau López9000000007.7
Héctor Bellerín9000112007.2
Marc Bartra9000000207.3
Natan9000000106.9
Sergi Altimira9000001407.3
Pablo Fornals9000003107.3
Aitor Ruibal9000213006.9
G. Lo Celso86102230Y8.9
C. Hernández85002012Y6.2
Junior Firpo7100100006.9
Rodrigo Riquelme5800100006.3
Pablo García sub3300210006.7
R. Rodríguez sub2000000006.6
C. Bakambu sub1100100006.2
V. Gómez sub1000000106.9

Alaves player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Sivera9000000007.9
Jonny9000101607.2
F. Garcés90002204Y6.9
N. Tenaglia9000100106.9
Carlos Vicente9000001206.3
Carles Aleñá9000103106.7
Antonio Blanco89000012Y6.7
Víctor Parada7700101206.7
Pablo Ibáñez58000003Y6.6
Jon Guridi5800220006.3
Toni Martínez5800000006.5
A. Rebbach sub3300111206.9
Guevara sub3300000006.7
M. Díaz sub3300100006.9
Calebe sub1400000006.7
Lander Pinillos sub20000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Real Betis v Alaves — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Real BetisDLDLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
AlavesLWWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Real Betis 1 · 3 draws · Alaves 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-01-18 Real Betis 1–3 Alaves
  • 2024-08-25 Alaves 0–0 Real Betis
  • 2024-02-18 Real Betis 0–0 Alaves
  • 2024-01-06 Alaves 1–0 Real Betis
  • 2023-10-08 Alaves 1–1 Real Betis
  • 2022-01-18 Real Betis 4–0 Alaves
League standing · 2025/26
Real Betis#5 pos60 pts38 pl+11 GD
Alaves#14 pos43 pts38 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Real Betis scored1.55
Alaves scored1.16
Real Betis conceded1.26
Alaves conceded1.47

Shot map and expected goals

Real Betis 2.21 xG from 16 shots, Alaves 1.47 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Victor Parada 63' · 0.56 xGAitor Ruibal 6' · 0.49 xGJon Guridi 2' · 0.40 xGJon Guridi 38' · 0.26 xGPablo García 91' · 0.22 xGJuan Camilo Hernández 34' · 0.21 xGJuan Camilo Hernández 15' · 0.11 xGHéctor Bellerín 60' · 0.10 xGJuan Camilo Hernández 72' · 0.09 xGJúnior Firpo 38' · 0.08 xGAitor Ruibal 94' · 0.07 xGPablo García 66' · 0.06 xGFacundo Garcés 28' · 0.06 xGCédric Bakambu 94' · 0.06 xGJonny 55' · 0.05 xGAbderrahmane Rebbach 63' · 0.05 xGCarles Aleñá 37' · 0.03 xGJuan Camilo Hernández 43' · 0.02 xGPablo Ibáñez 27' · 0.02 xGAitor Ruibal 9' · 0.02 xGPablo Fornals 5' · 0.02 xGRodrigo Riquelme 31' · 0.02 xGGiovani Lo Celso 81' · 0.02 xGMariano 90' · 0.02 xGFacundo Garcés 74' · 0.01 xGNahuel Tenaglia 20' · 0.01 xGGiovani Lo Celso 15' · 0.62 xG · goal
Real Betis (attacking right)Alaves (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Real Betis1612.21
Alaves1101.47

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Real Betis v Alaves?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Betis v Alaves was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Betis and Alaves?
In their last 6 meetings, Real Betis won 1, Alaves won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Betis and Alaves?
Recent form — Real Betis 0W 3D 2L; Alaves 3W 1D 1L.

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