Real Betis v Malaga prediction

La Liga · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT · Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 02:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Real Betis · Malaga

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Real Betis v Malaga, La Liga on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT.

Free pick

Home win

Best price: 1.39 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 246 landed (95% range 72.5–82.8%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 160 of 241 times (66.4%), against an average rating of 68.2%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Real Betis host Malaga in La Liga on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Real Betis to win, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Eight of Real Betis’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Real Betis’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Real Betis have seven wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.63 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.25. Real Betis have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Real Betis have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Five of Malaga’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in eight of Malaga’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Malaga have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.25. Malaga have scored seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Malaga have conceded 19 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Real Betis (fourth) and Malaga (20th) are 15 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Real Betis the stronger side, 440 rating points above Malaga (Real Betis 1698, Malaga 1257, after at least 48 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 30 April 2018, finished Real Betis 2–1 Malaga.

Team news

Predicted Real Betis XI (4-2-3-1): Á. Vallés, Natan, F. García, H. Bellerín, V. Gómez, A. Ezzalzouli, M. Roca, Isco, P. Fornals, Antony, T. Parrott — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Abdessamad Ezzalzouli (4.6 per match over nine appearances, four goals) and Marc Bartra (4.3 per match over nine appearances, three goals) have been Real Betis’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Betis (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Abdessamad Ezzalzouli averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 872 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Marc Bartra averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 625 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Malaga XI (4-1-4-1): A. Herrero, Á. Recio, Rafita, J. Salinas, Puga, D. Larrubia, D. Lorenzo, C. Dotor, P. Martínez, R. Enríquez, Chupe — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, David Larrubia (4.5 per match over 10 appearances) and Adrián Niño Heredia (3.7 per match over six appearances, four goals) have been Malaga’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Malaga (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), David Larrubia averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 822 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Adrián Niño Heredia averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 284 minutes, with a shot in six of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT · La Liga · Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Real Betis 2 · draws 0 · Malaga 0 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Real Betis 3W 1D 1L · Malaga 1W 2D 2L

Real Betis v Malaga (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

4.5 / 5.43

Corners

against 4.75 / 4.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

6.88 / 3.71

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 5.57 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.75 / 2.57

Cards

against 2.75 / 2.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Real Betis for / against	Line	Malaga for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.43 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	17.5 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11 for · 16 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	6.88 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.71 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.63 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12 for · 12.14 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.57 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5

Real Betis

Real Betis Goalkeeper

Real Betis — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Álvaro Vallés	13	901170 min	483.7 /90	161.2 /90	10.1 /90

Real Betis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Álvaro Vallés n 8	90	4 8/6

Real Betis Defensive

Real Betis — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Natan	11	87961 min	171.6 /90	70.7 /90	80.7 /90	474.4 /90	30.3 /90	30.3 /90
Héctor Bellerín	11	77846 min	141.5 /90	101.1 /90	20.2 /90	222.3 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90
Fran García	10	84841 min	303.2 /90	181.9 /90	20.2 /90	464.9 /90	60.6 /90	10.1 /90
Marc Bartra	8	77613 min	142.1 /90	71 /90	60.9 /90	456.6 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90
V. Gómez	6	78467 min	71.3 /90	71.3 /90	71.3 /90	203.9 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90
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Real Betis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Álvaro Vallés n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Antony n 8	62	1.1 5/1	1.3 5/2	—
Isco n 8	64.6	1.2 4/3	2.1 6/3	—
Natan n 8	86.4	0.1 1/0	0.8 4/2	—
Héctor Bellerín n 8	80.9	1.1 5/2	0.3 2/0	—
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Real Betis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Antony n 8	62	1.5 5/3
Isco n 8	64.6	0.7 3/1
Natan n 8	86.4	1.6 5/3
Héctor Bellerín n 8	80.9	1.8 6/2
Pablo Fornals n 8	73.4	0.6 3/1
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Real Betis Attacking

Real Betis — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Hernández	10	62617 min	30.4 /90	20.3 /90	121.8 /90	81.2 /90	81.2 /90	81.2 /90
T. Parrott	9	51457 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	122.4 /90	40.8 /90	81.6 /90	30.6 /90
Pablo García	2	2040 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.3 /90	00 /90	36.8 /90	00 /90
Antony	12	70843 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	303.2 /90	161.7 /90	192 /90	141.5 /90
Isco	12	58697 min	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	162.1 /90	111.4 /90	293.7 /90	81 /90
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Real Betis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Álvaro Vallés n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Antony n 8	62	3.4 6/5	1.8 5/2
Isco n 8	64.6	2.3 5/4	1.4 4/2
Natan n 8	86.4	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
Héctor Bellerín n 8	80.9	0.6 3/1	0.4 2/1
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Real Betis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Álvaro Vallés n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Antony n 8	62	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Isco n 8	64.6	0.7 3/1	0.2 1/0
Natan n 8	86.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Héctor Bellerín n 8	80.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Malaga

Malaga Goalkeeper

Malaga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alfonso Herrero	10	90900 min	373.7 /90	191.9 /90	00 /90

Malaga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alfonso Herrero n 8	90	3.6 8/7

Malaga Defensive

Malaga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Ángel Recio	10	90900 min	111.1 /90	60.6 /90	80.8 /90	282.8 /90	60.6 /90	00 /90
Rafita	10	83832 min	121.3 /90	121.3 /90	80.9 /90	434.7 /90	70.8 /90	10.1 /90
Puga	8	60482 min	254.7 /90	81.5 /90	61.1 /90	529.7 /90	132.4 /90	30.6 /90
José Salinas	8	53427 min	122.5 /90	51.1 /90	20.4 /90	245.1 /90	61.3 /90	10.2 /90
Einar Galilea	7	80559 min	81.3 /90	91.4 /90	30.5 /90	223.5 /90	61 /90	20.3 /90
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Malaga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ángel Recio n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 2/1	—
Alfonso Herrero n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
Rafita n 8	81.5	0.8 4/1	1.5 6/4	—
David Larrubia n 8	87.3	0.8 3/2	1.2 7/2	—
Chupe n 8	81.6	1.4 6/3	1.2 6/3	—
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Malaga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Ángel Recio n 8	90	1.3 6/3
Rafita n 8	81.5	1.4 7/3
David Larrubia n 8	87.3	2.4 8/5
Chupe n 8	81.6	0.6 4/0
Carlos Dotor n 8	72.4	2.3 6/5
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Malaga Attacking

Malaga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Chupe	9	83743 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	151.8 /90	60.7 /90	30.4 /90	20.2 /90
Adrián Niño Heredia	6	47284 min	41.3 /90	00 /90	103.2 /90	61.9 /90	31 /90	20.6 /90
H. Abaida	2	1733 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.7 /90	00 /90	12.7 /90	12.7 /90
Eneko Jauregi	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	12 /90	12 /90	00 /90	00 /90
David Larrubia	10	82822 min	00 /90	00 /90	101.1 /90	40.4 /90	151.6 /90	262.8 /90
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Malaga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ángel Recio n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
Alfonso Herrero n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Rafita n 8	81.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
David Larrubia n 8	87.3	0.9 5/2	0.4 2/1
Chupe n 8	81.6	2.1 7/4	0.8 4/2
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Malaga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Alfonso Herrero n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ángel Recio n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Rafita n 8	81.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
David Larrubia n 8	87.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Chupe n 8	81.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Real Betis v Malaga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Real BetisWWLWD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

MalagaLDLDW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Real Betis 2 · 0 draws · Malaga 0 · 2.5 goals/game

2018-04-30 Real Betis 2–1 Malaga
2017-12-18 Malaga 0–2 Real Betis

League standing · 2026/27

Real Betis#4 pos20 pts10 pl+2 GD

Malaga#20 pos5 pts10 pl-12 GD

Goals per game

Real Betis scored1.6

Malaga scored0.7

Real Betis conceded1.4

Malaga conceded1.9

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Real Betis v Malaga?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Betis v Malaga is Home win (best price 1.39 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Real Betis and Malaga?: In their last 2 meetings, Real Betis won 2, Malaga won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Betis and Malaga?: Recent form — Real Betis 3W 1D 1L; Malaga 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 02:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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