Real BetisReal Madrid

Real Betis v Real Madrid result

Full-time · Real Betis 1–1 Real Madrid

La Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Real Betis 1–1 Real Madrid — this La Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 505 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 927 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Real Betis 1.02, Real Madrid 1.10 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Real Betis and Real Madrid drew 1–1 in La Liga on Friday 24 April. Real Betis have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Real Madrid have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Real Madrid led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Real Madrid: Vinícius Júnior (17’); Real Betis: Héctor Bellerín (90’, assisted by Giovani Lo Celso).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Héctor Bellerín’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

C. Soto Grado showed three yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Real Betis: Sofyan Amrabat (38’); Real Madrid: Dean Huijsen (40’) and Trent Alexander-Arnold (72’).

What it changes

Real Betis stay fifth after this result (33 league matches played).

Real Madrid stay second after this result (33 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Abdessamad Ezzalzouli (Real Betis) 7.0, Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) 6.5 and Héctor Bellerín (Real Betis) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.7% of the time in the last 90 days (347 of 505).

Next up

Real Betis next travel to Navalcarnero on 12 November 2026.

Real Madrid next host Celta Vigo on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Real Betis: Navalcarnero v Real Betis, Thursday 12 November — the preview. Next for Real Madrid: Real Madrid v Celta Vigo, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Real Betis 1–1 Real Madrid · La Liga
  • Referee: C. Soto Grado
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Real Betis 1 · draws 3 · Real Madrid 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Real Betis 1W 3D 1L · Real Madrid 1W 1D 3L

Real Betis 1–1 Real Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 6
Corners
against 3.5 / 5.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 7.5
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.63 / 2.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.33 yellows
Referee · C. Soto Grado
22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameReal Betis for / againstLineReal Madrid for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 8 against n 8
19.5standard
17.25 for · 15.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
7.5 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 13.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: C. Soto Grado — 4.33 yellow cards a game, 0.56 red cards, 22 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Real Betis

Real Betis Goalkeeper

Real Betis — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Álvaro Vallés28902520 min732.6 /90311.1 /9010 /90
Pau López16901440 min452.8 /90221.4 /9010.1 /90
Real Betis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Álvaro Vallés n 890
2.16/4
Pau López n 890
2.86/3

Real Betis Defensive

Real Betis — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Natan40853382 min431.1 /90441.2 /90300.8 /901403.7 /90330.9 /90130.3 /90
Aitor Ruibal37672483 min722.6 /90301.1 /9040.1 /901334.8 /90431.6 /9060.2 /90
V. Gómez32762423 min572.1 /90391.4 /90150.6 /901525.6 /90381.4 /9070.3 /90
Marc Bartra29842439 min612.3 /90351.3 /90271 /901385.1 /90210.8 /9040.1 /90
R. Rodríguez26772003 min261.2 /90120.5 /9050.2 /90632.8 /90180.8 /9030.1 /90
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Real Betis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Pablo Fornals n 876.9
15/1
15/2
Vinícius Júnior
Natan n 884.4
1.57/4
0.11/0
—
Antony n 860.9
0.62/1
2.25/4
Vinícius Júnior
Aitor Ruibal n 868.8
2.57/6
0.72/2
—
A. Ezzalzouli n 877
0.75/0
2.58/7
Vinícius Júnior
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Real Betis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pablo Fornals n 876.9
1.67/4
Natan n 884.4
1.55/5
Antony n 860.9
1.55/3
Aitor Ruibal n 868.8
2.56/5
A. Ezzalzouli n 877
1.36/2
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Real Betis Attacking

Real Betis — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Hernández34802730 min120.4 /9030.1 /90692.3 /90291 /90361.2 /90361.2 /90
C. Bakambu1656896 min40.4 /9030.3 /90222.2 /9090.9 /9090.9 /9020.2 /90
Pablo García1635562 min00 /9000 /90121.9 /9040.6 /9020.3 /9081.3 /90
E. Ávila1551758 min30.4 /9010.1 /90151.8 /9050.6 /90121.4 /9020.2 /90
Pablo Fornals44753317 min70.2 /9060.2 /90340.9 /90220.6 /901062.9 /90270.7 /90
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Real Betis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Pablo Fornals n 876.9
0.95/1
0.63/1
Natan n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Antony n 860.9
2.87/4
1.55/2
Aitor Ruibal n 868.8
1.34/2
0.73/1
A. Ezzalzouli n 877
1.87/3
1.37/1
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Real Betis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Betis before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Pablo Fornals n 876.9
0.11/0
00/0
Natan n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Antony n 860.9
0.42/0
00/0
Aitor Ruibal n 868.8
0.21/0
0.32/0
A. Ezzalzouli n 877
0.43/0
0.42/1
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Real Madrid

Real Madrid Goalkeeper

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Thibaut Courtois47894185 min1423.1 /90461 /9000 /90
A. Lunin1086862 min323.3 /90202.1 /9000 /90
Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
2.96/5
A. Lunin n 885.3
3.26/5

Real Madrid Defensive

Real Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dean Huijsen40803203 min551.5 /90351 /90240.7 /901654.6 /90320.9 /9080.2 /90
Álvaro Fernández36893217 min702 /90481.3 /90160.4 /901815.1 /90401.1 /9090.3 /90
Raúl Asencio33722360 min230.9 /90150.6 /90180.7 /90853.2 /90251 /9080.3 /90
A. Rüdiger26832168 min150.6 /9090.4 /90130.5 /90532.2 /90170.7 /9020.1 /90
Trent Alexander-Arnold24751789 min341.7 /90211.1 /9050.3 /90482.4 /9080.4 /9020.1 /90
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Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Vinícius Júnior n 878.3
0.73/2
2.77/6
A. Ezzalzouli
A. Güler n 862
0.94/1
1.66/2
—
F. Valverde n 884.4
0.86/0
0.11/0
—
A. Tchouaméni n 882.6
1.47/3
0.84/2
—
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
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Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 878.3
0.63/1
A. Güler n 862
2.77/4
F. Valverde n 884.4
27/4
A. Tchouaméni n 882.6
2.27/6
Kylian Mbappé n 873.4
0.53/0
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Real Madrid Attacking

Real Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Vinícius Júnior54794280 min190.4 /90110.2 /901282.7 /90701.5 /90942 /901282.7 /90
Kylian Mbappé42823459 min421.1 /9050.1 /901503.9 /90972.5 /90972.5 /90952.5 /90
Gonzalo García26601565 min100.6 /9020.1 /90281.6 /90201.2 /90140.8 /9050.3 /90
Rodrygo22511125 min30.2 /9050.4 /90312.5 /90191.5 /90302.4 /90312.5 /90
Franco Mastantuono20591189 min30.2 /9000 /90312.3 /90110.8 /90141.1 /90231.7 /90
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Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 878.3
4.27/6
2.25/5
A. Güler n 862
1.34/3
0.94/1
F. Valverde n 884.4
1.97/4
1.66/4
A. Tchouaméni n 882.6
1.26/3
0.53/1
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Vinícius Júnior n 878.3
0.73/2
0.11/0
A. Güler n 862
0.52/1
0.21/0
F. Valverde n 884.4
0.84/1
0.11/0
A. Tchouaméni n 882.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
Thibaut Courtois n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Real BetisReal Madrid
52%Possession48%
1.08Expected goals (xG)1.19
19Shots12
4Shots on target8
10Shots off target2
5Blocked shots2
12Shots inside the box10
7Corners6
1Offsides3
10Fouls8
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
7Saves3
573Passes536
90%Pass accuracy86%

Real Betis Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Álvaro Vallés9000000008.2
Héctor Bellerín9010110107.9
Natan9000100206.6
R. Rodríguez9000002006.5
Antony9000421207
A. Ezzalzouli9000103408.2
S. Amrabat73001010Y6.3
Pablo Fornals6800103006.7
Álvaro Fidalgo4500101206.7
C. Bakambu4500100006.3
Marc Bartra3200000206.7
Diego Llorente sub5800001207.3
Marc Roca sub4500101106.3
C. Hernández sub4500210006.5
G. Lo Celso sub2201001006.9
Isco sub1700000006.6

Real Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Lunin9000000107.7
Trent Alexander-Arnold90000021Y6.3
A. Rüdiger9000000006.7
F. Mendy9000000006
J. Bellingham9000221007
F. Valverde9000220107.2
Vinícius Júnior9010223007.7
Brahim Díaz8200001006.2
Kylian Mbappé8100312106.2
Dean Huijsen73001102Y7.7
Thiago Pitarch7300000306.6
D. Alaba sub1700000006.3
Eduardo Camavinga sub1700000107.3
Gonzalo García sub900000006.3
Manuel Ángel sub800000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Real Betis v Real Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Real BetisDDDLW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Real MadridLLDLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Real Betis 1 · 3 draws · Real Madrid 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-01-04 Real Madrid 5–1 Real Betis
  • 2025-03-01 Real Betis 2–1 Real Madrid
  • 2024-09-01 Real Madrid 2–0 Real Betis
  • 2024-05-25 Real Madrid 0–0 Real Betis
  • 2023-12-09 Real Betis 1–1 Real Madrid
  • 2023-03-05 Real Betis 0–0 Real Madrid
League standing · 2025/26
Real Betis#5 pos60 pts38 pl+11 GD
Real Madrid#2 pos86 pts38 pl+42 GD
Goals per game
Real Betis scored1.55
Real Madrid scored2.03
Real Betis conceded1.26
Real Madrid conceded0.92

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Real Betis 1.02 xG from 19 shots, Real Madrid 1.10 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Cédric Bakambu 32' · 0.13 xGVinícius Júnior 85' · 0.12 xGFederico Valverde 78' · 0.10 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 12' · 0.10 xGJude Bellingham 60' · 0.09 xGAntony 83' · 0.09 xGNatan 73' · 0.08 xGPablo Fornals 48' · 0.08 xGNatan 62' · 0.08 xGAntony 65' · 0.07 xGJude Bellingham 33' · 0.07 xGJuan Camilo Hernández 65' · 0.06 xGAbdessamad Ezzalzouli 64' · 0.05 xGAntony 65' · 0.05 xGAntony 43' · 0.05 xGAntony 45' · 0.05 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 7' · 0.04 xGEduardo Camavinga 90' · 0.04 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 69' · 0.04 xGMarc Roca 58' · 0.04 xGDean Huijsen 52' · 0.04 xGAntony 92' · 0.03 xGJuan Camilo Hernández 82' · 0.03 xGJude Bellingham 94' · 0.02 xGAbdessamad Ezzalzouli 35' · 0.02 xGÁlvaro Fidalgo 44' · 0.02 xGAntony 26' · 0.01 xGSofyan Amrabat 47' · 0.01 xGFederico Valverde 16' · 0.01 xGVinícius Júnior 16' · 0.42 xG · goalHéctor Bellerín 93' · 0.05 xG · goal
Real Betis (attacking right)Real Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Real Betis1911.02
Real Madrid1211.10

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Real Madrid led on xG, 0.64 to 0.28. At full time, xG was level: Real Betis 1.02, Real Madrid 1.10. The widest gap was 0.57 xG to Real Madrid, in the 16th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.10.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Real Madrid 16 minGoal - Real Betis 93 min
Real Betis 1.02 xGReal Madrid 1.10 xGdots = goals · 31 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Real Betis v Real Madrid?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Betis v Real Madrid was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Betis and Real Madrid?
In their last 6 meetings, Real Betis won 1, Real Madrid won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Betis and Real Madrid?
Recent form — Real Betis 1W 3D 1L; Real Madrid 1W 1D 3L.

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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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