Real Madrid v Villarreal result
Team pages: Real Madrid · Villarreal · Head-to-head
Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal — Real Madrid won this La Liga match.
What xG said
xG said Real Madrid: 4.33 to 0.96 in expected goals, from 26 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the sixth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Real Madrid beat Villarreal 3–1 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in La Liga on Saturday 4 October. Real Madrid have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Villarreal have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Madrid: Vinícius Júnior (47’, assisted by Kylian Mbappé; 69’ pen) and Kylian Mbappé (81’, assisted by Brahim Díaz); Villarreal: Georges Mikautadze (73’, assisted by Pape Gueye). S. Mouriño (77’) was sent off.
Discipline
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, Spain showed six yellow cards and one red — against 6.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Real Madrid: Aurélien Tchouaméni (33’) and Franco Mastantuono (45+1’); Villarreal: Sergi Cardona (12’), S. Mouriño (21’), Pape Gueye (69’) and S. Mouriño (77’).
What it changes
Real Madrid stay first after this result (eight league matches played).
Villarreal stay third after this result (eight league matches played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) 18.3, Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) 9.2 and F. Valverde (Real Madrid) 5.8 led the match.
Next up
Real Madrid next travel to Barcelona on 25 October 2026.
Villarreal next travel to Valencia on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Real Madrid: Barcelona v Real Madrid, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Villarreal: Valencia v Villarreal, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal · La Liga
- Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid
- Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, Spain
- Head-to-head (last 6): Real Madrid 4 · draws 1 · Villarreal 1 · 4.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L · Villarreal 3W 1D 1L
Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 October 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Real Madrid for / against | Line | Villarreal for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.75 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 19.13 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.25 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 8.38 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.38 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.63 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, Spain — 6.4 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 26.8 fouls over 5 matches (3.6 to the home side, 2.8 to the away side).
Real Madrid
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Mastantuono n 8 | 58.6 | 2.7 | 2.5 | — |
| Éder Militão n 8 | 68.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | S. Mouriño |
| Vinícius Júnior n 8 | 65.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | — |
| Eduardo Camavinga n 8 | 45.5 | 1.7 | 2.2 | — |
| A. Güler n 8 | 70.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 87.8 | 4.7 | 2.9 |
| Rodrygo n 8 | 27.3 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| Vinícius Júnior n 8 | 65.1 | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| Franco Mastantuono n 8 | 58.6 | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| A. Güler n 8 | 70.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 87.8 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Vinícius Júnior n 8 | 65.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| A. Güler n 8 | 70.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Brahim Díaz n 8 | 31.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Gonzalo García n 8 | 33 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Dani Ceballos n 8 | 36.6 | 3.7 |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 50.4 | 3.6 |
| Eduardo Camavinga n 8 | 45.5 | 3.5 |
| Fran García n 8 | 81.5 | 2.6 |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold n 8 | 50.4 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
Villarreal
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Mouriño n 8 | 90 | 2.3 | 1 | Éder Militão |
| Pedraza n 8 | 44.1 | 2.3 | 1.3 | — |
| Yeremy Pino n 8 | 65.3 | 2.1 | 1.2 | — |
| P. Gueye n 8 | 75.9 | 1.9 | 2.4 | — |
| Ilias Akhomach n 8 | 35.6 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Oluwaseyi n 8 | 40.9 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| G. Mikautadze n 8 | 74.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Etta Eyong n 8 | 80.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| N. Pépé n 8 | 74 | 2 | 0.8 |
| Ayoze Pérez n 8 | 62.9 | 2 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Solomon n 8 | 66.6 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Etta Eyong n 8 | 80.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Ayoze Pérez n 8 | 62.9 | 0.9 | 0 |
| T. Oluwaseyi n 8 | 40.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| G. Mikautadze n 8 | 74.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Mouriño n 8 | 90 | 4.5 |
| Pau Navarro n 8 | 57.3 | 2.8 |
| Dani Parejo n 8 | 40.6 | 2.2 |
| Pedraza n 8 | 44.1 | 2 |
| Sergi Cardona n 8 | 76.5 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Luíz Júnior n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| Arnau Tenas n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
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Match statistics & details
| Real Madrid | Villarreal | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% | Possession | 30% |
| 3.52 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.00 |
| 26 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 10 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 9 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 16 | Shots inside the box | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 711 | Passes | 317 |
| 92% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
Real Madrid player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| F. Valverde | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Éder Militão | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Dean Huijsen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Álvaro Fernández | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Tchouaméni | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| Vinícius Júnior | 90 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9.9 |
| Kylian Mbappé | 83 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8.7 |
| Franco Mastantuono | 75 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.6 |
| Dani Ceballos | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Güler | 64 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Eduardo Camavinga sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Bellingham sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Brahim Díaz sub | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Rodrygo sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
Villarreal player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnau Tenas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Rafa Marín | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Renato Veiga | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Sergi Cardona | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 5.9 |
| T. Partey | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Santi Comesaña | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6.5 |
| T. Oluwaseyi | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| S. Mouriño | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | RY | 6 |
| P. Gueye | 73 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| T. Buchanan | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Alberto Moleiro | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| G. Mikautadze sub | 45 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| N. Pépé sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Pedraza sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Adrià Alti sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Dani Parejo sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Real Madrid v Villarreal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-03-15 Villarreal 1–2 Real Madrid
- 2024-10-05 Real Madrid 2–0 Villarreal
- 2024-05-19 Villarreal 4–4 Real Madrid
- 2023-12-17 Real Madrid 4–1 Villarreal
- 2023-04-08 Real Madrid 2–3 Villarreal
- 2023-01-19 Villarreal 2–3 Real Madrid
Shot map and expected goals
Real Madrid 4.33 xG from 26 shots, Villarreal 0.96 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 26 | 3 | 4.33 |
| Villarreal | 9 | 1 | 0.96 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Villarreal?
- In their last 6 meetings, Real Madrid won 4, Villarreal won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Real Madrid and Villarreal?
- Recent form — Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L; Villarreal 3W 1D 1L.
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