Sevilla v Alaves prediction

La Liga · Fri, 06 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 04:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sevilla · Alaves · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Sevilla v Alaves, La Liga on Fri, 06 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.31 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5154 landed (95% range 76.6–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,886 of 2,528 times (74.6%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sevilla host Alaves in La Liga on Friday 6 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Sevilla or Alaves (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Sevilla have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Alaves are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Sevilla’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Sevilla’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Sevilla have three wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.33. Sevilla have scored 17 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Sevilla have conceded 19 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Alaves’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Alaves’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Alaves have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.71. Alaves have scored 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Alaves have conceded 17 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Sevilla (sixth) and Alaves (10th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sevilla the stronger side, 48 rating points above Alaves (Sevilla 1517, Alaves 1470, after at least 315 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Sevilla 1–1 Alaves.

Team news

Predicted Sevilla XI (4-2-3-1): O. Vlachodimos, A. Castrín, G. Suazo, J. Iglesias, K. Salas, L. Agoumé, Y. Fofana, F. Correia, C. Ejuke, M. Bueno, L. Stassin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Sierra (4.7 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and Youssouf Fofana (4.5 per match over eight appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Sevilla’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sevilla (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Sierra averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 496 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Youssouf Fofana averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 618 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Alaves XI (5-3-2): Sivera, N. Tenaglia, V. Koski, Jonny, N. Valentini, Yusi, P. Ibáñez, A. Blanco, D. Suárez, L. Boyé, T. Martínez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Boyé (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, five goals) and Pablo Ibáñez (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Alaves’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Alaves (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Boyé averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 802 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Pablo Ibáñez averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 885 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · La Liga
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Sevilla 1 · draws 2 · Alaves 3 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Sevilla 2W 1D 2L · Alaves 0W 2D 3L

Sevilla v Alaves (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.63 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

3.43 / 3.38

Corners

against 3.29 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.86 / 4.63

Shots on target

against 4.71 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.86 / 1.63

Cards

against 1.71 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Sevilla for / against	Line	Alaves for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.43 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.38 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.57 for · 12.43 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12.25 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.86 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.29 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.86 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Sevilla

Sevilla Goalkeeper

Sevilla — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
O. Vlachodimos	11	90990 min	322.9 /90	121.1 /90	00 /90

Sevilla — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
O. Vlachodimos n 8	90	2.8 7/4

Sevilla Defensive

Sevilla — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Suazo	11	90987 min	312.8 /90	100.9 /90	30.3 /90	635.7 /90	191.7 /90	30.3 /90
Juan Iglesias	11	88972 min	383.5 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90	726.7 /90	111 /90	20.2 /90
Andrés Castrín	10	84840 min	111.2 /90	70.8 /90	30.3 /90	252.7 /90	40.4 /90	20.2 /90
Kike Salas	9	90808 min	182 /90	50.6 /90	30.3 /90	566.2 /90	131.4 /90	10.1 /90
A. Sangante	4	71282 min	20.6 /90	41.3 /90	31 /90	123.8 /90	51.6 /90	00 /90
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Sevilla — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
O. Vlachodimos n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
L. Agoumé n 8	89.6	1.8 6/4	0.1 1/0	—
G. Suazo n 8	89.6	1.3 5/3	1.5 6/3	—
Juan Iglesias n 8	87.8	1.3 7/2	1.2 6/3	—
Andrés Castrín n 8	82.5	0.5 4/0	0.4 2/1	—
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Sevilla — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Suazo n 8	89.6	3.3 7/6
L. Agoumé n 8	89.6	3.1 8/7
Juan Iglesias n 8	87.8	4.1 8/7
Andrés Castrín n 8	82.5	1.4 6/4
Robbie Ure n 8	53.8	0.2 1/0
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Sevilla Attacking

Sevilla — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Robbie Ure	10	57565 min	10.2 /90	20.3 /90	121.9 /90	30.5 /90	61 /90	20.3 /90
C. Ejuke	8	51404 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	81.8 /90	30.7 /90	40.9 /90	163.6 /90
Isaac	8	40323 min	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	82.2 /90	30.8 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90
L. Stassin	6	64382 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	92.1 /90	40.9 /90	51.2 /90	51.2 /90
L. Agoumé	11	90987 min	00 /90	00 /90	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	40.4 /90	40.4 /90
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Sevilla — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
O. Vlachodimos n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Agoumé n 8	89.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
G. Suazo n 8	89.6	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Juan Iglesias n 8	87.8	0.6 4/1	0.4 3/0
Andrés Castrín n 8	82.5	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
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Sevilla — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
O. Vlachodimos n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Suazo n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Agoumé n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Juan Iglesias n 8	87.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Andrés Castrín n 8	82.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Alaves

Alaves Goalkeeper

Alaves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Sivera	11	90990 min	322.9 /90	111 /90	10.1 /90

Alaves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Sivera n 8	90	2.8 6/3

Alaves Defensive

Alaves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Tenaglia	11	86945 min	242.3 /90	171.6 /90	30.3 /90	525 /90	90.9 /90	30.3 /90
V. Koski	11	83909 min	101 /90	121.2 /90	70.7 /90	252.5 /90	101 /90	00 /90
Jonny	9	84752 min	161.9 /90	70.8 /90	50.6 /90	293.5 /90	30.4 /90	00 /90
Yusi	8	34273 min	93 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	185.9 /90	72.3 /90	00 /90
N. Valentini	6	74441 min	81.6 /90	61.2 /90	51 /90	193.9 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90
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Alaves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Sivera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	0.7 4/1	1.6 7/2	—
V. Koski n 8	81.1	1.4 5/3	0.4 3/0	—
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	2 7/5	2.5 8/6	—
A. Rebbach n 8	74.9	1.1 5/2	1.4 5/3	—
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Alaves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	2.4 7/5
V. Koski n 8	81.1	1.1 6/2
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	2.5 5/3
A. Rebbach n 8	74.9	2.3 6/4
M. Díaz n 8	45.3	0.5 2/0
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Alaves Attacking

Alaves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Díaz	11	42459 min	40.8 /90	40.8 /90	112.2 /90	102 /90	51 /90	51 /90
L. Boyé	10	80802 min	50.6 /90	00 /90	202.2 /90	101.1 /90	70.8 /90	40.4 /90
Toni Martínez	10	54543 min	00 /90	00 /90	172.8 /90	40.7 /90	61 /90	00 /90
Aitor Mañas	4	32126 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90	21.4 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
Hugo Novoa	3	3089 min	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	33 /90	22 /90
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Alaves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Sivera n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	0.7 3/2	0.3 2/0
V. Koski n 8	81.1	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	1 4/2	0.1 1/0
A. Rebbach n 8	74.9	0.6 3/1	0.5 2/1
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Alaves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alaves before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Sivera n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
N. Tenaglia n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. Koski n 8	81.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Pablo Ibáñez n 8	76.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Rebbach n 8	74.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sevilla v Alaves — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SevillaDLWWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 2 conceded per game

AlavesDLLDL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Sevilla 1 · 2 draws · Alaves 3 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-02-14 Sevilla 1–1 Alaves
2025-12-17 Alaves 1–0 Sevilla
2025-09-20 Alaves 1–2 Sevilla
2025-04-20 Sevilla 1–1 Alaves
2024-09-20 Alaves 2–1 Sevilla
2024-01-12 Sevilla 2–3 Alaves

League standing · 2026/27

Sevilla#6 pos17 pts11 pl-2 GD

Alaves#10 pos12 pts11 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Sevilla scored1.55

Alaves scored1.36

Sevilla conceded1.73

Alaves conceded1.55

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Sevilla v Alaves?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Sevilla v Alaves is Home or Away (best price 1.31 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Sevilla and Alaves?: In their last 6 meetings, Sevilla won 1, Alaves won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sevilla and Alaves?: Recent form — Sevilla 2W 1D 2L; Alaves 0W 2D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Nov 2026, 04:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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