SevillaAtletico Madrid

Sevilla v Atletico Madrid result

Full-time · Sevilla 2–1 Atletico Madrid

La Liga · · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sevilla · Atletico Madrid · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sevilla 2–1 Atletico Madrid — Sevilla won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Sevilla: 1.66 to 0.86 in expected goals, 0.74 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG, from 11 shots to 13 (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Sevilla beat Atletico Madrid 2–1 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in La Liga on Saturday 11 April. Atletico Madrid have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Sevilla led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Sevilla: Akor Adams (10’ pen) and Nemanja Gudelj (45’, assisted by R. Vargas); Atletico Madrid: Javier Boñar (35’, assisted by Julio Díaz).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nemanja Gudelj’s goal on 45 minutes.

Discipline

I. Diaz showed eight yellow cards — against 5.6 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sevilla: Manu Bueno (36’), Juanlu Sánchez (67’), Nemanja Gudelj (88’) and Peque Fernández (90+6’); Atletico Madrid: Antoine Griezmann (-5’), Julio Díaz (44’), Alex Baena (75’) and J. Morcillo (90+5’).

What it changes

Sevilla have scored 46 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Sevilla have conceded 60 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Atletico Madrid have scored 62 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Atletico Madrid have conceded 44 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

It is Sevilla’s first win over Atletico Madrid since 11 February 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, R. Vargas (Sevilla) 6.8, Javier Boñar (Atletico Madrid) 6.2 and Isaac (Sevilla) 6.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Sevilla.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Sevilla or Atletico Madrid (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).

Next up

Sevilla next host Real Betis on 21 November 2026.

Atletico Madrid next travel to Getafe on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sevilla: Sevilla v Real Betis, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Atletico Madrid: Getafe v Atletico Madrid, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sevilla 2–1 Atletico Madrid · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán · Sevilla
  • Referee: I. Diaz
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sevilla 1 · draws 0 · Atletico Madrid 5 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sevilla 0W 2D 3L · Atletico Madrid 2W 0D 3L

Sevilla 2–1 Atletico Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 2
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4
Corners
against 3.63 / 6 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 7 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.75
Cards
against 2.13 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.65 yellows
Referee · I. Diaz
22.24 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 17 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSevilla for / againstLineAtletico Madrid for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
9.5 for · 10 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 15.13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 7 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.63 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 3.13 against n 8

Referee: I. Diaz — 5.65 yellow cards a game, 0.41 red cards, 22.24 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Sevilla

Sevilla Goalkeeper

Sevilla — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Vlachodimos27902436 min813 /90441.6 /9010 /90
Ø. Nyland590450 min122.4 /9081.6 /9000 /90
Sevilla — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Vlachodimos n 890
2.15/4
Ø. Nyland n 890
2.55/5

Sevilla Defensive

Sevilla — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
José Ángel Carmona30732197 min602.5 /90371.5 /9080.3 /901556.3 /90441.8 /90110.5 /90
N. Gudelj28762136 min321.3 /90220.9 /90180.8 /90843.5 /90371.6 /9080.3 /90
G. Suazo22721581 min673.8 /90191.1 /9040.2 /90995.6 /90241.4 /9060.3 /90
Kike Salas18871567 min402.3 /90311.8 /90110.6 /901307.5 /90261.5 /9010.1 /90
Oso15701056 min211.8 /9090.8 /9030.3 /90595 /90110.9 /9000 /90
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Sevilla — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
José Ángel Carmona n 840.8
2.27/1
1.95/1
—
L. Agoumé n 881.8
1.86/4
0.84/1
—
N. Gudelj n 890
1.34/2
0.11/0
—
O. Vlachodimos n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Juanlu Sánchez n 865.8
0.94/1
1.25/2
—
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Sevilla — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
José Ángel Carmona n 840.8
1.43/1
L. Agoumé n 881.8
1.26/2
N. Gudelj n 890
16/2
Juanlu Sánchez n 865.8
2.96/5
D. Sow n 869.9
1.33/2
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Sevilla Attacking

Sevilla — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Adams25661660 min70.4 /9030.2 /90422.3 /90261.4 /9090.5 /90120.7 /90
Isaac22581267 min50.4 /9000 /90322.3 /90161.1 /90100.7 /9090.6 /90
A. Sánchez21551150 min30.2 /9010.1 /90161.3 /9070.5 /90231.8 /9050.4 /90
Peque Fernández1657919 min10.1 /9010.1 /9090.9 /9050.5 /90171.7 /90151.5 /90
C. Ejuke1642664 min00 /9000 /9081.1 /9010.1 /9081.1 /90354.7 /90
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Sevilla — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
José Ángel Carmona n 840.8
0.82/1
00/0
L. Agoumé n 881.8
0.11/0
00/0
N. Gudelj n 890
0.53/1
00/0
O. Vlachodimos n 890
00/0
00/0
Juanlu Sánchez n 865.8
0.32/0
00/0
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Sevilla — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
José Ángel Carmona n 840.8
00/0
00/0
L. Agoumé n 881.8
00/0
00/0
N. Gudelj n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Vlachodimos n 890
00/0
00/0
Juanlu Sánchez n 865.8
00/0
0.21/0
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Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid Goalkeeper

Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jan Oblak39903510 min972.5 /90481.2 /9000 /90
Juan Musso12911087 min584.8 /90141.2 /9010.1 /90
Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jan Oblak n 890
3.96/6
Juan Musso n 890.9
5.18/7

Atletico Madrid Defensive

Atletico Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dávid Hancko42853580 min701.8 /90421.1 /90210.5 /901533.8 /90190.5 /9020.1 /90
Marcos Llorente41813341 min762 /90250.7 /90100.3 /901273.4 /90391.1 /9080.2 /90
Matteo Ruggeri36762731 min752.5 /90441.5 /9060.2 /901133.7 /90401.3 /9070.2 /90
Robin Le Normand31742303 min431.7 /90190.7 /90130.5 /901325.2 /90261 /9050.2 /90
Nahuel Molina31631965 min512.3 /90200.9 /9040.2 /90813.7 /90150.7 /9040.2 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Giuliano Simeone n 867.8
0.53/0
1.76/3
—
Julián Alvarez n 864
1.64/3
0.73/1
—
Koke n 857.4
1.65/2
0.63/0
—
Alexander Sørloth n 841.9
2.46/2
0.82/1
—
Antoine Griezmann n 864.3
0.53/0
1.15/1
—
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Atletico Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Giuliano Simeone n 867.8
2.56/4
Julián Alvarez n 864
2.16/3
Koke n 857.4
2.55/4
Alexander Sørloth n 841.9
1.12/1
Antoine Griezmann n 864.3
1.25/1
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Atletico Madrid Attacking

Atletico Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Julián Alvarez47723366 min180.5 /90100.3 /90892.4 /90501.3 /90892.4 /90561.5 /90
Alexander Sørloth44562452 min170.6 /9010 /90823 /90491.8 /90200.7 /90190.7 /90
Antoine Griezmann44492169 min120.5 /9040.2 /90612.5 /90371.5 /90502.1 /90130.5 /90
Ademola Lookman1555821 min50.5 /9030.3 /90171.9 /9080.9 /90111.2 /90151.6 /90
G. Raspadori1235422 min20.4 /9010.2 /90102.1 /9061.3 /9051.1 /9020.4 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Giuliano Simeone n 867.8
1.25/1
0.74/0
Julián Alvarez n 864
37/5
1.97/3
Koke n 857.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
Alexander Sørloth n 841.9
2.75/1
1.13/1
Antoine Griezmann n 864.3
1.65/3
0.94/1
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Atletico Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 8 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Giuliano Simeone n 867.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Julián Alvarez n 864
0.94/1
0.53/0
Koke n 857.4
00/0
00/0
Alexander Sørloth n 841.9
0.52/0
00/0
Antoine Griezmann n 864.3
0.21/0
0.42/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SevillaAtletico Madrid
32%Possession68%
1.85Expected goals (xG)0.84
11Shots13
2Shots on target2
4Shots off target7
5Blocked shots4
9Shots inside the box9
6Corners6
2Offsides1
7Fouls12
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Saves0
253Passes558
72%Pass accuracy87%

Sevilla Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Vlachodimos9000000006.6
Andrés Castrín9000001007.2
N. Gudelj90102100Y7.7
Kike Salas9000000207
Oso9000000106.5
L. Agoumé9000001306.6
Juanlu Sánchez89000013Y7.6
A. Adams8910111007.9
R. Vargas7801002307.2
Isaac7000203207
Manu Bueno70001000Y6.5
D. Sow sub2000000006.7
Peque Fernández sub20000001Y6.9
A. Sánchez sub1200000106.3
B. Mendy sub10000010–
G. Suazo sub10000000–

Atletico Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Juan Musso9000000006.2
Javier Boñar9010110107.2
Marc Pubill9000200006.3
Dani Martínez9000000106.5
Obed Vargas9000100306.7
Alex Baena90001021Y6.5
Thiago Almada9000102106.9
Alexander Sørloth9000000006.5
Julio Díaz86010041Y6.7
Rodrigo Mendoza7100003006.3
Rayane Belid7100100006.3
Ademola Lookman sub1900100006.3
J. Morcillo sub19000000Y6.5
Alejandro Monserrate sub1100110006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sevilla v Atletico Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SevillaDDLLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Atletico MadridWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sevilla 1 · 0 draws · Atletico Madrid 5 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-11-01 Atletico Madrid 3–0 Sevilla
  • 2025-04-06 Sevilla 1–2 Atletico Madrid
  • 2024-12-08 Atletico Madrid 4–3 Sevilla
  • 2024-02-11 Sevilla 1–0 Atletico Madrid
  • 2024-01-25 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Sevilla
  • 2023-12-23 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Sevilla
League standing · 2025/26
Sevilla#13 pos43 pts38 pl-14 GD
Atletico Madrid#4 pos69 pts38 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Sevilla scored1.21
Atletico Madrid scored1.63
Sevilla conceded1.58
Atletico Madrid conceded1.16

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Sevilla 1.66 xG from 11 shots, Atletico Madrid 0.86 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Isaac Romero 18' · 0.15 xGIsaac Romero 57' · 0.11 xGRayane Belaid 17' · 0.09 xGJuanlu Sanchez 24' · 0.09 xGAdemola Lookman 83' · 0.08 xGAlexis Sánchez 92' · 0.07 xGRuben Vargas 2' · 0.07 xGAlexander Sørloth 41' · 0.06 xGÁlex Baena 21' · 0.06 xGIsaac Romero 1' · 0.05 xGRayane Belaid 33' · 0.04 xGRuben Vargas 59' · 0.04 xGJano Monserrate 90' · 0.03 xGMarc Pubill 46' · 0.03 xGRodrigo Mendoza 48' · 0.02 xGNemanja Gudelj 26' · 0.02 xGObed Vargas 63' · 0.02 xGManu Bueno 44' · 0.02 xGThiago Almada 16' · 0.01 xGThiago Almada 37' · 0.01 xGMarc Pubill 77' · 0.01 xGAkor Adams 9' · 0.74 xG · goalJavier Boñar 34' · 0.39 xG · goalNemanja Gudelj 46' · 0.31 xG · goal
Sevilla (attacking right)Atletico Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Sevilla1121.66
Atletico Madrid1310.86

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Sevilla led on xG, 1.13 to 0.66, 0.74 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. At full time, Sevilla led on xG, 1.66 to 0.86, 0.74 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. The widest gap was 0.95 xG to Sevilla, in the 26th minute (level on open-play xG).

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.70.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Sevilla 9 minGoal - Atletico Madrid 34 minGoal - Sevilla 46 min
Sevilla 1.66 xGAtletico Madrid 0.86 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sevilla v Atletico Madrid?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sevilla v Atletico Madrid was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid?
In their last 6 meetings, Sevilla won 1, Atletico Madrid won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sevilla and Atletico Madrid?
Recent form — Sevilla 0W 2D 3L; Atletico Madrid 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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