Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano result
Team pages: Sevilla · Rayo Vallecano · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.
What xG said
xG said Rayo Vallecano: 1.93 to 2.02 in expected goals, 1.49 of Sevilla’s from penalties, from 6 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the third minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.
The result
Sevilla beat Rayo Vallecano 2–1 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in La Liga on Saturday 15 August. Sevilla are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Rayo Vallecano, every meeting checked.
The goals
Sevilla came from behind: Rayo Vallecano led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Rayo Vallecano: Álvaro García (4’); Sevilla: Jon Guridi (52’ pen) and Peque Fernández (90’ pen). Kike Salas (88’) was sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Peque Fernández’s goal on 90 minutes.
Discipline
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain showed eight yellow cards and one red — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sevilla: Isaac (45+3’), Jon Guridi (60’), G. Suazo (81’) and Lucien Agoumé (90+12’); Rayo Vallecano: Álvaro García (67’), Unai López (75’), Fran Pérez (76’) and Pathé Ciss (90+12’).
What it changes
Sevilla are second after this result (one league match played).
Rayo Vallecano are 19th after this result (one league match played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Peque Fernández (Sevilla) 6.3, M. Sierra (Sevilla) 4.9 and Jon Guridi (Sevilla) 4.4 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, the draw or Rayo Vallecano, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.6% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1442).
Next up
Sevilla next host Real Betis on 22 November 2026.
Rayo Vallecano next travel to Real Sociedad on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Sevilla: Sevilla v Real Betis, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Rayo Vallecano: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga
- Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán · Sevilla
- Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Sevilla 3 · draws 3 · Rayo Vallecano 0 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Sevilla 3W 0D 2L · Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L
Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Sevilla for / against | Line | Rayo Vallecano for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.25our book | 1.25 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.25 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.63 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.75 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.63 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14.5 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 15.88 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.88 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.13 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain — 4.2 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 22.2 fouls over 10 matches.
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Match Statistics & Details
| Sevilla | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| 49% | Possession | 51% |
| 2.19 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.89 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 9 | Shots inside the box | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 319 | Passes | 335 |
| 72% | Pass accuracy | 73% |
Sevilla Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Vlachodimos | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Juan Iglesias | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Sangante | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| G. Suazo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| L. Agoumé | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 6.9 |
| Kike Salas | 88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | R | 6.9 |
| Jon Guridi | 82 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.6 |
| Oso | 78 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Sierra | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| N. Guillen | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Isaac | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| Peque Fernández sub | 45 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Robbie Ure sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Vargas sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Ejuke sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Manu Bueno sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Rayo Vallecano Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Batalla | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Rațiu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| F. Lejeune | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.3 |
| P. Ciss | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| I. Balliu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Jorge de Frutos | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Unai López | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 7 |
| Óscar Valentín | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Álvaro García | 70 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| R. Nteka | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Isi Palazón | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Sergio Camello sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Alemão sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Fran Pérez sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.5 |
| Pelayo Fernández sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Pedro Díaz sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-08 Sevilla 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
- 2025-09-28 Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Sevilla
- 2025-03-01 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Sevilla
- 2024-11-24 Sevilla 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
- 2024-02-05 Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Sevilla
- 2023-10-07 Sevilla 2–2 Rayo Vallecano
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Sevilla 2.02 xG from 13 shots, Rayo Vallecano 1.93 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 13 | 2 | 2.02 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 1 | 1.93 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, Rayo Vallecano led on xG, 1.34 to 0.07. At full time, xG was level: Sevilla 2.02, Rayo Vallecano 1.93, including 1.49 from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.34 xG to Rayo Vallecano, in the sixth minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano was Draw or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano?
- In their last 6 meetings, Sevilla won 3, Rayo Vallecano won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano?
- Recent form — Sevilla 3W 0D 2L; Rayo Vallecano 2W 2D 1L.
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