SevillaReal Sociedad

Sevilla v Real Sociedad result

Full-time · Sevilla 1–0 Real Sociedad

La Liga · · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sevilla · Real Sociedad · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sevilla 1–0 Real Sociedad — Sevilla won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1470 landed (95% range 66.2–70.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 879 of 1,350 times (65.1%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Sevilla: 1.34 to 0.17 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the 12th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Sevilla beat Real Sociedad 1–0 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in La Liga on Monday 4 May. Real Sociedad are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Sevilla: A. Sánchez (50’, assisted by Neal Maupay).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Sánchez’s goal on 50 minutes.

Discipline

J. Martinez showed three yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sevilla: A. Sánchez (75’) and José Ángel Carmona (88’); Real Sociedad: J. Aramburu (28’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, G. Suazo (Sevilla) 8.4, Kike Salas (Sevilla) 6.6 and Chidera Ejuke (Sevilla) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Real Sociedad, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1008 of 1470).

Next up

Sevilla next host Real Betis on 21 November 2026.

Real Sociedad next travel to Racing Santander on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sevilla: Sevilla v Real Betis, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Real Sociedad: Racing Santander v Real Sociedad, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sevilla 1–0 Real Sociedad · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán · Sevilla
  • Referee: J. Martinez
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sevilla 2 · draws 0 · Real Sociedad 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sevilla 1W 0D 4L · Real Sociedad 1W 3D 1L

Sevilla 1–0 Real Sociedad (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 2
Goals
against 2 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.57
Corners
against 3.75 / 5.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.25 / 4.86
Shots on target
against 4 / 5.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.63 / 2.71
Cards
against 2.63 / 2.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.2 yellows
Referee · J. Martinez
28.7 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSevilla for / againstLineReal Sociedad for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 2 against n 8
2.5our book
2 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.57 for · 5.14 against n 7
Shots
10.13 for · 10.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12.57 for · 15.29 against n 7
Shots on target
2.25 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
4.86 for · 5.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 13.71 against n 7
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.71 for · 2.86 against n 7

Referee: J. Martinez — 4.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 28.7 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Sevilla

Sevilla Goalkeeper

Sevilla — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Vlachodimos30902706 min882.9 /90491.6 /9010 /90
Ø. Nyland590450 min122.4 /9081.6 /9000 /90
Sevilla — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Vlachodimos n 890
24/3

Sevilla Defensive

Sevilla — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
José Ángel Carmona32722312 min622.4 /90381.5 /9080.3 /901626.3 /90471.8 /90110.4 /90
N. Gudelj30772297 min341.3 /90230.9 /90180.7 /90883.4 /90381.5 /9090.4 /90
G. Suazo23731671 min693.7 /90201.1 /9040.2 /901045.6 /90261.4 /9070.4 /90
Kike Salas21871837 min442.2 /90331.6 /90130.6 /901487.3 /90281.4 /9010 /90
Oso18741323 min271.8 /90100.7 /9040.3 /90735 /90130.9 /9000 /90
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Sevilla — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
José Ángel Carmona n 845.1
2.27/2
2.57/2
Sergio Gómez
L. Agoumé n 882.9
1.66/4
0.43/0
—
O. Vlachodimos n 890
00/0
00/0
—
N. Gudelj n 887.6
0.83/1
0.11/0
—
D. Sow n 862.3
1.84/4
1.46/1
—
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Sevilla — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
José Ángel Carmona n 845.1
1.74/2
L. Agoumé n 882.9
2.47/5
N. Gudelj n 887.6
0.95/2
D. Sow n 862.3
1.64/2
Juanlu Sánchez n 871.9
2.76/6
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Sevilla Attacking

Sevilla — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Adams27681839 min80.4 /9030.1 /90442.2 /90271.3 /90100.5 /90120.6 /90
Isaac25601496 min50.3 /9000 /90352.1 /90161 /90130.8 /90100.6 /90
A. Sánchez22531168 min30.2 /9010.1 /90161.2 /9070.5 /90231.8 /9050.4 /90
Peque Fernández1853958 min10.1 /9010.1 /9090.8 /9050.5 /90171.6 /90171.6 /90
C. Ejuke1642664 min00 /9000 /9081.1 /9010.1 /9081.1 /90354.7 /90
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Sevilla — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
José Ángel Carmona n 845.1
0.21/0
00/0
L. Agoumé n 882.9
0.11/0
00/0
O. Vlachodimos n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Gudelj n 887.6
0.84/2
0.11/0
D. Sow n 862.3
0.53/0
0.42/0
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Sevilla — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sevilla before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
José Ángel Carmona n 845.1
00/0
00/0
L. Agoumé n 882.9
00/0
00/0
O. Vlachodimos n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Gudelj n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
D. Sow n 862.3
0.21/0
0.42/0
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Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad Goalkeeper

Real Sociedad — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Álex Remiro35903150 min892.5 /90541.5 /9010 /90
Real Sociedad — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Álex Remiro n 890
3.25/5

Real Sociedad Defensive

Real Sociedad — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Aramburu35812839 min1083.4 /90451.4 /90100.3 /902207 /90652.1 /9090.3 /90
Sergio Gómez33792610 min893.1 /90361.2 /9070.2 /901334.6 /90451.6 /9030.1 /90
Jon Martín25902250 min301.2 /90401.6 /90281.1 /901345.4 /90220.9 /9050.2 /90
D. Ćaleta-Car25822054 min210.9 /90281.2 /90170.7 /901175.1 /90281.2 /9060.3 /90
Zubeldia24872079 min361.6 /90231 /90130.6 /90913.9 /90381.6 /9080.3 /90
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Real Sociedad — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Álex Remiro n 890
00/0
00/0
—
J. Aramburu n 881.6
1.76/4
1.77/4
—
Sergio Gómez n 889.9
1.16/3
0.32/0
José Ángel Carmona
Mikel Oyarzabal n 874.1
0.95/1
1.15/2
—
Gonçalo Guedes n 873.4
0.63/1
2.15/4
—
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Real Sociedad — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Aramburu n 881.6
2.38/6
Sergio Gómez n 889.9
1.85/5
Mikel Oyarzabal n 874.1
0.32/0
Gonçalo Guedes n 873.4
1.15/2
Carlos Soler n 886.9
0.94/2
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Real Sociedad Attacking

Real Sociedad — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mikel Oyarzabal32832667 min160.5 /9030.1 /90622.1 /90371.2 /90441.5 /90381.3 /90
O. Óskarsson1440556 min61 /9000 /90132.1 /90101.6 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90
U. Sadiq346138 min00 /9000 /9021.3 /9000 /9010.7 /9000 /90
Jon Karrikaburu334103 min00 /9000 /9021.7 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9000 /90
J. Ochieng12525 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9027.2 /9000 /90
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Real Sociedad — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Álex Remiro n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Aramburu n 881.6
0.63/1
00/0
Sergio Gómez n 889.9
0.32/0
00/0
Mikel Oyarzabal n 874.1
1.76/3
1.26/1
Gonçalo Guedes n 873.4
1.87/3
0.84/1
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Real Sociedad — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Sociedad before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Álex Remiro n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Aramburu n 881.6
00/0
00/0
Sergio Gómez n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
Mikel Oyarzabal n 874.1
0.84/1
00/0
Gonçalo Guedes n 873.4
0.31/1
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SevillaReal Sociedad
42%Possession58%
1.82Expected goals (xG)0.16
19Shots6
5Shots on target0
8Shots off target1
6Blocked shots5
9Shots inside the box2
3Corners3
3Offsides0
19Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves4
344Passes479
80%Pass accuracy85%

Sevilla Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Vlachodimos9000000006.7
José Ángel Carmona90000002Y7.5
Andrés Castrín9000100006.7
Kike Salas9000000508
G. Suazo9000101908.3
L. Agoumé9000103407
C. Ejuke8900211207.2
N. Maupay8901215006.3
N. Gudelj8200110106.6
R. Vargas7500213006.9
Isaac4500100106.2
A. Sánchez sub45102110Y7
Juanlu Sánchez sub1500000307
B. Mendy sub800000006.7
Peque Fernández sub10000000–
Oso sub10000000–

Real Sociedad Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Álex Remiro9000000007.2
Jon Martín9000000207.5
D. Ćaleta-Car9000000207.3
Sergio Gómez9000001006.7
Mikel Oyarzabal9000001206.3
Carlos Soler9000000106.9
J. Aramburu82000000Y6.5
Barrenetxea8200100005.3
Beñat Turrientes6900000006.5
Pablo Marín5800000106.3
Jon Gorrotxategi4500000206.7
O. Óskarsson sub4500002006.3
T. Kubo sub3200000206.6
Y. Herrera sub2100000107
Wesley Gassova sub800000006.2
L. Sučić sub800002006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sevilla v Real Sociedad — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SevillaLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Real SociedadWDDLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sevilla 2 · 0 draws · Real Sociedad 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-10-24 Real Sociedad 2–1 Sevilla
  • 2025-03-09 Real Sociedad 0–1 Sevilla
  • 2024-11-03 Sevilla 0–2 Real Sociedad
  • 2024-03-02 Sevilla 3–2 Real Sociedad
  • 2023-11-26 Real Sociedad 2–1 Sevilla
  • 2023-06-04 Real Sociedad 2–1 Sevilla
League standing · 2025/26
Sevilla#13 pos43 pts38 pl-14 GD
Real Sociedad#10 pos46 pts38 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Sevilla scored1.21
Real Sociedad scored1.55
Sevilla conceded1.58
Real Sociedad conceded1.61

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Sevilla 1.34 xG from 19 shots, Real Sociedad 0.17 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Chidera Ejuke 43' · 0.31 xGAlexis Sánchez 84' · 0.15 xGNeal Maupay 42' · 0.14 xGRuben Vargas 68' · 0.13 xGChidera Ejuke 76' · 0.07 xGAndrés Castrín 17' · 0.07 xGChidera Ejuke 15' · 0.07 xGJon Gorrotxategi 39' · 0.06 xGJosé Ángel Carmona 42' · 0.05 xGGabriel Suazo 12' · 0.05 xGOrri Óskarsson 87' · 0.04 xGLucien Agoume 42' · 0.04 xGNeal Maupay 20' · 0.03 xGNemanja Gudelj 22' · 0.03 xGLucien Agoume 15' · 0.03 xGIsaac Romero 30' · 0.02 xGCarlos Soler 92' · 0.02 xGNeal Maupay 35' · 0.02 xGIsaac Romero 21' · 0.02 xGAnder Barrenetxea 45' · 0.02 xGCarlos Soler 51' · 0.02 xGTakefusa Kubo 92' · 0.02 xGRuben Vargas 29' · 0.01 xGLucien Agoume 18' · 0.01 xGAlexis Sánchez 49' · 0.10 xG · goal
Sevilla (attacking right)Real Sociedad (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Sevilla1911.34
Real Sociedad600.17

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Sevilla led on xG, 0.89 to 0.08. At full time, Sevilla led on xG, 1.34 to 0.17. The widest gap was 1.25 xG to Sevilla, in the 84th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.30.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Sevilla 49 min
Sevilla 1.34 xGReal Sociedad 0.17 xGdots = goals · 25 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sevilla v Real Sociedad?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sevilla v Real Sociedad was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Sevilla and Real Sociedad?
In their last 6 meetings, Sevilla won 2, Real Sociedad won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sevilla and Real Sociedad?
Recent form — Sevilla 1W 0D 4L; Real Sociedad 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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