VillarrealAtletico Madrid

Villarreal v Atletico Madrid result

Full-time · Villarreal 5–1 Atletico Madrid

La Liga · · Estadio de la Ceramica

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Villarreal · Atletico Madrid · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Villarreal 5–1 Atletico Madrid — Villarreal won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.8% of 1473 landed (95% range 66.4–71.1%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 879 of 1,349 times (65.2%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Villarreal: 2.80 to 1.58 in expected goals, 0.74 of it from a penalty, from 14 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Villarreal have scored 16 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 7 games).

Villarreal beat Atletico Madrid 5–1 at Estadio de la Ceramica in La Liga on Sunday 24 May.

The goals

Villarreal led 4–1 at half-time. The goals — Villarreal: Dani Parejo (30’ pen), Ayoze Pérez (34’; 54’, assisted by Nicolas Pépé), Georges Mikautadze (40’, assisted by Ayoze Pérez) and Pape Gueye (45’, assisted by Nicolas Pépé); Atletico Madrid: Marc Pubill (43’, assisted by Antoine Griezmann).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dani Parejo’s goal on 30 minutes.

Discipline

M. Sesma showed one yellow card — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Atletico Madrid: Giuliano Simeone (27’).

What it changes

Villarreal stay third after this result (38 league matches played). Villarreal have conceded 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 7 games).

Atletico Madrid stay fourth after this result (38 league matches played). Atletico Madrid have scored 11 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 7 games). Atletico Madrid have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Villarreal’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 38, across 10 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal) 12.0, Nicolas Pépé (Villarreal) 8.7 and Dani Parejo (Villarreal) 7.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Villarreal, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Atletico Madrid, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.8% of the time in the last 90 days (1013 of 1473).

Next up

Villarreal next travel to Barcelona on 22 November 2026.

Atletico Madrid next travel to Getafe on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Villarreal: Barcelona v Villarreal, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Atletico Madrid: Getafe v Atletico Madrid, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Villarreal 5–1 Atletico Madrid · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica · Villarreal
  • Referee: M. Sesma
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Villarreal 0 · draws 3 · Atletico Madrid 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Villarreal 2W 1D 2L · Atletico Madrid 3W 0D 2L

Villarreal 5–1 Atletico Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5 / 5.5
Corners
against 5.88 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.45 yellows
Referee · M. Sesma
27.55 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVillarreal for / againstLineAtletico Madrid for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.25our book
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
10.63 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 14.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: M. Sesma — 4.45 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 27.55 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Villarreal

Villarreal Goalkeeper

Villarreal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Luíz Júnior33902970 min842.5 /90411.2 /9020.1 /90
Arnau Tenas13901170 min393 /90241.8 /9000 /90
Villarreal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luíz Júnior n 890
3.27/5
Arnau Tenas n 890
3.58/5

Villarreal Defensive

Villarreal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Renato Veiga39823216 min270.8 /90330.9 /90381.1 /90932.6 /90330.9 /9070.2 /90
S. Mouriño33862827 min1324.2 /90341.1 /90100.3 /902357.5 /90642 /90140.4 /90
Sergi Cardona33752464 min582.1 /90411.5 /90100.4 /901134.1 /90341.2 /9040.1 /90
Pedraza30641906 min452.1 /90311.5 /9060.3 /90964.5 /90291.4 /9090.4 /90
Rafa Marín29852455 min451.6 /90301.1 /90200.7 /901073.9 /90230.8 /9040.1 /90
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Villarreal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Santi Comesaña n 876
1.87/4
1.36/1
—
N. Pépé n 865.8
1.24/2
1.95/4
Koke
Alberto Moleiro n 869.6
0.85/0
0.82/2
Koke
G. Mikautadze n 861.8
0.52/1
1.65/3
Antoine Griezmann
Renato Veiga n 890
1.15/3
0.32/0
—
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Villarreal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Santi Comesaña n 876
16/1
N. Pépé n 865.8
0.93/1
Alberto Moleiro n 869.6
1.56/2
G. Mikautadze n 861.8
0.53/0
Renato Veiga n 890
0.65/0
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Villarreal Attacking

Villarreal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Pépé44683007 min80.2 /9070.2 /90561.7 /90300.9 /90762.3 /90742.2 /90
G. Mikautadze40642552 min140.5 /9060.2 /90612.2 /90341.2 /90291 /90391.4 /90
Ayoze Pérez29501437 min40.3 /9040.3 /90261.6 /90130.8 /90211.3 /90191.2 /90
T. Oluwaseyi26521350 min70.5 /9020.1 /90271.8 /90161.1 /9090.6 /90100.7 /90
Gerard Moreno24581395 min100.6 /9000 /90291.9 /90161 /90241.5 /90191.2 /90
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Villarreal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Santi Comesaña n 876
0.11/0
00/0
N. Pépé n 865.8
1.55/3
1.25/2
Alberto Moleiro n 869.6
0.53/0
0.53/0
G. Mikautadze n 861.8
2.75/3
1.34/2
Renato Veiga n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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Villarreal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Villarreal before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Santi Comesaña n 876
00/0
0.32/0
N. Pépé n 865.8
0.74/0
0.31/1
Alberto Moleiro n 869.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
G. Mikautadze n 861.8
0.73/1
0.42/0
Renato Veiga n 890
00/0
00/0
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Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid Goalkeeper

Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jan Oblak45904050 min1162.6 /90561.2 /9000 /90
Juan Musso16901447 min694.3 /90191.2 /9010.1 /90
Atletico Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jan Oblak n 890
2.94/3
Juan Musso n 890
4.66/6

Atletico Madrid Defensive

Atletico Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dávid Hancko47864030 min741.7 /90471 /90240.5 /901643.7 /90200.4 /9030.1 /90
Marcos Llorente47823843 min1012.4 /90310.7 /90130.3 /901573.7 /90441 /90100.2 /90
Matteo Ruggeri43783361 min912.4 /90511.4 /9070.2 /901423.8 /90471.3 /9070.2 /90
Robin Le Normand40712859 min571.8 /90331 /90160.5 /901625.1 /90371.2 /9070.2 /90
Nahuel Molina37622280 min592.3 /90220.9 /9050.2 /90963.8 /90180.7 /9040.2 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Koke n 878.5
0.94/1
1.76/3
Alberto Moleiro
Giuliano Simeone n 856.8
0.62/1
0.83/1
—
Antoine Griezmann n 863.1
0.53/0
1.15/1
G. Mikautadze
Julián Alvarez n 874.3
1.86/4
0.63/1
—
Alexander Sørloth n 854.5
1.45/2
15/0
—
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Atletico Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Koke n 878.5
2.38/4
Giuliano Simeone n 856.8
3.48/6
Antoine Griezmann n 863.1
1.45/1
Julián Alvarez n 874.3
2.16/5
Alexander Sørloth n 854.5
0.42/0
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Atletico Madrid Attacking

Atletico Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Antoine Griezmann53522750 min130.4 /9060.2 /90722.4 /90431.4 /90622 /90150.5 /90
Julián Alvarez50723599 min190.5 /90100.3 /90952.4 /90531.3 /90922.3 /90591.5 /90
Alexander Sørloth50572829 min200.6 /9010 /90922.9 /90551.7 /90210.7 /90200.6 /90
Ademola Lookman22571258 min80.6 /9030.2 /90302.1 /90130.9 /90201.4 /90211.5 /90
G. Raspadori1235422 min20.4 /9010.2 /90102.1 /9061.3 /9051.1 /9020.4 /90
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Atletico Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Koke n 878.5
0.31/1
00/0
Giuliano Simeone n 856.8
0.63/0
0.21/0
Antoine Griezmann n 863.1
26/2
1.15/1
Julián Alvarez n 874.3
38/5
1.87/4
Alexander Sørloth n 854.5
2.34/3
1.44/2
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Atletico Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Madrid before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Koke n 878.5
00/0
00/0
Giuliano Simeone n 856.8
0.21/0
00/0
Antoine Griezmann n 863.1
0.21/0
0.42/0
Julián Alvarez n 874.3
0.84/1
0.53/0
Alexander Sørloth n 854.5
0.83/1
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VillarrealAtletico Madrid
48%Possession52%
2.48Expected goals (xG)1.16
14Shots9
8Shots on target4
1Shots off target5
5Blocked shots0
10Shots inside the box7
5Corners9
0Offsides1
3Fouls12
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves3
502Passes529
86%Pass accuracy88%

Villarreal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Arnau Tenas9000000006.3
S. Mouriño9000001207.7
Pau Navarro9000000206.6
Rafa Marín9000002307.3
N. Pépé9002212008.2
Alberto Moleiro9000001006.5
G. Mikautadze8910332008.2
P. Gueye7510110208
Ayoze Pérez7521221009.5
Pedraza6700001106.6
Dani Parejo6610111307.7
A. Diatta sub2400000107.2
Sergi Cardona sub2300000006.9
Logan Costa sub1500000106.9
Pau Cabanes sub1500000006.5
C. Macia sub10000000–

Atletico Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Juan Musso9000000005.7
Marcos Llorente9000000105.3
Clément Lenglet9000000506
Koke9000003006.9
Obed Vargas9000100306.9
Antoine Griezmann9001212006.5
Alex Baena6100200005.9
Ademola Lookman6100000206.2
Marc Pubill4510110106.7
Dávid Hancko4500000005.6
Giuliano Simeone45002101Y6.2
Matteo Ruggeri sub4500000006.3
A. Puric sub4500000106.2
Alexander Sørloth sub4500110006.2
Javier Boñar sub2900001006.6
J. Morcillo sub2900000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Villarreal v Atletico Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VillarrealWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Atletico MadridWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Villarreal 0 · 3 draws · Atletico Madrid 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-09-13 Atletico Madrid 2–0 Villarreal
  • 2025-01-25 Atletico Madrid 1–1 Villarreal
  • 2024-08-19 Villarreal 2–2 Atletico Madrid
  • 2024-04-01 Villarreal 1–2 Atletico Madrid
  • 2023-11-12 Atletico Madrid 3–1 Villarreal
  • 2023-06-04 Villarreal 2–2 Atletico Madrid
League standing · 2025/26
Villarreal#3 pos72 pts38 pl+26 GD
Atletico Madrid#4 pos69 pts38 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Villarreal scored1.89
Atletico Madrid scored1.63
Villarreal conceded1.21
Atletico Madrid conceded1.16

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Villarreal 2.80 xG from 14 shots, Atletico Madrid 1.58 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Alexander Sørloth 78' · 0.29 xGGiuliano Simeone 41' · 0.28 xGGeorges Mikautadze 79' · 0.27 xGAntoine Griezmann 37' · 0.21 xGGiuliano Simeone 46' · 0.12 xGAyoze Pérez 58' · 0.11 xGAntoine Griezmann 76' · 0.10 xGAyoze Pérez 7' · 0.10 xGNicolas Pepe 1' · 0.06 xGGeorges Mikautadze 10' · 0.06 xGObed Vargas 49' · 0.05 xGÁlex Baena 46' · 0.04 xGNicolas Pepe 6' · 0.04 xGNicolas Pepe 2' · 0.03 xGNicolas Pepe 38' · 0.03 xGÁlex Baena 25' · 0.02 xGPape Alassane Gueye 17' · 0.02 xGDaniel Parejo 29' · 0.74 xG · goalGeorges Mikautadze 39' · 0.54 xG · goalAyoze Pérez 33' · 0.49 xG · goalMarc Pubill 42' · 0.47 xG · goalAyoze Pérez 53' · 0.26 xG · goalPape Alassane Gueye 44' · 0.05 xG · goal
Villarreal (attacking right)Atletico Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Villarreal1452.80
Atletico Madrid911.58

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Villarreal led on xG, 2.16 to 0.98, 0.74 of it from a penalty. At full time, Villarreal led on xG, 2.80 to 1.58, 0.74 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.89 xG to Villarreal, in the 39th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.81.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Villarreal 29 minGoal - Villarreal 33 minGoal - Villarreal 39 minGoal - Atletico Madrid 42 minGoal - Villarreal 44 minGoal - Villarreal 53 min
Villarreal 2.80 xGAtletico Madrid 1.58 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Villarreal v Atletico Madrid?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Villarreal v Atletico Madrid was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid?
In their last 6 meetings, Villarreal won 0, Atletico Madrid won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Villarreal and Atletico Madrid?
Recent form — Villarreal 2W 1D 2L; Atletico Madrid 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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