Villarreal v Elche prediction
Team pages: Villarreal · Elche · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Villarreal vs Elche, La Liga on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 15:15 BST.
The match
Villarreal host Elche in La Liga on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 15:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Both teams scored in 12 of Villarreal’s last 15 results (80%).
Both teams scored in 12 of Elche’s last 15 results (80%).
Form and the table
11 of Villarreal’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). At home, Villarreal have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.71 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 1.71. Villarreal have scored 13 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Villarreal have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Nine of Elche’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Away from home, Elche have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.63. Elche have scored 11 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Elche have conceded 17 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.
Villarreal (11th) and Elche (18th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Villarreal the stronger side, 85 rating points above Elche (Villarreal 1591, Elche 1506, after at least 160 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Villarreal 2–1 Elche.
Team news
Predicted Villarreal XI (4-4-2): P. Gulácsi, R. Veiga, C. Romero, A. Freeman, P. Navarro, P. Gueye, S. Comesaña, N. Pépé, A. Moleiro, G. Mikautadze, A. Pérez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Georges Mikautadze (3.8 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Pape Gueye (3.8 per match over 10 appearances, three goals) have been Villarreal’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Villarreal (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Georges Mikautadze averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 825 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Pape Gueye averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 1142 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Elche XI (5-4-1): M. Dituro, V. Chust, B. Sangaré, R. Revivo, G. Valera, F. Redondo, G. Villar, M. Aguado, T. Morente, J. Morcillo, F. Niño — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Fer Niño (4.4 per match over eight appearances, five goals) and Gonzalo Villar (3.3 per match over eight appearances, one assist) have been Elche’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Elche (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Fer Niño averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 541 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances. Gonzalo Villar averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 644 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · La Liga · Estadio de la Ceramica
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Villarreal 4 · draws 0 · Elche 2 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Villarreal 3W 0D 2L · Elche 1W 2D 2L
As of 14 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Villarreal v Elche across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Villarreal for / against | Line | Elche for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.13 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.5 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.75 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.63 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.88 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.25 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Villarreal
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santi Comesaña n 8 | 66.3 | 2.4 | 1 | — |
| N. Saliba n 8 | 65.1 | 2.4 | 1.7 | — |
| T. Oluwaseyi n 8 | 30.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | — |
| T. Buchanan n 8 | 56.9 | 2 | 3.2 | — |
| A. Diatta n 3 | 34.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Mikautadze n 8 | 45.8 | 3 | 2 |
| Alberto Moleiro n 8 | 59.9 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| T. Buchanan n 8 | 56.9 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Ayoze Pérez n 8 | 49 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| N. Pépé n 8 | 67.6 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayoze Pérez n 8 | 49 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Alberto Moleiro n 8 | 59.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Gerard Moreno n 8 | 45.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Ilias Akhomach n 8 | 33.4 | 0 | 0.7 |
| N. Pépé n 8 | 67.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Macia n 8 | 12.8 | 7.9 |
| A. Diatta n 3 | 34.7 | 3.5 |
| A. Freeman n 8 | 72.8 | 2.6 |
| Carlos Romero n 8 | 75.1 | 2.5 |
| S. Mouriño n 8 | 65.3 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Gulácsi n 8 | 82.4 | 2.6 |
| Luíz Júnior n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
Elche
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umaru Konare Tounkara n 3 | 18 | 3.3 | 0 | — |
| Tete Morente n 8 | 57.1 | 3.2 | 1.6 | — |
| F. Buonanotte n 8 | 37.3 | 2.4 | 0.6 | — |
| Gonzalo Villar n 8 | 80.5 | 2 | 2.8 | — |
| Matia Barzic Gutiérrez n 8 | 66.4 | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Umaru Konare Tounkara n 3 | 18 | 3.3 | 0 |
| A. Osorio n 8 | 46.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| F. Buonanotte n 8 | 37.3 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| L. Cepeda n 8 | 28.3 | 2 | 1.6 |
| Fer Niño n 8 | 67.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josan n 8 | 16.8 | 0 | 1.3 |
| Fer Niño n 8 | 67.6 | 0.8 | 0 |
| L. Cepeda n 8 | 28.3 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Tete Morente n 8 | 57.1 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Roy Revivo n 8 | 77.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Redondo n 8 | 51.9 | 3.9 |
| T. Lemar n 8 | 44.8 | 3.8 |
| Josan n 8 | 16.8 | 3.4 |
| J. Morcillo n 8 | 56.9 | 2.2 |
| Gonzalo Villar n 8 | 80.5 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Dituro n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Villarreal v Elche — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-08 Villarreal 2–1 Elche
- 2026-01-03 Elche 1–3 Villarreal
- 2023-02-04 Elche 3–1 Villarreal
- 2022-09-04 Villarreal 4–0 Elche
- 2022-01-16 Elche 1–0 Villarreal
- 2021-09-22 Villarreal 4–1 Elche
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Villarreal vs Elche?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Villarreal v Elche is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between Villarreal and Elche?
- In their last 6 meetings, Villarreal won 4, Elche won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Villarreal and Elche?
- Recent form — Villarreal 3W 0D 2L; Elche 1W 2D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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