Dumbarton v ST Mirren result
Team pages: Dumbarton · ST Mirren · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Dumbarton 0–4 ST Mirren — ST Mirren won this League Cup – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.
The result
ST Mirren won 4–0 at Dumbarton Football Stadium in League Cup – Scotland on Saturday 11 July. ST Mirren have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
ST Mirren led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — ST Mirren: S. Ramos (7’, assisted by Marcus Fraser; 73’), Christopher Mochrie (39’) and T. Falconer (77’, assisted by S. Ramos).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Ramos’s goal on 7 minutes.
What it changes
Dumbarton have lost their last four matches in all competitions. ST Mirren are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Dumbarton have failed to score in their last four matches in all competitions.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, the draw or ST Mirren, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).
Next up
Dumbarton next host Keith on 24 October 2026.
ST Mirren next host Dundee on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Dumbarton: Dumbarton v Keith, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for ST Mirren: ST Mirren v Dundee, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Dumbarton 0–4 ST Mirren · League Cup – Scotland
- Venue: Dumbarton Football Stadium · Dumbarton
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 5): Dumbarton 1 · draws 0 · ST Mirren 4 · 2.6 goals/game
- Recent form: Dumbarton 1W 1D 3L · ST Mirren 2W 2D 1L
Dumbarton 0–4 ST Mirren (League Cup – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Dumbarton v ST Mirren — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2021-07-10 Dumbarton 0–3 ST Mirren
- 2018-03-27 St Mirren 5–0 Dumbarton
- 2018-01-13 Dumbarton 0–2 St Mirren
- 2017-12-02 St Mirren 0–1 Dumbarton
- 2017-10-14 Dumbarton 0–2 St Mirren
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Dumbarton v ST Mirren?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Dumbarton v ST Mirren was Draw or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Dumbarton and ST Mirren?
- In their last 5 meetings, Dumbarton won 1, ST Mirren won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.6 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Dumbarton and ST Mirren?
- Recent form — Dumbarton 1W 1D 3L; ST Mirren 2W 2D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.