ST Mirren v Dunfermline result
Team pages: ST Mirren · Dunfermline · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
ST Mirren 0–1 Dunfermline — Dunfermline won this League Cup – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
The result
Dunfermline won 1–0 at The SMISA Stadium in League Cup – Scotland on Sunday 26 July.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Dunfermline: C. Kane (88’ pen).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. Kane’s goal on 88 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: ST Mirren 0.00, Dunfermline 0.00, from 0 shots to 0 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
What it changes
Dunfermline have won their last three matches in all competitions.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.7% of the time in the last 90 days (421 of 641).
Next up
ST Mirren next host Dundee on 24 October 2026.
Dunfermline next host Partick on 20 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for ST Mirren: ST Mirren v Dundee, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Dunfermline: Dunfermline v Partick, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: ST Mirren 0–1 Dunfermline · League Cup – Scotland
- Venue: The SMISA Stadium · Paisley
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): ST Mirren 4 · draws 0 · Dunfermline 2 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: ST Mirren 4W 1D 0L · Dunfermline 2W 0D 3L
ST Mirren 0–1 Dunfermline (League Cup – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 9 August 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | ST Mirren for / against | Line | Dunfermline for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 2.4 for · 2.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.67 for · 3 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Shots | 7.6 for · 4.8 against n 5 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3 for · 1.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3 for · 2.67 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 6.4 for · 7 against n 5 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.67 for · 10.33 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.6 for · 1.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.4 for · 2 against n 5 Last 5 |
ST Mirren
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Devaney n 8 | 81 | 2.2 | 1.5 | — |
| A. Campbell n 8 | 82.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | — |
| J. Calvin n 8 | 37.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 | — |
| A. Gogić n 8 | 90 | 1.6 | 0.4 | — |
| R. Idowu n 8 | 48.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Douglas n 3 | 34 | 4.4 | 2.6 |
| C. McMenamin n 8 | 24.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| K. Phillips n 8 | 86 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| J. Young n 8 | 41.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| A. Gogić n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Tanser n 8 | 55.4 | 0 | 0.6 |
| J. Young n 8 | 41.1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| R. King n 8 | 59.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| M. Mandron n 8 | 79.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| L. Donnelly n 8 | 70 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Campbell n 8 | 82.3 | 3.4 |
| L. Donnelly n 8 | 70 | 3.4 |
| A. Gogić n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
| M. Freckleton n 8 | 84.4 | 1.9 |
| M. Fraser n 8 | 67.9 | 1.8 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| ST Mirren | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | Possession | 50% |
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 0 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 0 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Fouls | 0 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind ST Mirren v Dunfermline — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2021-07-13 ST Mirren 1–0 Dunfermline
- 2019-07-14 ST Mirren 2–3 Dunfermline
- 2018-03-10 St Mirren 2–0 Dunfermline
- 2018-01-26 Dunfermline 1–2 St Mirren
- 2017-12-16 St Mirren 1–0 Dunfermline
- 2017-09-16 Dunfermline 3–0 St Mirren
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for ST Mirren v Dunfermline?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Mirren v Dunfermline was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between ST Mirren and Dunfermline?
- In their last 6 meetings, ST Mirren won 4, Dunfermline won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of ST Mirren and Dunfermline?
- Recent form — ST Mirren 4W 1D 0L; Dunfermline 2W 0D 3L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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