ST Mirren v East Kilbride result

Full-time · ST Mirren 4–3 East Kilbride

League Cup – Scotland · · The SMISA Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

ST Mirren 4–3 East Kilbride — ST Mirren won this League Cup – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.3% of 1371 landed (95% range 64.8–69.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

ST Mirren beat East Kilbride 4–3 at The SMISA Stadium in League Cup – Scotland on Tuesday 21 July. ST Mirren are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

ST Mirren came from behind: East Kilbride led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — East Kilbride: C. Elliott (32’ pen; 39’, assisted by F. Gray) and C. McGuffie (57’ pen); ST Mirren: Eseosa Sule (60’ pen), Ryan Carr (69’), Killian Phillips (77’, assisted by Jacob Chapman) and M. Dijksteel (90’, assisted by Eseosa Sule).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Dijksteel’s goal on 90 minutes.

What it changes

ST Mirren have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. East Kilbride have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or East Kilbride, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.3% of the time in the last 90 days (923 of 1371).

Next up

ST Mirren next host Dundee on 24 October 2026.

East Kilbride next travel to Cove Rangers on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for ST Mirren: ST Mirren v Dundee, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for East Kilbride: Cove Rangers v East Kilbride, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: ST Mirren 4–3 East Kilbride · League Cup – Scotland
  • Venue: The SMISA Stadium · Paisley
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): ST Mirren 0 · draws 1 · East Kilbride 0 · 0 goals/game
  • Recent form: ST Mirren 3W 2D 0L · East Kilbride 4W 0D 1L

ST Mirren 4–3 East Kilbride (League Cup – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind ST Mirren v East Kilbride — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ST MirrenDDWWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
East KilbrideWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
ST Mirren 0 · 1 draw · East Kilbride 0 · 0 goals/game
  • 2019-07-20 East Kilbride 0–0 ST Mirren
Goals per game
ST Mirren scored2.2
East Kilbride scored3.2
ST Mirren conceded0.4
East Kilbride conceded1.2

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for ST Mirren v East Kilbride?
TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Mirren v East Kilbride was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between ST Mirren and East Kilbride?
In their last 1 meetings, ST Mirren won 0, East Kilbride won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 0 goals per game.
What is the recent form of ST Mirren and East Kilbride?
Recent form — ST Mirren 3W 2D 0L; East Kilbride 4W 0D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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