BarrowPreston

Barrow v Preston result

Full-time · Barrow 0–1 Preston

League Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Barrow 0–1 Preston — Preston won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Preston won 1–0 at Barrow in the League Cup on Tuesday 12 August. Preston have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Barrow: an own goal by C. Raglan (67’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Barrow 0.96, Preston 1.46, from 9 shots to 22 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Ross Joyce, England showed one yellow card — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Barrow: E. Newby (81’).

What it changes

Barrow sit 63rd on no points from one game with a goal difference of -1 (2025/26 so far).

Preston sit 26th on three points from two games with a goal difference of 0 (2025/26 so far).

Barrow are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Preston are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Barrow have failed to score in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, S. Smith (Barrow) 6.6, Pol Valentín (Preston) 3.5 and B. Jackson (Barrow) 3.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Preston, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

Barrow next travel to Gateshead on 14 November 2026.

Preston next travel to West Ham on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Barrow: Gateshead v Barrow, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Preston: West Ham v Preston, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Barrow 0–1 Preston · League Cup
  • Referee: Ross Joyce, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Barrow 0W 3D 2L · Preston 0W 2D 3L

Barrow 0–1 Preston (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.25
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.5
Corners
against 5 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.38
Cards
against 2 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBarrow for / againstLinePreston for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 11.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.13 for · 14.38 against n 8
Shots on target
2.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
9.38 for · 9.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8

Barrow

Barrow Defensive

Barrow — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Sam Foley n 883.9
1.36/3
1.35/4
—
B. Jackson n 886
0.84/2
1.85/4
—
N. Canavan n 890
0.65/0
0.52/1
—
W. Stanway n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
E. Newby n 867.8
0.53/0
13/1
—
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Barrow — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sam Foley n 883.9
3.17/5
B. Jackson n 886
1.34/2
N. Canavan n 890
16/2
W. Stanway n 890
00/0
E. Newby n 867.8
1.36/2
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Barrow Attacking

Barrow — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Sam Foley n 883.9
1.26/2
0.11/0
B. Jackson n 886
0.75/0
00/0
N. Canavan n 890
0.11/0
00/0
W. Stanway n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Newby n 867.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Barrow — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Jackson n 886
00/0
0.11/0
N. Canavan n 890
00/0
00/0
W. Stanway n 890
00/0
00/0
Sam Foley n 883.9
00/0
00/0
E. Newby n 867.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Preston

Preston Defensive

Preston — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Osmajić n 886.9
1.47/2
16/2
—
A. Hughes n 877.5
16/1
0.75/0
—
A. McCann n 887.4
0.95/2
0.53/1
—
B. Whiteman n 890
0.65/0
0.32/0
—
J. Storey n 886.8
0.41/1
16/1
—
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Preston — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. McCann n 887.4
4.98/7
A. Hughes n 877.5
2.27/5
J. Storey n 886.8
1.77/4
B. Whiteman n 890
1.46/4
L. Gibson n 886.4
0.84/2
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Preston Attacking

Preston — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Osmajić n 886.9
1.66/4
0.63/2
A. McCann n 887.4
0.84/2
0.31/1
B. Whiteman n 890
0.65/0
0.11/0
L. Gibson n 886.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
A. Hughes n 877.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Preston — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Osmajić n 886.9
0.43/0
00/0
D. Iversen n 890
00/0
0.11/0
B. Whiteman n 890
00/0
0.11/0
L. Gibson n 886.4
0.11/0
00/0
A. McCann n 887.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BarrowPreston
38%Possession62%
0.96Expected goals (xG)1.46
9Shots22
3Shots on target5
5Shots off target10
1Blocked shots7
5Shots inside the box10
1Corners13
3Offsides1
10Fouls10
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
5Saves3
346Passes569
77%Pass accuracy85%

Barrow Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Winterbottom9000000007.7
C. Raglan9000001106.3
N. Canavan9000000206.9
Lewis Shipley9000000106.6
B. Jackson9000002306.7
Regan Booty9000000007.2
S. Smith9000111607.2
C. Mahoney9000521007
J. Earing6700000106.7
T. Walker6700001206.9
D. Worrall6200001006.9
E. Newby sub29000011Y6.6
T. Barkhuizen sub2400100206.7
I. Cameron sub2400100006.3

Preston Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Walton9000000007.5
O. Offiah9000001007
L. Gibson9000000007.2
Pol Valentín9000001106.7
S. Þórðarson9000412107.2
J. Okkels9000211006.5
A. Vukčević7700000006.6
T. Carroll5500001006.7
M. Osmajić5500110006.3
A. Devine5400112006.3
M. Frokjaer-Jensen2900003006.6
A. McCann sub6200201006.5
B. Whiteman sub3700202007
T. Small sub3600100006.9
M. Smith sub3600111006.2
A. Hughes sub1400100006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Barrow v Preston — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BarrowDDDLL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
PrestonLLLDD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Goals per game
Barrow scored0.6
Preston scored1.2
Barrow conceded1.2
Preston conceded1.8

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Barrow v Preston?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Barrow v Preston was Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Barrow and Preston?
Recent form — Barrow 0W 3D 2L; Preston 0W 2D 3L.

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