Blackburn v Bradford result

Full-time · Blackburn 1–2 Bradford

League Cup · Tue, 12 Aug 2025 19:45 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Blackburn · Bradford

The model’s pre-match pick

Blackburn 1–2 Bradford — Bradford won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.2% of 145 landed (95% range 47–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Bradford won 2–1 at Blackburn in the League Cup on Tuesday 12 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Blackburn out-shot Bradford 15 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.13 xG to 0.46 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

Bradford led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Bradford: Ibou Touray (2’, assisted by J. Metcalfe) and Will Swan (4’); Blackburn: Dion De Neve (45’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ibou Touray’s goal on 2 minutes.

Discipline

Anthony Backhouse, England showed seven yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Blackburn: S. Tronstad (14’), M. Gueye (68’) and A. Kargbo (88’); Bradford: George Lapslie (36’), Curtis Tilt (68’), Samuel Walker (78’) and Stephen Humphrys (90+4’).

What it changes

Blackburn have scored one goal, the 39th-most (shared) of the 91 clubs (this season so far, after 1 game, ranked per game). Blackburn have conceded two goals, the 33rd-most (shared) of the 91 clubs.

Bradford have scored six goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 91 clubs (this season so far, after 3 games, ranked per game). Bradford have conceded five goals, the 39th-most (shared) of the 91 clubs.

Blackburn are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Bradford are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ibou Touray (Bradford) 7.5, Jenson Metcalfe (Bradford) 7.2 and Will Swan (Bradford) 6.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Blackburn are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Bradford, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55.2% of the time in the last 90 days (80 of 145).

Next up

Blackburn next host West Ham on 7 November 2026.

Bradford next host Marine on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Blackburn: Blackburn v West Ham, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bradford: Bradford v Marine, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Blackburn 1–2 Bradford · League Cup
Referee: Anthony Backhouse, England
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Blackburn 3 · draws 0 · Bradford 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Blackburn 3W 1D 1L · Bradford 2W 2D 1L

Blackburn 1–2 Bradford (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.75

Goals

against 1 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 4.57

Corners

against 6 / 5.57 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

2.88 / 4.57

Shots on target

against 3.63 / 3.86 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.25 / 3.43

Cards

against 2.38 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Blackburn for / against	Line	Bradford for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.57 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	8.38 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.86 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	2.88 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.57 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.13 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.86 for · 11.43 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.43 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5

Blackburn

Blackburn Defensive

Blackburn — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Hedges n 8	74.3	1.7 7/4	0.9 5/1	—
Y. Ohashi n 8	78.3	1.3 6/3	1.6 6/5	—
Yuri Ribeiro n 8	90	0.6 4/1	1.3 6/2	—
D. Hyam n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.6 3/2	—
S. Tronstad n 8	86.8	0.6 3/2	0.5 4/0	—
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Blackburn — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Tronstad n 8	86.8	3.5 8/6
R. Hedges n 8	74.3	1.7 7/4
Y. Ohashi n 8	78.3	1.4 5/3
Yuri Ribeiro n 8	90	1.3 6/4
D. Hyam n 8	90	0.8 5/1
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Blackburn Attacking

Blackburn — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Ohashi n 8	78.3	1.9 7/6	0.9 5/1
S. Tronstad n 8	86.8	0.5 3/1	0.4 2/1
Yuri Ribeiro n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
R. Hedges n 8	74.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
D. Hyam n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Blackburn — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Y. Ohashi n 8	78.3	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
S. Tronstad n 8	86.8	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
R. Hedges n 8	74.3	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
D. Hyam n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Yuri Ribeiro n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Bradford

Bradford Defensive

Bradford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bradford before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Sarcevic n 8	67	2.2 6/4	2 5/5	—
S. Walker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
T. Leigh n 8	60	1.1 5/1	0.9 4/1	—
B. Pointon n 8	72.6	0.6 4/0	0.8 3/2	—
T. Wright n 8	46.4	1.2 4/1	0.7 3/0	—

Bradford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bradford before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Sarcevic n 8	67	1.7 5/4
S. Walker n 8	90	0 0/0
T. Leigh n 8	60	1.3 4/2
B. Pointon n 8	72.6	1.4 6/2
T. Wright n 8	46.4	1.5 5/1

Bradford Attacking

Bradford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bradford before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Sarcevic n 8	67	1.5 5/2	0.7 4/0
S. Walker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Leigh n 8	60	1.7 5/3	0.6 2/1
B. Pointon n 8	72.6	1.4 5/3	1.1 4/3
T. Wright n 8	46.4	0.7 2/1	0.7 2/1

Bradford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bradford before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+
A. Sarcevic n 8	67	0.5 3/0
S. Walker n 8	90	0 0/0
T. Leigh n 8	60	0 0/0
B. Pointon n 8	72.6	0.5 3/0
T. Wright n 8	46.4	0 0/0

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Blackburn		Bradford
65%	Possession	35%
1.13	Expected goals (xG)	0.46
15	Shots	9
4	Shots on target	5
6	Shots off target	1
5	Blocked shots	3
8	Shots inside the box	7
4	Corners	3
1	Offsides	1
10	Fouls	16
3	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	3
553	Passes	292
84%	Pass accuracy	65%

Blackburn Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
N. Michalski	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Kristi Montgomery	90	0	2	0	1	3	0	6.6
L. Miller	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
S. Wharton	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
H. Pickering	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
M. Gueye	90	0	3	2	1	3	Y	6.3
Sidnei Tavares	73	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.2
D. De Neve	73	1	2	1	1	1	0	7.5
I. Tyjon	63	0	1	0	0	0	0	5.9
S. Tronstad	59	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.5
A. Henriksson	59	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.3
R. Alebiosu sub	32	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
A. Kargbo sub	32	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.6
T. Cantwell sub	28	0	0	0	3	1	0	8.3
John Buckley sub	18	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
Y. Ohashi sub	18	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.5

Bradford Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
S. Walker	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.6
A. Baldwin	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
J. Neufville	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
M. Power	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
I. Touray	90	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	8
W. Swan	90	1	0	3	2	0	2	0	7.9
C. Kelly	81	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
Jenson Metcalfe	81	0	1	0	0	2	5	0	7.3
G. Lapslie	60	0	0	0	0	1	2	Y	6.7
T. Wright	60	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
J. Wright	44	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
C. Tilt sub	47	0	0	1	1	0	0	Y	6.7
S. Humphrys sub	31	0	0	1	1	0	0	Y	6.3
A. Sarcevic sub	31	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.6
M. Pennington sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
T. Leigh sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Blackburn v Bradford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BlackburnWWWDL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

BradfordDLWWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Blackburn 3 · 0 draws · Bradford 0 · 2 goals/game

2022-08-23 Bradford 1–2 Blackburn
2018-03-29 Blackburn 2–0 Bradford
2017-08-19 Bradford 0–1 Blackburn

Goals per game

Blackburn scored1.6

Bradford scored1.4

Blackburn conceded0.8

Bradford conceded1.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Blackburn v Bradford?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Blackburn v Bradford was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Blackburn and Bradford?: In their last 3 meetings, Blackburn won 3, Bradford won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Blackburn and Bradford?: Recent form — Blackburn 3W 1D 1L; Bradford 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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