Bristol Rovers v Peterborough result
Team pages: Bristol Rovers · Peterborough · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Bristol Rovers 0–1 Peterborough — Peterborough won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Peterborough won 1–0 at Memorial Stadium in the League Cup on Saturday 8 August.
The goals
Peterborough led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Peterborough: Harry Leonard (19’ pen).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Harry Leonard’s goal on 19 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Bristol Rovers 0.00, Peterborough 0.00, from 19 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
D. Rock showed four yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Bristol Rovers: Shaqai Forde (22’); Peterborough: James Dornelly (13’), Harrison Jones (29’) and Harry Leonard (31’).
What it changes
Bristol Rovers sit 25th on no points from one game with a goal difference of -1 (2026/27 so far).
Peterborough sit 11th on three points from one game with a goal difference of +1 (2026/27 so far).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ben Purrington (Bristol Rovers) 6.7, Kofi Balmer (Bristol Rovers) 6.0 and Macauley Southam-Hales (Bristol Rovers) 6.0 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Bristol Rovers or Peterborough (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).
Next up
Bristol Rovers next host Chesterfield on 14 November 2026.
Peterborough next host Reading on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Bristol Rovers: Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Peterborough: Peterborough v Reading, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Bristol Rovers 0–1 Peterborough · League Cup
- Venue: Memorial Stadium · Bristol
- Referee: D. Rock
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Bristol Rovers 2 · draws 1 · Peterborough 3 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Bristol Rovers 4W 1D 0L · Peterborough 0W 2D 3L
Bristol Rovers 0–1 Peterborough (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 August 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Bristol Rovers for / against | Line | Peterborough for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.25 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.5 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.13 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.13 for · 18.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.25 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.88 for · 7.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15.25 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.63 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.88 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: D. Rock.
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Bristol Rovers | Peterborough | |
|---|---|---|
| 46% | Possession | 54% |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 10 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 17 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 315 | Passes | 368 |
| 64% | Pass accuracy | 70% |
Bristol Rovers Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Young | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| K. Balmer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8.2 |
| B. Purrington | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Southam-Hales | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Forde | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Y | 6.2 |
| R. Harbottle | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| T. Leigh | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Quigley | 70 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Mola | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| R. Smallwood | 55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Aitchison | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| F. Cavegn sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Keenan Gough sub | 35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Russell-Denny sub | 35 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| B. Kamwa sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Rijks sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Peterborough Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bass | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. Okagbue | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Harley Mills | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| B. Khela | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Bolu Shofowoke | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| O. Edwards | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| H. Leonard | 87 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| C. Johnston | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.3 |
| James Dornelly | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| Harrison Jones | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 5.9 |
| T. O'Connor | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Lucca Mendonça sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| B. Woods sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| C. Conn-Clarke sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Weir sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| David Kamara sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Bristol Rovers v Peterborough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-02-02 Bristol Rovers 3–1 Peterborough
- 2024-09-21 Peterborough 3–2 Bristol Rovers
- 2024-04-20 Bristol Rovers 0–2 Peterborough
- 2023-09-30 Peterborough 2–0 Bristol Rovers
- 2023-04-29 Peterborough 0–0 Bristol Rovers
- 2022-11-19 Bristol Rovers 1–0 Peterborough
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Bristol Rovers v Peterborough?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Bristol Rovers v Peterborough was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Bristol Rovers and Peterborough?
- In their last 6 meetings, Bristol Rovers won 2, Peterborough won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Bristol Rovers and Peterborough?
- Recent form — Bristol Rovers 4W 1D 0L; Peterborough 0W 2D 3L.
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