Burton Albion v Lincoln result

Full-time · Burton Albion 0–1 Lincoln

League Cup · Tue, 26 Aug 2025 19:45 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Burton Albion · Lincoln · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Burton Albion 0–1 Lincoln — Lincoln won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4599 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Lincoln won 1–0 at Burton Albion in the League Cup on Tuesday 26 August. Burton Albion are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Lincoln are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lincoln: Benjamin House (89’, assisted by Frederick Draper).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Benjamin House’s goal on 89 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Burton Albion 0.00, Lincoln 0.00, from 7 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Burton Albion: Julian Larsson (11’), J. Newall (57’) and Fábio Tavares (88’); Lincoln: Ivan Varfolomeev (72’) and Adam Jackson (73’).

What it changes

Lincoln have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jack Armer (Burton Albion) 5.3, Benjamin House (Lincoln) 4.3 and Frederick Draper (Lincoln) 3.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Burton Albion or Lincoln (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3559 of 4599).

Next up

Burton Albion next host Bradford on 20 October 2026.

Lincoln next host Burnley on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Burton Albion: Burton Albion v Bradford, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Lincoln: Lincoln v Burnley, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Burton Albion 0–1 Lincoln · League Cup
Referee: Oliver Mackey
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Burton Albion 4 · draws 0 · Lincoln 2 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L · Lincoln 3W 1D 1L

Burton Albion 0–1 Lincoln (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.63 / 3.71

Corners

against 4 / 7.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.75 / 3.29

Shots on target

against 4.13 / 4.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.75 / 2.57

Cards

against 2 / 1.57 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Burton Albion for / against	Line	Lincoln for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.71 for · 7.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	11.25 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	8.57 for · 14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.75 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.29 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.25 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.14 for · 9.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.57 for · 1.57 against n 7 Last 5

Burton Albion

Burton Albion — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. McKiernan n 8	79.4	3.1 8/7	1.8 6/5	—
J. Beesley n 8	56.4	2.6 5/5	2 6/2	—
M. Bennett n 8	32.8	2.4 5/2	0.3 1/0	—
R. Burrell n 8	70	1.8 7/3	0.5 1/1	—
T. Sibbick n 8	59.5	1.5 5/3	0.4 1/1	—

Burton Albion — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Beesley n 8	56.4	3 6/4	0.6 3/0
M. Bennett n 8	32.8	2.4 4/2	1 2/1
C. Webster n 8	78	2.3 6/6	0.9 4/1
T. Shade n 8	50.9	1.8 4/2	1.1 4/1
R. Burrell n 8	70	1.4 4/2	0.8 4/1

Burton Albion — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Fábio Tavares n 8	43.6	0.3 1/0	0.5 2/0
C. Webster n 8	78	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
Dylan Williams n 8	68.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
J. Böðvarsson n 8	59	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
J. Beesley n 8	56.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Burton Albion — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Akoto n 8	52.1	3.5 5/5
S. Revan n 8	74.9	2.7 6/6
J. Sraha n 8	50.5	2.7 4/2
M. Bennett n 8	32.8	2.4 3/2
R. Sweeney n 8	76.9	2.2 7/5

Lincoln

Lincoln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Draper n 8	44.4	3.3 6/3	1.5 5/1	—
B. House n 8	59.1	3.2 7/5	1.5 4/2	—
R. Street n 8	70.4	2.2 7/4	1.8 5/3	—
Z. Okoro n 5	16.2	2.2 2/0	4.4 4/0	—
A. Jackson n 8	81.6	1.7 7/4	0.8 4/2	—

Lincoln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Moylan n 8	42.4	2.4 6/2	0.8 3/0
Z. Okoro n 5	16.2	2.2 2/0	1.1 1/0
E. Ring n 8	41.6	1.9 4/2	0.5 2/0
F. Draper n 8	44.4	1.8 5/1	1 3/1
R. Street n 8	70.4	1.6 4/3	0.8 4/1

Lincoln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Street n 8	70.4	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
F. Draper n 8	44.4	0.8 3/0	0 0/0
J. Collins n 8	65.8	0.3 1/1	0.2 1/0
E. Ring n 8	41.6	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
R. Hackett n 8	75.1	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0

Lincoln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Z. Okoro n 5	16.2	4.4 3/1
B. House n 8	59.1	3.6 8/5
S. Roughan n 8	67.6	3.2 7/6
C. McGrandles n 8	60.6	3 7/3
R. Hackett n 8	75.1	2.8 7/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Burton Albion		Lincoln
48%	Possession	52%
7	Shots	17
2	Shots on target	8
2	Shots off target	4
3	Blocked shots	5
3	Shots inside the box	14
3	Corners	2
1	Offsides	1
12	Fouls	11
3	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
7	Saves	2
417	Passes	444
80%	Pass accuracy	78%

Burton Albion player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Dudek	90	0	0	0	0	0	8.3
J. Moon	90	0	0	0	0	0	7
J. Armer	90	1	0	0	4	0	7.2
C. Webster	90	2	1	1	0	0	6.3
Dylan Williams	90	1	1	1	1	0	7
J. Taroni	90	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
Julian Larsson	90	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
Fábio Tavares	90	0	0	0	0	Y	6
N. Akoto	80	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
J. Newall	58	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
F. Delap	45	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
T. Sibbick sub	45	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
T. Shade sub	32	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
K. Lofthouse sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Lincoln player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Z. Jeacock	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
T. Darikwa	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	7.5
T. Hamer	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	7.3
A. Jackson	90	0	0	1	1	0	0	Y	7
R. Towler	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
Francis Okoronkwo	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	6.9
Ivan Varfolomeev	84	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	7.2
T. Bayliss	71	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	7.7
Z. Okoro	71	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.5
R. Street	71	0	0	5	3	0	0	0	6.7
E. Ring	70	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.7
F. Draper sub	20	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
C. McGrandles sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
R. Hackett sub	19	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. Collins sub	19	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	7
B. House sub	10	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	7.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Burton Albion v Lincoln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Burton AlbionWLDDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

LincolnLWWWD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Burton Albion 4 · 0 draws · Lincoln 2 · 2 goals/game

2025-02-22 Lincoln 0–1 Burton Albion
2024-08-10 Burton Albion 2–3 Lincoln
2024-02-03 Burton Albion 0–1 Lincoln
2023-10-14 Lincoln 0–1 Burton Albion
2023-04-25 Lincoln 0–1 Burton Albion
2022-12-26 Burton Albion 3–0 Lincoln

Goals per game

Burton Albion scored1.2

Lincoln scored1.6

Burton Albion conceded1.4

Lincoln conceded1.2

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Burton Albion v Lincoln?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Burton Albion v Lincoln was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Burton Albion and Lincoln?: In their last 6 meetings, Burton Albion won 4, Lincoln won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Burton Albion and Lincoln?: Recent form — Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L; Lincoln 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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