CheltenhamExeter City

Cheltenham v Exeter City result

Full-time · Cheltenham 2–0 Exeter City

League Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cheltenham · Exeter City · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Cheltenham 2–0 Exeter City — Cheltenham won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cheltenham beat Exeter City 2–0 in the League Cup on Wednesday 13 August.

The goals

Cheltenham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Cheltenham: James Wilson (28’, assisted by J. Mažionis) and Ryan Broom (55’, assisted by Jacob Bickerstaff).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with James Wilson’s goal on 28 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Cheltenham 2.61, Exeter City 1.12, from 19 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Alan Young, England showed seven yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Cheltenham: J. Mažionis (34’), Ethon Archer (40’) and Freddie Willcox (89’); Exeter City: Edward Francis (15’), Edward James (16’), Kevin McDonald (52’) and Charlie Cummins (83’).

What it changes

Cheltenham sit 31st on three points from two games with a goal difference of -1 (2025/26 so far).

Exeter City sit 77th on no points from one game with a goal difference of -2 (2025/26 so far).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, James Wilson (Cheltenham) 6.5, Ryan Broom (Cheltenham) 6.3 and Ethon Archer (Cheltenham) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Exeter City, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

Cheltenham next host FC Halifax Town on 7 November 2026.

Exeter City next travel to Huddersfield on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cheltenham: Cheltenham v FC Halifax Town, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Exeter City: Huddersfield v Exeter City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cheltenham 2–0 Exeter City · League Cup
  • Referee: Alan Young, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cheltenham 3 · draws 0 · Exeter City 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cheltenham 2W 0D 3L · Exeter City 2W 0D 3L

Cheltenham 2–0 Exeter City (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.17
Corners
against 5.38 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.13 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.63 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCheltenham for / againstLineExeter City for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.17 for · 4.5 against n 6
Shots
11.25 for · 14.25 against n 8
19.5standard
7.83 for · 11.33 against n 6
Shots on target
3.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 3.5 against n 6
Fouls committed
14.38 for · 14.13 against n 8
21.5standard
14 for · 11.83 against n 6
Cards shown
2.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.67 against n 6

Cheltenham

Cheltenham Defensive

Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Young n 883.4
1.66/4
1.26/2
—
E. Archer n 886.4
1.45/4
2.16/4
—
J. Day n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
G. Miller n 862.8
1.64/2
1.64/3
—
L. Kinsella n 886.9
0.85/1
1.26/3
—
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Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Archer n 886.4
2.98/6
L. Young n 883.4
1.98/4
J. Day n 890
00/0
G. Miller n 862.8
0.21/0
L. Kinsella n 886.9
2.68/5
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Cheltenham Attacking

Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Archer n 886.4
0.84/2
0.11/0
L. Young n 883.4
0.74/1
0.32/0
J. Day n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Miller n 862.8
1.36/1
0.53/0
L. Kinsella n 886.9
0.11/0
00/0
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Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Archer n 886.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Day n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Young n 883.4
00/0
00/0
G. Miller n 862.8
0.42/0
00/0
L. Kinsella n 886.9
00/0
00/0
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Exeter City

Exeter City Defensive

Exeter City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Niskanen n 887.5
1.55/5
0.43/0
—
E. Turns n 881.3
15/2
1.56/3
—
J. Fitzwater n 879.5
0.85/1
0.63/1
—
J. Whitworth n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
R. Cole n 869.1
15/1
15/1
—
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Exeter City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Niskanen n 887.5
2.17/4
E. Turns n 881.3
2.16/5
J. Fitzwater n 879.5
1.46/3
J. Whitworth n 890
0.11/0
R. Cole n 869.1
1.56/2
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Exeter City Attacking

Exeter City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Niskanen n 887.5
0.63/2
0.32/0
J. Fitzwater n 879.5
0.62/1
0.32/0
J. Whitworth n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Turns n 881.3
00/0
00/0
R. Cole n 869.1
2.15/3
1.15/2
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Exeter City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Niskanen n 887.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Fitzwater n 879.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Whitworth n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Turns n 881.3
00/0
00/0
R. Cole n 869.1
0.53/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CheltenhamExeter City
47%Possession53%
2.61Expected goals (xG)1.12
19Shots9
9Shots on target1
8Shots off target4
2Blocked shots4
11Shots inside the box4
5Corners8
2Offsides4
11Fouls9
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Saves7
321Passes362
72%Pass accuracy75%

Cheltenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Day9000000006.5
D. Power9000000307.2
L. Young9000003207.2
R. Broom9010321007.3
G. Harmon9000301206.3
E. Archer90005454Y7.3
J. Wilson7810110108.6
J. Thomas7800102006.3
J. Bickerstaff6301112107.3
J. Mažionis62010011Y7.2
R. Cundy4300000107.2
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd sub4800000107.5
F. Willcox sub29000002Y6.9
G. Miller sub2800203007.5
S. Bennett sub1300000006.6
Harry Tustin sub1300110107.2

Exeter City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Whitworth9000000007.6
E. James90000006Y6.5
L. Woodhouse9000001206
T. Dean9000100206.5
Kevin McDonald90000001Y6.6
E. Francis90001010Y6.3
George Birch9000112507
P. Sweeney6800000005.9
S. Cox6800000106.9
R. Rydel4500000306.6
J. Magennis4500000006.3
A. Oluwabori sub4500200006.2
K. Wilson sub4500002006.2
Liam Oakes sub2300000006.7
C. Cummins sub23000000Y6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cheltenham v Exeter City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CheltenhamWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Exeter CityLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cheltenham 3 · 0 draws · Exeter City 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2024-04-01 Cheltenham 1–2 Exeter City
  • 2023-09-16 Exeter City 1–0 Cheltenham
  • 2023-03-18 Cheltenham 3–1 Exeter City
  • 2022-08-20 Exeter City 0–1 Cheltenham
  • 2022-08-09 Cheltenham 0–7 Exeter City
  • 2021-03-13 Exeter City 0–1 Cheltenham
Goals per game
Cheltenham scored1
Exeter City scored1.6
Cheltenham conceded1.8
Exeter City conceded1.8

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cheltenham v Exeter City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cheltenham v Exeter City was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Cheltenham and Exeter City?
In their last 6 meetings, Cheltenham won 3, Exeter City won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cheltenham and Exeter City?
Recent form — Cheltenham 2W 0D 3L; Exeter City 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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