Fulham v Crystal Palace prediction

League Cup · · Craven Cottage

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Fulham v Crystal Palace, League Cup on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 624 landed (95% range 62.1–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Fulham host Crystal Palace in the League Cup on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Crystal Palace are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Fulham.

Form and the table

Six of Fulham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Fulham’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Fulham have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.00.

Both teams scored in eight of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Crystal Palace have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.43.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Crystal Palace the stronger side, 97 rating points above Fulham (Crystal Palace 2020, Fulham 1923, after at least 21 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Antonee Robinson (3.6 per match over seven appearances) and Joshua King (3.5 per match over eight appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Fulham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Fulham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Antonee Robinson averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 1408 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Joshua King averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 602 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

By TACTIX Impact, Anan Khalaili (4.0 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and one assist) and Tyrick Mitchell (3.9 per match over 10 appearances, two goals) have been Crystal Palace’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Crystal Palace (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Anan Khalaili averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 939 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Tyrick Mitchell averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 840 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League Cup · Craven Cottage
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fulham 1 · draws 1 · Crystal Palace 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fulham 2W 2D 1L · Crystal Palace 2W 1D 2L

Fulham v Crystal Palace (League Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.38 / 3.75
Corners
against 4.38 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.38
Cards
against 0.63 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFulham for / againstLineCrystal Palace for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
3our book
2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
16.25 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 16.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.25 for · 8.5 against n 8
21.5standard
9.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 0.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
Fulham
Fulham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Manuel Ángel n 821.4
2.64/1
2.63/2
—
K. Tete n 880.9
2.57/6
0.63/1
—
César Palacios n 845.1
1.75/2
00/0
—
Rodrigo Muniz n 833.8
1.73/1
24/2
—
Luc De Fougerolles n 870.4
1.65/3
2.77/6
—
Fulham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Rodrigo Muniz n 833.8
45/4
2.35/2
César Palacios n 845.1
2.54/2
12/2
Gonzalo García n 868.5
2.17/4
0.73/1
R. Sessegnon n 851
26/2
0.73/0
Joshua King n 875.3
1.96/4
1.35/4
Fulham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Oscar Bobb n 849.4
0.73/0
00/0
César Palacios n 845.1
0.52/0
0.21/0
Rodrigo Muniz n 833.8
0.72/0
00/0
R. Sessegnon n 851
0.42/0
0.21/0
Joshua King n 875.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
Fulham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kevin n 835.3
3.25/3
Shea Charles n 879.8
2.76/6
Manuel Ángel n 821.4
2.65/0
K. Tete n 880.9
2.47/5
A. Robinson n 873
2.27/5
Fulham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Leno n 890
2.67/5
B. Lecomte n 890
1.55/1
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Osorio n 854.3
2.34/4
2.15/3
—
Z. Gozo n 855.9
2.26/3
0.42/0
—
J. Lerma n 851.9
24/3
0.42/0
—
H. Ahanor n 860
1.94/3
1.54/1
—
W. Hughes n 842.3
1.95/2
1.64/2
—
Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Mateta n 832.1
3.97/3
1.84/1
J. Strand Larsen n 851.1
2.65/3
1.13/2
I. Sarr n 858
2.54/4
1.23/2
D. Osorio n 854.3
2.34/3
0.83/1
E. Nketiah n 832.6
2.14/2
13/0
Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Sarr n 858
0.83/1
0.21/0
J. Mateta n 832.1
0.72/0
00/0
D. Kamada n 867
0.32/0
0.31/1
Yeremy Pino n 859.5
0.63/0
00/0
E. Nketiah n 832.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Óscar Mingueza n 833.6
3.76/1
Z. Gozo n 855.9
3.27/4
T. Mitchell n 886.4
2.97/6
W. Hughes n 842.3
2.73/2
J. Canvot n 880.8
2.48/6
Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 882.1
3.35/5
W. Benítez n 893.8
3.27/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Fulham v Crystal Palace — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FulhamDWDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Crystal PalaceWDWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fulham 1 · 1 draw · Crystal Palace 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-09-05 Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace
  • 2026-01-01 Crystal Palace 1–1 Fulham
  • 2025-12-07 Fulham 1–2 Crystal Palace
  • 2025-03-29 Fulham 0–3 Crystal Palace
  • 2025-02-22 Fulham 0–2 Crystal Palace
  • 2024-11-09 Crystal Palace 0–2 Fulham
Goals per game
Fulham scored1.2
Crystal Palace scored1.8
Fulham conceded1
Crystal Palace conceded1.8

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Fulham v Crystal Palace?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fulham v Crystal Palace is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Fulham and Crystal Palace?
In their last 6 meetings, Fulham won 1, Crystal Palace won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fulham and Crystal Palace?
Recent form — Fulham 2W 2D 1L; Crystal Palace 2W 1D 2L.

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