GillinghamAFC Wimbledon

Gillingham v AFC Wimbledon result

Full-time · Gillingham 1–1 AFC Wimbledon

League Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Gillingham · AFC Wimbledon · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Gillingham 1–1 AFC Wimbledon — this League Cup match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Gillingham and AFC Wimbledon drew 1–1 in the League Cup on Tuesday 12 August. Gillingham are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

AFC Wimbledon led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — AFC Wimbledon: Antwoine Hackford (32’, assisted by Danilo Orsi); Gillingham: Ethan Coleman (83’, assisted by M. Clark).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ethan Coleman’s goal on 83 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Gillingham 1.13, AFC Wimbledon 0.87, from 11 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Neil Hair, England showed two yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — AFC Wimbledon: Aron Sasu (42’) and Ryan Johnson (80’).

What it changes

Gillingham sit 42nd on one point from one game with a goal difference of 0 (2025/26 so far).

AFC Wimbledon sit 50th on one point from two games with a goal difference of -1 (2025/26 so far).

Gillingham have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ethan Coleman (Gillingham) 9.7, M. Clark (Gillingham) 6.3 and Joshua Andrews (Gillingham) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or AFC Wimbledon, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

Gillingham next travel to Colchester on 14 November 2026.

AFC Wimbledon next host Blackpool on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Gillingham: Colchester v Gillingham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for AFC Wimbledon: AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Gillingham 1–1 AFC Wimbledon · League Cup
  • Referee: Neil Hair, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Gillingham 4 · draws 0 · AFC Wimbledon 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Gillingham 3W 2D 0L · AFC Wimbledon 4W 0D 1L

Gillingham 1–1 AFC Wimbledon (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.75
Goals
against 0.5 / 0.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.57 / 4.33
Corners
against 3.57 / 4.67 · 0 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
2.71 / 2.33
Shots on target
against 2.57 / 2.5 · 0 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.71 / 1.83
Cards
against 2.14 / 0.83 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGillingham for / againstLineAFC Wimbledon for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
2.57 for · 3.57 against n 7
9.5standard
4.33 for · 4.67 against n 6
Shots
9.14 for · 10.57 against n 7
19.5standard
9 for · 6.5 against n 6
Shots on target
2.71 for · 2.57 against n 7
8.5standard
2.33 for · 2.5 against n 6
Fouls committed
14.71 for · 12.71 against n 7
21.5standard
12.83 for · 10.5 against n 6
Cards shown
2.71 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.83 for · 0.83 against n 6

Gillingham

Gillingham Defensive

Gillingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Little n 890
2.58/6
15/1
—
R. McKenzie n 889.1
1.16/3
0.84/1
—
M. Clark n 890
0.93/2
0.65/0
—
R. Hutton n 889.1
0.85/1
0.54/0
—
S. Ogie n 881.4
0.43/0
2.97/7
R. Johnson
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Gillingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Clark n 890
2.87/4
A. Little n 890
2.68/6
S. Ogie n 881.4
2.68/5
R. Hutton n 889.1
1.37/3
R. McKenzie n 889.1
0.83/1
See more players · Pro

Gillingham Attacking

Gillingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Little n 890
0.54/0
0.32/0
M. Clark n 890
0.43/0
00/0
R. McKenzie n 889.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
S. Ogie n 881.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
R. Hutton n 889.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro
Gillingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Little n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. Morris n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Clark n 890
00/0
00/0
R. McKenzie n 889.1
00/0
00/0
R. Hutton n 889.1
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon Defensive

AFC Wimbledon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Ogundere n 851.1
1.35/1
1.85/3
—
A. Smith n 890
15/3
0.64/1
—
J. Reeves n 882.1
0.84/2
0.43/0
—
R. Johnson n 885.9
0.54/0
0.95/2
S. Ogie
J. Lewis n 889.9
14/3
0.93/3
—
See more players · Pro
AFC Wimbledon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Ogundere n 851.1
2.96/5
R. Johnson n 885.9
26/4
J. Reeves n 882.1
1.86/4
A. Smith n 890
1.55/4
J. Lewis n 889.9
2.88/5
See more players · Pro

AFC Wimbledon Attacking

AFC Wimbledon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Johnson n 885.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Reeves n 882.1
0.42/1
0.11/0
A. Smith n 890
0.32/0
00/0
I. Ogundere n 851.1
0.21/0
00/0
J. Lewis n 889.9
0.64/1
0.11/0
See more players · Pro
AFC Wimbledon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AFC Wimbledon before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Reeves n 882.1
00/0
0.11/0
A. Smith n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Johnson n 885.9
00/0
00/0
I. Ogundere n 851.1
00/0
00/0
J. Lewis n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GillinghamAFC Wimbledon
51%Possession49%
1.13Expected goals (xG)0.87
11Shots10
4Shots on target2
5Shots off target4
2Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box8
5Corners3
1Offsides1
13Fouls8
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves3
327Passes321
63%Pass accuracy70%

Gillingham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Turner9000000006.3
S. Gale9000101306.9
A. Smith9000110006.9
R. Hutton9000001106.5
E. Coleman9010110608.2
M. Clark9001002208.5
J. Williams9000202306
Marcus Wyllie7300110006.2
J. Gbode7300110006.3
N. Khumbeni6600001006.5
S. Ogie5300101006.3
R. McKenzie sub3800100007.3
J. Andrews sub2500001306.2
E. Nevitt sub1800000006.2
Stan Sargent sub1800000006.5

AFC Wimbledon Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. McDonnell9000000108.9
I. Ogundere9000000506.3
R. Harbottle9000000206.9
R. Johnson90001000Y7.3
N. Asiimwe9000001206.9
C. Maycock9000000106.3
D. Orsi8401212004.9
Omar Bugiel7800202306.9
A. Sasu62000002Y6.9
A. Hackford6210110007.5
Delano McCoy-Splatt\t6100001407.3
A. Smith sub3000002107.5
S. Seddon sub2900000006.5
J. Kelly sub2900000207.3
M. Hippolyte sub1300002107.3
M. Stevens sub1300000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Gillingham v AFC Wimbledon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GillinghamWDWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
AFC WimbledonWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Gillingham 4 · 0 draws · AFC Wimbledon 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2025-04-21 Gillingham 1–0 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2024-12-30 AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Gillingham
  • 2024-03-12 AFC Wimbledon 2–0 Gillingham
  • 2023-11-28 Gillingham 1–0 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2023-02-25 Gillingham 2–1 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2022-08-09 AFC Wimbledon 0–2 Gillingham
Goals per game
Gillingham scored1
AFC Wimbledon scored1
Gillingham conceded0.4
AFC Wimbledon conceded0.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Gillingham v AFC Wimbledon?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gillingham v AFC Wimbledon was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Gillingham and AFC Wimbledon?
In their last 6 meetings, Gillingham won 4, AFC Wimbledon won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gillingham and AFC Wimbledon?
Recent form — Gillingham 3W 2D 0L; AFC Wimbledon 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+