MillwallCoventry

Millwall v Coventry result

Full-time · Millwall 2–1 Coventry

League Cup · · The Den

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Millwall · Coventry · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Millwall 2–1 Coventry — Millwall won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Millwall beat Coventry 2–1 at The Den in the League Cup on Tuesday 26 August. It is Millwall’s first win over Coventry since 13 August 2022, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Millwall led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Millwall: M. Luongo (33’) and Kamari Antonio Grant (76’, assisted by Aidomo Emakhu); Coventry: H. Wright (89’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Luongo’s goal on 33 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Millwall 0.00, Coventry 0.00, from 9 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Stephen Martin, England showed four yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Millwall: Kamari Antonio Grant (17’) and Adam Mayor (71’); Coventry: Raphael Borges Rodrigues (59’) and Liam Kitching (73’).

What it changes

Millwall have scored four goals, the 33rd-most (shared) of the 91 clubs (this season so far, after 3 games, ranked per game). Millwall have conceded two goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 91 clubs.

Coventry have scored two goals, the 39th-most (shared) of the 91 clubs (this season so far, after 2 games, ranked per game). Coventry have conceded two goals, the 15th-fewest (shared) of the 91 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Aidomo Emakhu (Millwall) 8.1, H. Wright (Coventry) 7.3 and M. Luongo (Millwall) 6.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Coventry are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Millwall.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Millwall next travel to West Brom on 7 November 2026.

Coventry next host Crystal Palace on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Millwall: West Brom v Millwall, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Coventry: Coventry v Crystal Palace, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Millwall 2–1 Coventry · League Cup
  • Venue: The Den · London
  • Referee: Stephen Martin, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Millwall 1 · draws 1 · Coventry 4 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Millwall 3W 0D 2L · Coventry 3W 2D 0L

Millwall 2–1 Coventry (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.67 / 6.29
Corners
against 6.83 / 6.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.5 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 4.83 / 3.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.17 / 3
Cards
against 1.67 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMillwall for / againstLineCoventry for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.67 for · 6.83 against n 6
9.5standard
6.29 for · 6.14 against n 7
Shots
14.5 for · 15.17 against n 6
19.5standard
14.71 for · 13.86 against n 7
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.83 against n 6
8.5standard
4.43 for · 3.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
15.67 for · 8.17 against n 6
21.5standard
11.29 for · 9.86 against n 7
Cards shown
2.17 for · 1.67 against n 6
3.5standard
3 for · 2 against n 7

Millwall

Millwall Defensive

Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Cooper n 890
1.44/4
0.63/2
—
J. Coburn n 879.9
27/6
1.15/2
—
C. De Norre n 877.9
0.73/1
0.11/0
—
S. Benda n 390
00/0
0.72/0
—
M. Ivanović n 883.6
1.26/2
0.32/0
—
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Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890
0.85/1
J. Coburn n 879.9
0.43/0
C. De Norre n 877.9
2.36/5
S. Benda n 390
00/0
M. Ivanović n 883.6
0.11/0
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Millwall Attacking

Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890
0.96/1
0.32/0
J. Coburn n 879.9
1.57/4
0.63/1
C. De Norre n 877.9
0.94/1
0.11/0
S. Benda n 390
00/0
00/0
M. Ivanović n 883.6
1.77/5
1.15/3
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Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Coburn n 879.9
00/0
00/0
C. De Norre n 877.9
00/0
0.11/0
S. Benda n 390
00/0
00/0
M. Ivanović n 883.6
0.53/1
0.11/0
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Coventry

Coventry Defensive

Coventry — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Torp n 864.1
1.25/2
1.15/1
—
B. Thomas n 884.3
1.36/3
1.56/2
—
Liam Kitching n 884.4
0.96/1
0.96/1
—
J. Rudoni n 882.3
0.83/2
0.74/1
—
M. Grimes n 880.9
1.46/4
1.47/1
—
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Coventry — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Torp n 864.1
1.66/2
B. Thomas n 884.3
1.35/3
Liam Kitching n 884.4
0.84/1
J. Rudoni n 882.3
1.54/3
M. Grimes n 880.9
1.97/6
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Coventry Attacking

Coventry — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Torp n 864.1
1.85/3
1.13/2
B. Thomas n 884.3
1.16/2
0.53/1
Liam Kitching n 884.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Rudoni n 882.3
1.46/3
1.15/2
M. Grimes n 880.9
0.64/0
0.11/0
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Coventry — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Torp n 864.1
0.52/1
0.41/1
B. Thomas n 884.3
0.11/0
00/0
Liam Kitching n 884.4
00/0
00/0
J. Rudoni n 882.3
0.73/2
0.11/0
M. Grimes n 880.9
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MillwallCoventry
42%Possession58%
9Shots15
2Shots on target5
2Shots off target5
5Blocked shots5
5Shots inside the box12
6Corners8
4Offsides1
12Fouls8
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves0
327Passes462
71%Pass accuracy81%

Millwall Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Crocombe9500000006.7
W. Harding9500001306.3
Kamari Antonio Grant95101100Y7.6
T. Crama9500000306.6
Daniel Kelly9500000006
Jack Howland9500000306.9
A. Emakhu7701102406.9
L. Cundle6200002106.3
K. Nisbet6200100006.2
J. Bryan4500000307.2
M. Luongo4510110207.6
A. Mayor sub50000000Y6.6
C. De Norre sub5000000206.7
Raees Bangura-Williams sub3300000106.7
Ajay Matthews sub3300000106.3
S. Kendall sub1800000006.2

Coventry Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Wilson9500000106.7
K. Kesler-Hayden9500110207.3
J. Bidwell9500000006.6
Miguel Brau9500202206.2
B. Thomas-Asante9500100306.2
M. Grimes9500102007.2
J. Allen6900000006.6
E. Simms6900210006.9
R. Borges Rodrigues60000011Y6.5
Kai Andrews6000001106.6
B. Thomas4500000106.7
Liam Kitching sub50000000Y6.3
J. Dasilva sub3500001006.5
J. Rudoni sub3500110006.3
V. Torp sub2600000106.9
H. Wright sub2610220007.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Millwall v Coventry — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MillwallLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
CoventryDDWWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Millwall 1 · 1 draw · Coventry 4 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2024-12-29 Coventry 0–0 Millwall
  • 2024-12-07 Millwall 0–1 Coventry
  • 2024-02-11 Coventry 2–1 Millwall
  • 2023-11-25 Millwall 0–3 Coventry
  • 2023-02-14 Coventry 1–0 Millwall
  • 2022-08-13 Millwall 3–2 Coventry
Goals per game
Millwall scored1
Coventry scored2.8
Millwall conceded1.4
Coventry conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Millwall v Coventry?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Millwall v Coventry was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Millwall and Coventry?
In their last 6 meetings, Millwall won 1, Coventry won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Millwall and Coventry?
Recent form — Millwall 3W 0D 2L; Coventry 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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