Newport CountyMillwall

Newport County v Millwall result

Full-time · Newport County 0–1 Millwall

League Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Newport County · Millwall

The model’s pre-match pick

Newport County 0–1 Millwall — Millwall won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Millwall won 1–0 at Newport County in the League Cup on Tuesday 12 August. Millwall have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Millwall: Ryan Leonard (60’, assisted by Aidomo Emakhu).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ryan Leonard’s goal on 60 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Newport County 1.05, Millwall 1.57, from 14 shots to 20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Scott Oldham, England showed two yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Millwall: Ryan Leonard (16’) and M. Luongo (74’).

What it changes

Newport County sit 63rd on no points from one game with a goal difference of -1 (2025/26 so far).

Millwall sit eighth on six points from two games with a goal difference of +2 (2025/26 so far).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Luongo (Millwall) 8.7, Aidomo Emakhu (Millwall) 8.5 and Jake Cooper (Millwall) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

Newport County next travel to Crewe on 14 November 2026.

Millwall next host QPR on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Newport County: Crewe v Newport County, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Millwall: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Newport County 0–1 Millwall · League Cup
  • Referee: Scott Oldham, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Newport County 0 · draws 0 · Millwall 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Newport County 1W 2D 2L · Millwall 3W 0D 2L

Newport County 0–1 Millwall (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 6
Corners
against 6.38 / 7.2 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
3.25 / 3.6
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 5.2 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.75 / 1.2
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNewport County for / againstLineMillwall for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 7.2 against n 5
Shots
8.25 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12 for · 16.4 against n 5
Shots on target
3.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.6 for · 5.2 against n 5
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
17.8 for · 7.2 against n 5
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.2 for · 1.2 against n 5

Newport County

Newport County Defensive

Newport County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Whitmore n 862.9
4.18/7
0.93/2
—
T. Davies n 485.8
1.34/1
12/2
—
M. Baker n 890
0.52/1
0.95/1
J. Cooper
Joe Thomas n 884.4
0.54/0
0.85/1
—
C. Antwi n 878.5
0.75/0
0.74/1
—
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Newport County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Davies n 485.8
3.44/3
K. Whitmore n 862.9
2.17/3
M. Baker n 890
1.16/2
Joe Thomas n 884.4
2.57/5
C. Antwi n 878.5
0.95/1
See more players · Pro

Newport County Attacking

Newport County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Whitmore n 862.9
1.43/3
0.93/2
M. Baker n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. Davies n 485.8
00/0
00/0
Joe Thomas n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
C. Antwi n 878.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro
Newport County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Whitmore n 862.9
0.21/0
00/0
M. Baker n 890
00/0
0.11/0
T. Davies n 485.8
00/0
00/0
Joe Thomas n 884.4
00/0
00/0
C. Antwi n 878.5
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Millwall

Millwall Defensive

Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Cooper n 890
1.45/3
00/0
M. Baker
M. Ivanović n 882.9
1.47/3
14/1
—
C. De Norre n 875.8
1.34/2
00/0
—
T. Crama n 888.4
1.16/3
0.54/0
—
J. Tanganga n 884.1
0.74/1
1.56/5
—
See more players · Pro
Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Crama n 888.4
2.95/5
C. De Norre n 875.8
1.65/4
J. Cooper n 890
0.54/0
J. Tanganga n 884.1
0.43/0
M. Ivanović n 882.9
0.41/1
See more players · Pro

Millwall Attacking

Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Ivanović n 882.9
1.88/5
1.26/3
J. Cooper n 890
1.16/3
0.32/0
T. Crama n 888.4
0.85/1
00/0
J. Tanganga n 884.1
0.54/0
0.11/0
C. De Norre n 875.8
0.32/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Ivanović n 882.9
0.84/2
00/0
C. De Norre n 875.8
00/0
0.43/0
T. Crama n 888.4
00/0
0.11/0
J. Cooper n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Tanganga n 884.1
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Newport CountyMillwall
38%Possession62%
1.05Expected goals (xG)1.57
14Shots20
2Shots on target7
5Shots off target6
7Blocked shots7
9Shots inside the box16
2Corners7
3Offsides0
9Fouls11
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
6Saves2
312Passes501
75%Pass accuracy79%

Newport County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Wright9000000007.5
C. Evans9000000006.5
J. Clarke9000210007.3
M. Baker9000000106.2
B. Lloyd9000001506.9
A. Driscoll-Glennon9000103007.9
B. Kamwa9000101106.5
H. Ogunneye7500000106.3
K. Whitmore7500000406.7
C. Baker-Richardson6500000006.2
C. Antwi5600200006.2
L. Jenkins sub3500000006.7
M. Reindorf sub2600110006.5
C. Brennan sub1600001106.9
M. Spellman sub1600000206.6

Millwall Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Crocombe9000000008.2
R. Leonard90101140Y8.3
Kamari Antonio Grant9000110107.6
J. Cooper9000101208.9
L. Cundle9000003207.2
M. Luongo90000029Y8.9
A. Emakhu8901542406.9
M. Langstaff8700110106.5
Raees Bangura-Williams6500101206.3
Zak Norton Sturge6400001207.2
J. Coburn6400200007
W. Harding sub2700002007.3
K. Nisbet sub2700102006.3
D. Kelly sub2600000006.9
Ajay Matthews sub1000000006.5
S. Kendall sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Newport County v Millwall — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Newport CountyDLLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
MillwallLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Newport County 0 · 0 draws · Millwall 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2020-01-04 Millwall 3–0 Newport County
Goals per game
Newport County scored0.8
Millwall scored1.6
Newport County conceded1.6
Millwall conceded1.8

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Newport County v Millwall?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Newport County v Millwall was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Newport County and Millwall?
In their last 1 meetings, Newport County won 0, Millwall won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Newport County and Millwall?
Recent form — Newport County 1W 2D 2L; Millwall 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+