Northampton v Southampton result

Full-time · Northampton 0–1 Southampton

League Cup · Tue, 12 Aug 2025 19:45 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Northampton 0–1 Southampton — Southampton won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick

Away win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.3% of 102 landed (95% range 77.1–90.9%); it had given them 76% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Southampton won 1–0 at Northampton in the League Cup on Tuesday 12 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Northampton out-shot Southampton 16 to 13 and created the better chances, 1.49 xG to 0.68 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Southampton: Mateus Fernandes (48’, assisted by Cameron Archer).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mateus Fernandes’s goal on 48 minutes.

Discipline

David Rock, England showed seven yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Northampton: Cameron McGeehan (56’), Joseph Wormleighton (69’) and Jack Perkins (89’); Southampton: Ronnie Edwards (11’), Mateus Fernandes (55’), Taylor Harwood-Bellis (57’) and Flynn Downes (86’).

What it changes

Northampton are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cameron Archer (Southampton) 7.7, Dean Campbell (Northampton) 4.7 and Mateus Fernandes (Southampton) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Southampton to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Northampton next host Colchester on 24 October 2026.

Southampton next travel to West Ham on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Northampton: Northampton v Colchester, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Southampton: West Ham v Southampton, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Northampton 0–1 Southampton · League Cup
Referee: David Rock, England
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Northampton 1W 2D 2L · Southampton 1W 1D 3L

Northampton 0–1 Southampton (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 0.63

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.8 / 4

Corners

against 4 / 8 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 5 matches

5.2 / 3.13

Shots on target

against 4.2 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 5 matches

1.6 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.4 / 1 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Northampton for / against	Line	Southampton for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.8 for · 4 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 8 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10 for · 13.8 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	9.88 for · 18.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.2 for · 4.2 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	3.13 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.2 for · 10.4 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	10.63 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.6 for · 2.4 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5

Northampton

Northampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ben Perry n 8	82.8	2.3 6/4	2.7 7/7	—
T. Magloire n 8	46.3	2.2 4/4	0.5 2/0	—
C. McGeehan n 8	84	2 7/5	0.8 4/2	—
T. Roberts n 8	63.9	1.9 7/3	1.4 5/3	—
D. Costelloe n 8	83.4	1.8 7/5	1.1 5/1	—

Northampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Costelloe n 8	83.4	2.2 7/6	1.1 4/3
C. McGeehan n 8	84	2.1 8/6	1.5 8/3
T. Roberts n 8	63.9	2.1 6/2	0.9 4/1
S. Hoskins n 8	86.4	1.6 7/3	0.7 3/1
T. Fosu n 8	41.4	1.6 5/1	1.4 4/1

Northampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Costelloe n 8	83.4	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
S. Hoskins n 8	86.4	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
C. McGeehan n 8	84	0.1 1/0	0.3 1/1
M. Pinnock n 8	86.5	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
T. Fosu n 8	41.4	0.3 1/0	0 0/0

Northampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Burroughs n 8	39.4	4.9 6/6
T. Magloire n 8	46.3	3.2 6/4
D. Campbell n 8	89.9	3.1 7/6
T. Taylor n 8	86.4	2.9 7/5
Ben Perry n 8	82.8	2.6 8/7

Southampton

Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Sulemana n 8	73.4	2 7/3	0.3 2/0	—
Jay Robinson n 5	46.6	1.9 4/1	1.2 2/1	—
T. Dibling n 8	41.8	1.9 5/1	1.6 5/1	—
F. Downes n 8	87.6	1.7 8/3	1.3 7/3	—
W. Smallbone n 8	36.4	1.5 3/2	0 0/0	—

Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Onuachu n 8	50.9	2.7 6/3	1.3 4/2
Jay Robinson n 5	46.6	2.3 2/1	1.2 2/1
Ross Stewart n 8	33.9	1.3 2/2	0.7 2/0
K. Sulemana n 8	73.4	0.9 5/1	0.5 3/0
W. Smallbone n 8	36.4	0.9 3/0	0.3 1/0

Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Onuachu n 8	50.9	0.7 3/0	0 0/0
Ryan Manning n 8	65	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
J. Stephens n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
W. Smallbone n 8	36.4	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Ross Stewart n 8	33.9	0.3 1/0	0 0/0

Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Stephens n 8	84.4	2.8 7/4
Welington n 8	48.4	2.8 6/3
W. Smallbone n 8	36.4	2.5 6/2
Shea Charles n 8	90	2.3 7/6
J. Aribo n 8	59	2.3 4/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Northampton		Southampton
43%	Possession	57%
1.49	Expected goals (xG)	0.68
16	Shots	13
4	Shots on target	3
8	Shots off target	5
4	Blocked shots	5
8	Shots inside the box	7
4	Corners	8
1	Offsides	2
10	Fouls	19
3	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	3
301	Passes	393
66%	Pass accuracy	77%

Northampton player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Fitzsimons	90	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
J. Wormleighton	90	1	0	0	2	Y	6.6
M. Dyche	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Jack Perkins	90	0	0	1	0	Y	6.2
D. Campbell	90	2	2	3	2	0	7.3
T. Fornah	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
S. Hoskins	90	1	0	3	0	0	6.7
J. Willis	64	2	1	0	0	0	6.3
C. McGeehan	64	1	1	1	1	Y	6.6
C. McCarthy	45	0	0	1	0	0	8.7
E. List	45	2	0	0	0	0	6.2
J. Burroughs sub	45	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
E. Wheatley sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Forbes sub	27	2	0	0	1	0	6.3
T. Taylor sub	27	1	0	0	0	0	6.9

Southampton player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. McCarthy	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Nathan Wood	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
R. Edwards	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	Y	6.9
Y. Sugawara	90	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	6.9
Ryan Manning	90	0	0	0	0	4	2	0	7.5
Cameron Archer	90	0	1	0	0	1	4	0	6.9
B. Brereton	81	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
Mateus Fernandes	71	1	0	1	1	1	1	Y	8
Taylor Harwood-Bellis	63	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	7.7
Shea Charles	63	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.2
D. Downs	63	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.9
C. Taylor sub	28	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.3
F. Downes sub	28	0	0	1	0	1	1	Y	6.6
K. Matsuki sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
Ryan Fraser sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
A. Armstrong sub	10	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Northampton v Southampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

NorthamptonWLDLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

SouthamptonLDLLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Goals per game

Northampton scored1.2

Southampton scored0.6

Northampton conceded1.6

Southampton conceded1.4

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Northampton v Southampton?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Northampton v Southampton was Away win.
What is the recent form of Northampton and Southampton?: Recent form — Northampton 1W 2D 2L; Southampton 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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