PortsmouthReading

Portsmouth v Reading result

Full-time · Portsmouth 1–2 Reading

League Cup · · Fratton Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Portsmouth 1–2 Reading — Reading won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Reading won 2–1 at Fratton Park in the League Cup on Tuesday 12 August. Portsmouth have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Reading led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Reading: A. Garcia (34’) and K. Ehibhatiomhan (38’, assisted by T. Rushesha); Portsmouth: Olutayo Singerr (90’, assisted by Adrian Segecic).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Garcia’s goal on 34 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Portsmouth 2.36, Reading 2.03, from 11 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Farai Hallam, England showed four yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Portsmouth: Luke Le Roux (53’) and Regan Poole (90+5’); Reading: Liam Fraser (80’) and J. Ryan (90’).

What it changes

Portsmouth sit 57th on no points from one game with a goal difference of -1 (2025/26 so far).

Reading sit seventh on six points from two games with a goal difference of +2 (2025/26 so far).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ashqar Ahmed (Reading) 7.3, K. Ehibhatiomhan (Reading) 5.8 and Michael George Stickland (Reading) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Portsmouth next travel to Bolton on 21 November 2026.

Reading next travel to Stockport County on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Portsmouth: Bolton v Portsmouth, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Reading: Stockport County v Reading, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Portsmouth 1–2 Reading · League Cup
  • Venue: Fratton Park · Portsmouth
  • Referee: Farai Hallam, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Portsmouth 2 · draws 0 · Reading 0 · 5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portsmouth 3W 2D 0L · Reading 2W 0D 3L

Portsmouth 1–2 Reading (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.57
Corners
against 5.75 / 6.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.5 / 4.14
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.88 / 2
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePortsmouth for / againstLineReading for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.57 for · 6.29 against n 7
Shots
11.75 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10.57 for · 12.14 against n 7
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
4.14 for · 4.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 14.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.86 for · 13.57 against n 7
Cards shown
2.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.71 against n 7

Portsmouth

Portsmouth Defensive

Portsmouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Williams n 860.9
1.77/2
0.21/0
—
A. Dozzell n 870.9
1.66/3
0.63/1
—
C. Shaughnessy n 873.8
1.14/2
0.32/0
—
R. Poole n 876.3
15/2
1.37/2
—
C. Ogilvie n 890
0.95/2
1.96/4
—
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Portsmouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Williams n 860.9
4.17/6
C. Ogilvie n 890
1.37/3
R. Poole n 876.3
1.26/1
A. Dozzell n 870.9
1.14/3
C. Bishop n 886.4
0.74/1
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Portsmouth Attacking

Portsmouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Bishop n 886.4
1.85/2
1.35/2
C. Shaughnessy n 873.8
0.83/2
0.63/1
C. Ogilvie n 890
0.64/1
00/0
A. Dozzell n 870.9
0.64/0
0.21/0
R. Poole n 876.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Portsmouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Bishop n 886.4
0.52/1
00/0
C. Shaughnessy n 873.8
0.21/0
00/0
A. Dozzell n 870.9
0.21/0
00/0
N. Schmid n 890
00/0
0.11/0
R. Poole n 876.3
0.11/0
00/0
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Reading

Reading Defensive

Reading — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Savage n 889.8
1.16/3
0.32/0
—
K. Abrefa n 880
1.16/2
0.86/0
—
Michael George Stickland n 781.4
0.64/0
0.84/1
—
Joel Pereira n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
B. Elliott n 880.4
2.28/5
1.57/3
—
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Reading — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Abrefa n 880
2.16/4
C. Savage n 889.8
1.86/5
Michael George Stickland n 781.4
1.74/2
Joel Pereira n 890
00/0
B. Elliott n 880.4
2.88/6
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Reading Attacking

Reading — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Savage n 889.8
1.16/2
0.32/0
Joel Pereira n 890
00/0
00/0
Michael George Stickland n 781.4
00/0
00/0
K. Abrefa n 880
00/0
00/0
B. Elliott n 880.4
26/4
1.15/2
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Reading — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Savage n 889.8
00/0
0.53/1
Joel Pereira n 890
00/0
00/0
Michael George Stickland n 781.4
00/0
00/0
K. Abrefa n 880
00/0
00/0
B. Elliott n 880.4
00/0
0.41/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PortsmouthReading
63%Possession37%
2.36Expected goals (xG)2.03
11Shots11
3Shots on target6
2Shots off target2
6Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box9
6Corners6
4Offsides1
11Fouls15
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves2
482Passes276
82%Pass accuracy64%

Portsmouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Killip9000000007.5
Z. Swanson9000000306.3
H. Matthews9000000006.5
J. Farrell9000101007.5
T. Devlin9000100006.9
Yang Min-Hyeok9000000205.9
L. Le Roux70000011Y6.9
M. Kosznovszky7000110006.3
I. Bowat6100000106.5
T. Waddingham6100110106.5
J. Swift4500001006.7
A. Dozzell sub4500002207.5
R. Poole sub30000001Y6.9
F. Bianchini sub3000001006.3
A. Segecic sub2101001007.3
Olutayo Singerr sub2110110007.5

Reading Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Stevens9000000107.2
A. Ahmed9000001508
Michael George Stickland9000110207.3
F. Burns9000100307.3
J. Ryan90000000Y6.3
Mamadi Camará9000000206
S. Spencer7200000307.2
K. Ehibhatiomhan6710221007.9
K. Doyle6500213107.2
A. Garcia6510110107.2
T. Rushesha6401001106.6
C. Savage sub2700001206.7
B. Elliott sub2600000006.3
D. Kyerewaa sub2600110006.5
Mark O’Mahony sub2400000106.3
L. Fraser sub19000000Y6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Portsmouth v Reading — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PortsmouthWWDDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
ReadingWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Portsmouth 2 · 0 draws · Reading 0 · 5 goals/game
  • 2024-02-17 Portsmouth 4–1 Reading
  • 2023-10-28 Reading 2–3 Portsmouth
Goals per game
Portsmouth scored1.8
Reading scored1.8
Portsmouth conceded1
Reading conceded1.8

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Portsmouth v Reading?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Portsmouth v Reading was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and Reading?
In their last 2 meetings, Portsmouth won 2, Reading won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portsmouth and Reading?
Recent form — Portsmouth 3W 2D 0L; Reading 2W 0D 3L.

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